TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13111748
Played Sep 11Finished
Dawid Kosmal
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1315511811––––
Adam Linek
Away
2.65
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:26 and never touched — 57.2% is still 57.2%
Graded at full timeDawid Kosmal to win
57.2%
57.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
63 points played in total.
Set by set
1315511811––––
H2H Dawid Kosmal 12–9 Adam Linek Adam Linek has won 9 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:26What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (65%)
Kosmal
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-9 in 21
Kosmal
Wrong
gap of 3 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kosmal 1661 vs Linek 1436
Kosmal
Wrong
both rated, 225 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosmal 40% vs Linek 20%
Kosmal
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosmal 60% vs Linek 40%
Kosmal
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosmal +1 · Linek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Kosmal) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Linek form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosmal 1.40 / Linek 2.65
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Kosmal)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13111748
Kosmal1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 172 of 265
Up 2–0, closes it96% 92 of 96
Up 1–0, closes it83% 140 of 168
Linek2.65
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog41% won 164 of 397
Down 0–1, comes back26% 57 of 221
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 105
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKosmal7wins
AwayLinek3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKosmal leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKosmal83.3%5 of 6
AwayLinek50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kosmal6Linek4n = 10Kosmal took 6 of 10
S2Kosmal7Linek3n = 10Kosmal took 7 of 10
S3Kosmal7Linek3n = 10Kosmal took 7 of 10
S4Kosmal3Linek3n = 6split evenly
S5Kosmal2Linek2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKosmalLinekK − LBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.835.3+5.5per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosmalLinekBasisWin rate · lifetime361 / 661 vs 779 / 167854.6%46.4%361 / 661 vs 779 / 1678Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosmalKosmal 1.40/Linek 2.65
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.6%
Kosmal · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Linek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 06:55D. Kosmal—1111113A. Linek—8770
LJun 9 · 10:35D. Kosmal—8770A. Linek—1111113
WJun 8 · 12:15D. Kosmal—712117113A. Linek—111041142
WMay 21 · 16:35D. Kosmal—111111113A. Linek—913561
LMay 21 · 11:00D. Kosmal—1211117102A. Linek—147711123
WMay 12 · 14:40D. Kosmal—71111113A. Linek—118691
LMay 5 · 09:00D. Kosmal—119121192A. Linek—511149113
WMay 4 · 19:20D. Kosmal—111378113A. Linek—511111162
WMay 4 · 14:20D. Kosmal—1112113A. Linek—91080
WApr 20 · 15:00D. Kosmal—1211113A. Linek—10360
D. Kosmal10
WSep 11 · 06:25K. Wisniewski1.749470D. Kosmal1.901111113LSep 11 · 05:35D. Solilo2.001111147113D. Kosmal1.7095161152WSep 11 · 04:50D. Kosmal1.2811128113B. Mleczko3.157101181LSep 11 · 03:40D. Kosmal1.30111171142B. Sulkowski3.10139115113LSep 10 · 13:50D. Kosmal3.0091240M. Miastowski1.311114113WSep 10 · 12:35D. Kosmal2.17912116113G. Poliniewicz1.56111081172LSep 10 · 11:20D. Kosmal1.9581111101K. Wisniewski1.7511133123WSep 10 · 10:05F. Krcil2.28114111052D. Kosmal1.51311812113WSep 10 · 09:20D. Kosmal2.601111811113J. Kuzmicz1.4191311792WSep 10 · 08:30D. Kosmal1.3411513113P. Blocho2.809111161
A. Linek10
LSep 11 · 07:15B. Mleczko1.8361111113A. Linek1.86118971LSep 11 · 05:15K. Wisniewski1.4211711113A. Linek2.60911891WSep 11 · 04:25B. Sulkowski1.91811712102A. Linek1.801161110123LSep 11 · 03:00D. Solilo1.6591111113A. Linek2.05119861LSep 10 · 13:55A. Linek2.07127861P. Blocho1.62101111113LSep 10 · 12:40A. Linek1.95711581B. Sulkowski1.7511411113LSep 10 · 11:25A. Linek2.331014113102D. Solilo1.491212511123WSep 10 · 10:10M. Misiak1.9011860A. Linek1.741311113WSep 10 · 09:25A. Linek2.3211812133B. Czerwinski1.4971110111WSep 10 · 07:40B. Sulkowski1.8081181292A. Linek1.851171110113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.