TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12350415
Played Aug 2Finished
Piotr Maruszak
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116511118116––
Arkadiusz Mugowski
Away
2.45
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:42 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeArkadiusz Mugowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
69 points played in total.
Set by set
116511118116––
H2H Piotr Maruszak 7–6 Arkadiusz Mugowski Arkadiusz Mugowski has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:42What took a side0 for · 2 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (62%)
Maruszak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-6 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maruszak 1398 vs Mugowski 1349
Maruszak
Correct
both rated, 49 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maruszak 40% vs Mugowski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maruszak 50% vs Mugowski 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Maruszak +1 · Mugowski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Maruszak) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maruszak form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaruszak 1.50 / Mugowski 2.45
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Maruszak)-0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12350415
Maruszak1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite53% won 24 of 45
Up 2–0, closes it93% 14 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it71% 20 of 28
Mugowski2.45
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 252 of 617
Down 0–1, comes back24% 91 of 377
Down 0–2, comes back10% 20 of 208
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaruszak4wins
AwayMugowski6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMugowski leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaruszak100%3 of 3
AwayMugowski85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maruszak3Mugowski7n = 10Mugowski took 7 of 10
S2Maruszak6Mugowski4n = 10Maruszak took 6 of 10
S3Maruszak6Mugowski4n = 10Maruszak took 6 of 10
S4Maruszak2Mugowski5n = 7Mugowski took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaruszakMugowskiMaruszak − MugowskiBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.938.6−1.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaruszakMugowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime250 / 523 vs 1010 / 218947.8%46.1%250 / 523 vs 1010 / 2189Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaruszakMaruszak 1.50/Mugowski 2.45
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62%
Maruszak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Maruszak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 2 · 06:50P. Maruszak—76121192A. Mugowski—1111108113
LJan 11 · 05:15P. Maruszak—611891A. Mugowski—11711113
WJan 10 · 08:35P. Maruszak—1111113A. Mugowski—8990
LJan 2 · 05:55P. Maruszak—61060A. Mugowski—1112113
WDec 20 · 09:45P. Maruszak—11811113A. Mugowski—911671
WOct 16 · 17:45P. Maruszak—411118143A. Mugowski—118811122
WAug 24 · 12:45P. Maruszak—1111123A. Mugowski—86100
LAug 24 · 08:45P. Maruszak—1011991A. Mugowski—12611113
LApr 12 · 19:45P. Maruszak—751191A. Mugowski—11119113
LApr 12 · 11:55P. Maruszak—81210111A. Mugowski—111012133
P. Maruszak10
LSep 12 · 04:25P. Maruszak4.255730G. Poliniewicz1.161111113LSep 12 · 03:40K. Wisniewski1.301111123P. Maruszak3.2585100LAug 2 · 13:50P. Maruszak1.86116791M. Woskowicz1.8371111113LAug 2 · 12:35P. Maruszak1.85711661P. Staniszewski1.8011511113WAug 2 · 10:05M. Zagajewski1.85211791P. Maruszak1.8011911113LAug 2 · 09:20P. Maruszak1.5551070T. Piotrowski2.251112113WAug 2 · 08:30P. Maruszak1.80111185113M. Woskowicz1.9065111182LAug 2 · 06:50P. Maruszak1.4676121192A. Mugowski2.551111108113LAug 2 · 05:35P. Maruszak1.9761181332M. Zagajewski1.721191111113WAug 2 · 04:00P. Maruszak1.821112113T. Piotrowski1.8851060
A. Mugowski10
WSep 5 · 13:50A. Mugowski1.921311143J. Wozniak1.76115120LSep 5 · 12:35A. Mugowski1.73111181242K. Klocek2.00991114113LSep 5 · 11:20A. Mugowski2.609980M. Minda1.421111113LSep 5 · 10:05J. Przewlocki1.951211123A. Mugowski1.74104100WSep 5 · 09:20A. Mugowski1.90921111113B. Kwodawski1.7511115842LSep 4 · 08:05A. Mugowski2.608890D. Solilo1.421111113LSep 4 · 06:25A. Lilien1.451111123A. Mugowski2.5075100LSep 4 · 05:35J. Zochniak1.5241312133A. Mugowski2.30111110111LSep 4 · 04:50A. Mugowski5.20581471G. Poliniewicz1.12111112113WAug 2 · 06:50P. Maruszak1.4676121192A. Mugowski2.551111108113
Upcoming Matches
P. Maruszak
A. Mugowski
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.