TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13112758
Played Sep 11Finished
Karol Wisniewski
Home
2.55
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1113811115115119
Maciej Nowalinski
Away
1.42
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:34 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKarol Wisniewski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
95 points played in total.
Set by set
1113811115115119
H2H Karol Wisniewski 84–103 Maciej Nowalinski Karol Wisniewski has won 84 of their 187 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:34What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.42 (64%)
Nowalinski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
84-103 in 187
Nowalinski
Wrong
gap of 19 in 187, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wisniewski 1607 vs Nowalinski 1729
Nowalinski
Wrong
both rated, 121 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wisniewski 40% vs Nowalinski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wisniewski 40% vs Nowalinski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wisniewski -2 · Nowalinski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Nowalinski) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nowalinski form (40%) is below what odds imply (70%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWisniewski 2.55 / Nowalinski 1.42
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Nowalinski)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13112758
Wisniewski2.55
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 234 of 614
Down 0–1, comes back19% 72 of 378
Down 0–2, comes back4% 8 of 226
Nowalinski1.42
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 187 of 308
Up 2–0, closes it100% 63 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it84% 136 of 162
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWisniewski4wins
AwayNowalinski6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderNowalinski leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWisniewski60%3 of 5
AwayNowalinski80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wisniewski5Nowalinski5n = 10split evenly
S2Wisniewski5Nowalinski5n = 10split evenly
S3Wisniewski3Nowalinski7n = 10Nowalinski took 7 of 10
S4Wisniewski3Nowalinski3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricWisniewskiNowalinskiW − NBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.737.0−0.3per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWisniewskiNowalinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime991 / 2194 vs 821 / 170945.2%48%991 / 2194 vs 821 / 1709Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.438.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NowalinskiWisniewski 2.55/Nowalinski 1.42
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.4%
Nowalinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Wisniewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 15 · 11:20K. Wisniewski—11111091M. Nowalinski—91312113
WJul 13 · 12:35K. Wisniewski—811911113M. Nowalinski—11611772
LJul 10 · 09:20K. Wisniewski—511781M. Nowalinski—11911113
WJul 2 · 12:35K. Wisniewski—11411123M. Nowalinski—9119101
LJul 1 · 10:30K. Wisniewski—711101182M. Nowalinski—118125113
WJun 30 · 10:55K. Wisniewski—1111113M. Nowalinski—8580
LJun 29 · 14:15K. Wisniewski—9870M. Nowalinski—1111113
WJun 24 · 13:50K. Wisniewski—1111133M. Nowalinski—77110
LJun 23 · 09:00K. Wisniewski—101090M. Nowalinski—1212113
LJun 8 · 03:05K. Wisniewski—11101171M. Nowalinski—51213113
K. Wisniewski10
LSep 11 · 12:10M. Kolek2.4091111113K. Wisniewski1.47114461LSep 11 · 10:55M. Miastowski1.381313113K. Wisniewski2.65111190WSep 11 · 09:20K. Staszczyk1.951071171K. Wisniewski1.7412119113WSep 11 · 07:40K. Wisniewski1.2211118123B. Sulkowski3.756511101LSep 11 · 06:25K. Wisniewski1.749470D. Kosmal1.901111113WSep 11 · 05:15K. Wisniewski1.4211711113A. Linek2.60911891LSep 11 · 04:00D. Solilo2.60131015113K. Wisniewski1.4211121371WSep 11 · 03:20K. Wisniewski1.241311113113B. Mleczko3.4015671172LSep 10 · 14:15G. Poliniewicz1.70911811113K. Wisniewski1.9511511952LSep 10 · 13:25J. Kuzmicz1.491111113K. Wisniewski2.348790
M. Nowalinski10
WSep 11 · 14:15M. Miastowski1.731285151M. Nowalinski1.92101111173WSep 11 · 11:20K. Staszczyk2.6586111412M. Nowalinski1.381111712113LSep 11 · 10:30M. Kolek2.5512114113M. Nowalinski1.421091151WSep 11 · 09:00D. Kosmal2.75611761M. Nowalinski1.3611611113LSep 6 · 13:45G. Adamiak1.83113611113M. Nowalinski1.8361111662LSep 6 · 12:55S. Kolasa1.6111811113M. Nowalinski2.20811761LSep 6 · 12:05M. Nowalinski2.50115991J. Braun1.5021111113WSep 6 · 10:25M. Nowalinski1.5711511113M. Domin2.25911791LSep 6 · 09:40S. Sporek1.9111111110113M. Nowalinski1.8079131282WSep 6 · 08:30S. Sporek1.9141111672M. Nowalinski1.80116711113
Upcoming Matches
K. Wisniewski
M. Nowalinski
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.