TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13115859
Played Sep 12Finished
Karol Wisniewski
Home
1.30
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181151210––––
Piotr Maruszak
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:18 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKarol Wisniewski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
57 points played in total.
Set by set
1181151210––––
H2H Karol Wisniewski 3–1 Piotr Maruszak Piotr Maruszak has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:18What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (71%)
Wisniewski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Wisniewski
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wisniewski 1611 vs Maruszak 1382
Wisniewski
Correct
both rated, 229 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wisniewski 40% vs Maruszak 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wisniewski 50% vs Maruszak 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wisniewski -1 · Maruszak -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Wisniewski) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wisniewski form (40%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWisniewski 1.30 / Maruszak 3.25
Signal prob.74% / 26%
Edge (Wisniewski)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13115859
Wisniewski1.30
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 138 of 236
Up 2–0, closes it90% 64 of 71
Up 1–0, closes it78% 101 of 129
Maruszak3.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 20 of 53
Down 0–1, comes back13% 3 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeWisniewski3wins
AwayMaruszak1wins
3 of 4 to a deciderWisniewski leads 3–1, and 3 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wisniewski2Maruszak2n = 4split evenly
S2Wisniewski3Maruszak1n = 4Wisniewski took 3 of 4
S3Wisniewski1Maruszak3n = 4Maruszak took 3 of 4
S4Wisniewski3Maruszak0n = 3Wisniewski took 3 of 3
S5Wisniewski2Maruszak1n = 3Wisniewski took 2 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home250%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricWisniewskiMaruszakW − MBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match43.240.8+2.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWisniewskiMaruszakBasisWin rate · lifetime992 / 2196 vs 234 / 49445.2%47.4%992 / 2196 vs 234 / 494Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.437.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WisniewskiWisniewski 1.30/Maruszak 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.2%
Wisniewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Wisniewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WMay 17 · 05:25K. Wisniewski—711211113P. Maruszak—11411782
WMay 17 · 03:00K. Wisniewski—11101011113P. Maruszak—91212882
LApr 10 · 09:55K. Wisniewski—81151162P. Maruszak—116114113
WSep 12 · 11:30K. Wisniewski—1211143P. Maruszak—108120
K. Wisniewski10
LSep 11 · 14:35D. Kosmal1.96116117113K. Wisniewski1.6951161172WSep 11 · 13:25K. Wisniewski2.551181111113M. Nowalinski1.4213115592LSep 11 · 12:10M. Kolek2.4091111113K. Wisniewski1.47114461LSep 11 · 10:55M. Miastowski1.381313113K. Wisniewski2.65111190WSep 11 · 09:20K. Staszczyk1.951071171K. Wisniewski1.7412119113WSep 11 · 07:40K. Wisniewski1.2211118123B. Sulkowski3.756511101LSep 11 · 06:25K. Wisniewski1.749470D. Kosmal1.901111113WSep 11 · 05:15K. Wisniewski1.4211711113A. Linek2.60911891LSep 11 · 04:00D. Solilo2.60131015113K. Wisniewski1.4211121371WSep 11 · 03:20K. Wisniewski1.241311113113B. Mleczko3.4015671172
P. Maruszak10
LSep 12 · 04:25P. Maruszak4.255730G. Poliniewicz1.161111113LAug 2 · 13:50P. Maruszak1.86116791M. Woskowicz1.8371111113LAug 2 · 12:35P. Maruszak1.85711661P. Staniszewski1.8011511113WAug 2 · 11:20P. Maruszak1.5011511113A. Mugowski2.45611861WAug 2 · 10:05M. Zagajewski1.85211791P. Maruszak1.8011911113LAug 2 · 09:20P. Maruszak1.5551070T. Piotrowski2.251112113WAug 2 · 08:30P. Maruszak1.80111185113M. Woskowicz1.9065111182LAug 2 · 06:50P. Maruszak1.4676121192A. Mugowski2.551111108113LAug 2 · 05:35P. Maruszak1.9761181332M. Zagajewski1.721191111113WAug 2 · 04:00P. Maruszak1.821112113T. Piotrowski1.8851060
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