TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13110242
Played Sep 11Finished
Konrad Staszczyk
Home
2.65
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
8116111171412111
Maciej Nowalinski
Away
1.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:04 and never touched — 64.7% is still 64.7%
Graded at full timeKonrad Staszczyk to win
64.7%
64.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
92 points played in total.
Set by set
8116111171412111
H2H Konrad Staszczyk 0–1 Maciej Nowalinski Konrad Staszczyk has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:04What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.38 (66%)
Nowalinski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Staszczyk 1627 vs Nowalinski 1720
Nowalinski
Correct
both rated, 93 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Staszczyk 40% vs Nowalinski 20%
Staszczyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Staszczyk 40% vs Nowalinski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Staszczyk -1 · Nowalinski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Nowalinski) · live re-read · sealed at 35% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nowalinski form (20%) is below what odds imply (72%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStaszczyk 2.65 / Nowalinski 1.38
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Nowalinski)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13110242
Staszczyk2.65
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 30 of 82
Down 0–1, comes back17% 9 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 34
Nowalinski1.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 187 of 308
Up 2–0, closes it100% 63 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it84% 136 of 162
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeStaszczyk0wins
AwayNowalinski1wins
Nowalinski leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricStaszczykNowalinskiS − NBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match30.040.0−10.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaszczykNowalinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime185 / 327 vs 820 / 170856.6%48%185 / 327 vs 820 / 1708Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NowalinskiStaszczyk 2.65/Nowalinski 1.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.6%
Nowalinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Nowalinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LJun 6 · 16:25K. Staszczyk—761161M. Nowalinski—11117113
K. Staszczyk10
WSep 11 · 10:05D. Kosmal1.858101191K. Staszczyk1.8511128113LSep 11 · 09:20K. Staszczyk1.951071171K. Wisniewski1.7412119113WSep 10 · 20:05J. Mitas2.00111116862K. Staszczyk1.73561811113WSep 10 · 19:15J. Chmielowski1.9168111192K. Staszczyk1.80111139113LSep 10 · 17:20K. Kolodziej1.2861111113K. Staszczyk3.50113631LSep 10 · 16:30K. Kapik1.671111113K. Staszczyk2.107820LSep 10 · 15:00M. Olbrycht1.8311119113K. Staszczyk1.83991111WSep 10 · 24:35K. Staszczyk1.73111212113M. Olbrycht2.006101471WSep 9 · 23:45J. Chmielowski2.00117612102K. Staszczyk1.739111110123LSep 9 · 22:35K. Staszczyk1.735790K. Kapik2.001111113
M. Nowalinski10
LSep 11 · 10:30M. Kolek2.5512114113M. Nowalinski1.421091151WSep 11 · 09:00D. Kosmal2.75611761M. Nowalinski1.3611611113LSep 6 · 13:45G. Adamiak1.83113611113M. Nowalinski1.8361111662LSep 6 · 12:55S. Kolasa1.6111811113M. Nowalinski2.20811761LSep 6 · 12:05M. Nowalinski2.50115991J. Braun1.5021111113WSep 6 · 10:25M. Nowalinski1.5711511113M. Domin2.25911791LSep 6 · 09:40S. Sporek1.9111111110113M. Nowalinski1.8079131282WSep 6 · 08:30S. Sporek1.9141111672M. Nowalinski1.80116711113LSep 6 · 07:20M. Nowalinski1.508138101G. Poliniewicz2.50111111123WSep 6 · 06:05S. Kolasa1.73101151182M. Nowalinski2.00126118113
Upcoming Matches
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