TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13110243
Played Sep 11Finished
Dawid Kosmal
Home
1.85
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8111012118911––
Konrad Staszczyk
Away
1.85
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:04 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDawid Kosmal to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
80 points played in total.
Set by set
8111012118911––
H2H Dawid Kosmal 0–1 Konrad Staszczyk Dawid Kosmal has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:04What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.85 (50%)
Staszczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kosmal 1629 vs Staszczyk 1619
Kosmal
Wrong
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosmal 40% vs Staszczyk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosmal 40% vs Staszczyk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosmal -2 · Staszczyk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kosmal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Staszczyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosmal 1.85 / Staszczyk 1.85
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kosmal)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13110243
Kosmal1.85
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Staszczyk1.85
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKosmal0wins
AwayStaszczyk1wins
Staszczyk leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricKosmalStaszczykK − SBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match23.033.0−10.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosmalStaszczykBasisWin rate · lifetime361 / 663 vs 185 / 32854.5%56.4%361 / 663 vs 185 / 328Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosmalKosmal 1.85/Staszczyk 1.85
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kosmal · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Staszczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LMay 21 · 19:20D. Kosmal—8870K. Staszczyk—1111113
D. Kosmal10
LSep 11 · 13:00D. Kosmal1.70381191M. Kolek1.9511118113LSep 11 · 11:45D. Kosmal2.50121567102M. Miastowski1.4510131111123LSep 11 · 09:00D. Kosmal2.75611761M. Nowalinski1.3611611113LSep 11 · 08:05D. Kosmal1.4013580A. Linek2.651511113WSep 11 · 06:25K. Wisniewski1.749470D. Kosmal1.901111113LSep 11 · 05:35D. Solilo2.001111147113D. Kosmal1.7095161152WSep 11 · 04:50D. Kosmal1.2811128113B. Mleczko3.157101181LSep 11 · 03:40D. Kosmal1.30111171142B. Sulkowski3.10139115113LSep 10 · 13:50D. Kosmal3.0091240M. Miastowski1.311114113WSep 10 · 12:35D. Kosmal2.17912116113G. Poliniewicz1.56111081172
K. Staszczyk10
LSep 11 · 11:20K. Staszczyk2.6586111412M. Nowalinski1.381111712113LSep 11 · 09:20K. Staszczyk1.951071171K. Wisniewski1.7412119113WSep 10 · 20:05J. Mitas2.00111116862K. Staszczyk1.73561811113WSep 10 · 19:15J. Chmielowski1.9168111192K. Staszczyk1.80111139113LSep 10 · 17:20K. Kolodziej1.2861111113K. Staszczyk3.50113631LSep 10 · 16:30K. Kapik1.671111113K. Staszczyk2.107820LSep 10 · 15:00M. Olbrycht1.8311119113K. Staszczyk1.83991111WSep 10 · 24:35K. Staszczyk1.73111212113M. Olbrycht2.006101471WSep 9 · 23:45J. Chmielowski2.00117612102K. Staszczyk1.739111110123LSep 9 · 22:35K. Staszczyk1.735790K. Kapik2.001111113
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