TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13112019
Played Sep 11Finished
Dawid Kosmal
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
121015136117111012
Maksymilian Miastowski
Away
1.45
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMaksymilian Miastowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
107 points played in total.
Set by set
121015136117111012
H2H Dawid Kosmal 0–4 Maksymilian Miastowski Dawid Kosmal has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:33What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.45 (63%)
Miastowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-4 in 4
Miastowski
Correct
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kosmal 1629 vs Miastowski 1815
Miastowski
Correct
both rated, 186 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosmal 40% vs Miastowski 60%
Miastowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosmal 40% vs Miastowski 70%
Miastowski
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosmal -2 · Miastowski +3
Miastowski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Miastowski) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosmal 2.50 / Miastowski 1.45
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Miastowski)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13112019
Kosmal2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog37% won 61 of 164
Down 0–1, comes back23% 21 of 92
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 52
Miastowski1.45
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 123 of 213
Up 2–0, closes it96% 51 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it76% 81 of 106
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKosmal0wins
AwayMiastowski4wins
1 of 4 to a deciderMiastowski leads 4–0, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kosmal2Miastowski2n = 4split evenly
S2Kosmal1Miastowski3n = 4Miastowski took 3 of 4
S3Kosmal0Miastowski4n = 4Miastowski took 4 of 4
S4Kosmal1Miastowski2n = 3Miastowski took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricKosmalMiastowskiK − MBasisWins04−4in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match31.543.8−12.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosmalMiastowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime361 / 663 vs 579 / 111654.5%51.9%361 / 663 vs 579 / 1116Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.439.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MiastowskiKosmal 2.50/Miastowski 1.45
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.1%
Miastowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Miastowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 10 · 13:50D. Kosmal—91240M. Miastowski—1114113
LAug 10 · 05:15D. Kosmal—12581252M. Miastowski—10111110113
LMay 12 · 17:25D. Kosmal—116731M. Miastowski—91111113
LMar 11 · 19:15D. Kosmal—4126101M. Miastowski—111011123
D. Kosmal10
LSep 11 · 13:00D. Kosmal1.70381191M. Kolek1.9511118113LSep 11 · 10:05D. Kosmal1.858101191K. Staszczyk1.8511128113LSep 11 · 09:00D. Kosmal2.75611761M. Nowalinski1.3611611113LSep 11 · 08:05D. Kosmal1.4013580A. Linek2.651511113WSep 11 · 06:25K. Wisniewski1.749470D. Kosmal1.901111113LSep 11 · 05:35D. Solilo2.001111147113D. Kosmal1.7095161152WSep 11 · 04:50D. Kosmal1.2811128113B. Mleczko3.157101181LSep 11 · 03:40D. Kosmal1.30111171142B. Sulkowski3.10139115113LSep 10 · 13:50D. Kosmal3.0091240M. Miastowski1.311114113WSep 10 · 12:35D. Kosmal2.17912116113G. Poliniewicz1.56111081172
M. Miastowski10
WSep 11 · 10:55M. Miastowski1.381313113K. Wisniewski2.65111190WSep 11 · 09:45M. Miastowski1.3791112113M. Kolek2.701191081WSep 11 · 08:30M. Miastowski2.381191111123M. Olejnik1.53911813102LSep 11 · 06:55M. Miastowski2.0010111181M. Jadczyk1.7312135113LSep 11 · 05:40M. Miastowski1.8351131182K. Wloczko1.83116117113WSep 11 · 04:10M. Miastowski1.441112113G. Poliniewicz2.6361050WSep 11 · 03:00M. Miastowski1.61811117153J. Kuzmicz2.20119911132WSep 10 · 13:50D. Kosmal3.0091240M. Miastowski1.311114113WSep 10 · 13:00F. Krcil2.323760M. Miastowski1.491111113LSep 10 · 12:10M. Miastowski1.7511714962J. Kuzmicz1.909111211113
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