TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13111755
Played Sep 11Finished
Bartlomiej Mleczko
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
611118119117––
Adam Linek
Away
1.86
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:26 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeBartlomiej Mleczko to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
74 points played in total.
Set by set
611118119117––
H2H Bartlomiej Mleczko 14–10 Adam Linek Adam Linek has won 10 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:26What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Mleczko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-10 in 24
Mleczko
Correct
gap of 4 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mleczko 1483 vs Linek 1459
Mleczko
Correct
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mleczko 40% vs Linek 20%
Mleczko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mleczko 50% vs Linek 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mleczko +1 · Linek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Mleczko) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Linek form (20%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMleczko 1.83 / Linek 1.86
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Mleczko)+3.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13111755
Mleczko1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 110 of 180
Up 2–0, closes it94% 43 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it76% 76 of 100
Linek1.86
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 164 of 397
Down 0–1, comes back26% 57 of 221
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 105
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMleczko6wins
AwayLinek4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMleczko leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMleczko60%3 of 5
AwayLinek40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mleczko5Linek5n = 10split evenly
S2Mleczko6Linek4n = 10Mleczko took 6 of 10
S3Mleczko5Linek5n = 10split evenly
S4Mleczko3Linek6n = 9Linek took 6 of 9
S5Mleczko3Linek1n = 4Mleczko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMleczkoLinekM − LBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.141.2+0.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMleczkoLinekBasisWin rate · lifetime427 / 815 vs 780 / 167952.4%46.5%427 / 815 vs 780 / 1679Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MleczkoMleczko 1.83/Linek 1.86
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Mleczko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Mleczko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 07:15B. Mleczko—61111113A. Linek—118971
LAug 22 · 22:35B. Mleczko—691181A. Linek—11115113
LAug 14 · 09:00B. Mleczko—11119992A. Linek—491111113
WAug 14 · 07:40B. Mleczko—1111109113A. Linek—99121192
WApr 6 · 06:30B. Mleczko—71111113A. Linek—114871
WMar 14 · 06:45B. Mleczko—1311813113A. Linek—119111592
WFeb 22 · 21:10B. Mleczko—101111123A. Linek—1295101
LFeb 7 · 17:20B. Mleczko—6980A. Linek—111193
LJan 18 · 16:55B. Mleczko—1259101A. Linek—101111113
WDec 31 · 14:30B. Mleczko—117118113A. Linek—91191182
B. Mleczko10
LSep 11 · 08:30D. Solilo1.601111113B. Mleczko2.106770WSep 11 · 06:00B. Sulkowski1.9311911562B. Mleczko1.78711911113LSep 11 · 04:50D. Kosmal1.2811128113B. Mleczko3.157101181LSep 11 · 03:20K. Wisniewski1.241311113113B. Mleczko3.4015671172LAug 31 · 14:40G. Kesik1.7013511113B. Mleczko1.951111751WAug 31 · 13:30B. Mleczko2.0091111123M. Minda1.701186101LAug 31 · 12:15P. Blocho1.85111110113B. Mleczko1.85661271WAug 31 · 11:00A. Sobel1.55611771B. Mleczko2.2411411113WAug 31 · 09:25J. Przewlocki2.5078111172B. Mleczko1.44111199113WAug 31 · 07:40S. Wnek2.7014460B. Mleczko1.391611113
A. Linek10
WSep 11 · 08:05D. Kosmal1.4013580A. Linek2.651511113LSep 11 · 05:15K. Wisniewski1.4211711113A. Linek2.60911891WSep 11 · 04:25B. Sulkowski1.91811712102A. Linek1.801161110123LSep 11 · 03:00D. Solilo1.6591111113A. Linek2.05119861LSep 10 · 13:55A. Linek2.07127861P. Blocho1.62101111113LSep 10 · 12:40A. Linek1.95711581B. Sulkowski1.7511411113LSep 10 · 11:25A. Linek2.331014113102D. Solilo1.491212511123WSep 10 · 10:10M. Misiak1.9011860A. Linek1.741311113WSep 10 · 09:25A. Linek2.3211812133B. Czerwinski1.4971110111WSep 10 · 07:40B. Sulkowski1.8081181292A. Linek1.851171110113
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