TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13112751
Played Sep 11Finished
Dawid Kosmal
Home
1.96
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
115611116711117
Karol Wisniewski
Away
1.69
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:33 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeDawid Kosmal to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
86 points played in total.
Set by set
115611116711117
H2H Dawid Kosmal 8–7 Karol Wisniewski Karol Wisniewski has won 7 of their 15 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 8h before this match
Kosmal beat Wisniewski 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:33What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.69 (54%)
Wisniewski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-7 in 15
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kosmal 1600 vs Wisniewski 1623
Wisniewski
Wrong
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosmal 0% vs Wisniewski 60%
Wisniewski
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosmal 20% vs Wisniewski 50%
Wisniewski
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosmal -5 · Wisniewski +1
Kosmal
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Wisniewski) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kosmal form (0%) is below what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosmal 1.96 / Wisniewski 1.69
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Wisniewski)+0.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13112751
Kosmal1.96
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 61 of 164
Down 0–1, comes back23% 21 of 92
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 52
Wisniewski1.69
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 138 of 236
Up 2–0, closes it90% 64 of 71
Up 1–0, closes it78% 101 of 129
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKosmal4wins
AwayWisniewski6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderWisniewski leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKosmal50%3 of 6
AwayWisniewski75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kosmal6Wisniewski4n = 10Kosmal took 6 of 10
S2Kosmal5Wisniewski5n = 10split evenly
S3Kosmal6Wisniewski4n = 10Kosmal took 6 of 10
S4Kosmal3Wisniewski3n = 6split evenly
S5Kosmal0Wisniewski3n = 3Wisniewski took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKosmalWisniewskiK − WBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.236.3+0.9per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosmalWisniewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime361 / 666 vs 992 / 219554.2%45.2%361 / 666 vs 992 / 2195Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.436.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WisniewskiKosmal 1.96/Wisniewski 1.69
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Wisniewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kosmal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 06:25D. Kosmal—1111113K. Wisniewski—9470
LSep 10 · 11:20D. Kosmal—81111101K. Wisniewski—11133123
LSep 1 · 10:30D. Kosmal—11661182K. Wisniewski—611117113
WAug 31 · 10:05D. Kosmal—1212133K. Wisniewski—1010110
WAug 28 · 11:45D. Kosmal—61111113K. Wisniewski—117891
LJul 14 · 10:55D. Kosmal—7770K. Wisniewski—1111113
LJun 23 · 11:20D. Kosmal—7111361K. Wisniewski—11915113
WMar 18 · 10:55D. Kosmal—1111113K. Wisniewski—4760
LFeb 6 · 15:45D. Kosmal—116101152K. Wisniewski—511128113
LFeb 5 · 13:20D. Kosmal—11711992K. Wisniewski—711911113
D. Kosmal10
LSep 11 · 13:00D. Kosmal1.70381191M. Kolek1.9511118113LSep 11 · 11:45D. Kosmal2.50121567102M. Miastowski1.4510131111123LSep 11 · 10:05D. Kosmal1.858101191K. Staszczyk1.8511128113LSep 11 · 09:00D. Kosmal2.75611761M. Nowalinski1.3611611113LSep 11 · 08:05D. Kosmal1.4013580A. Linek2.651511113WSep 11 · 06:25K. Wisniewski1.749470D. Kosmal1.901111113LSep 11 · 05:35D. Solilo2.001111147113D. Kosmal1.7095161152WSep 11 · 04:50D. Kosmal1.2811128113B. Mleczko3.157101181LSep 11 · 03:40D. Kosmal1.30111171142B. Sulkowski3.10139115113LSep 10 · 13:50D. Kosmal3.0091240M. Miastowski1.311114113
K. Wisniewski10
WSep 11 · 13:25K. Wisniewski2.551181111113M. Nowalinski1.4213115592LSep 11 · 12:10M. Kolek2.4091111113K. Wisniewski1.47114461LSep 11 · 10:55M. Miastowski1.381313113K. Wisniewski2.65111190WSep 11 · 09:20K. Staszczyk1.951071171K. Wisniewski1.7412119113WSep 11 · 07:40K. Wisniewski1.2211118123B. Sulkowski3.756511101LSep 11 · 06:25K. Wisniewski1.749470D. Kosmal1.901111113WSep 11 · 05:15K. Wisniewski1.4211711113A. Linek2.60911891LSep 11 · 04:00D. Solilo2.60131015113K. Wisniewski1.4211121371WSep 11 · 03:20K. Wisniewski1.241311113113B. Mleczko3.4015671172LSep 10 · 14:15G. Poliniewicz1.70911811113K. Wisniewski1.9511511952
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