TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12350698
Played Aug 2Finished
Piotr Maruszak
Home
1.85
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711115611611––
Piotr Staniszewski
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:12 and never touched — 60.2% is still 60.2%
Graded at full timePiotr Maruszak to win
60.2%
60.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
68 points played in total.
Set by set
711115611611––
H2H Piotr Maruszak 1–2 Piotr Staniszewski Piotr Maruszak has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:12What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Staniszewski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maruszak 1408 vs Staniszewski 1282
Maruszak
Wrong
both rated, 127 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maruszak 60% vs Staniszewski 40%
Maruszak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maruszak 50% vs Staniszewski 30%
Maruszak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maruszak +2 · Staniszewski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Maruszak) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Staniszewski form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaruszak 1.85 / Staniszewski 1.80
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Maruszak)+7.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12350698
Maruszak1.85
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 23 of 56
Down 0–1, comes back12% 3 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 11
Staniszewski1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite48% won 62 of 128
Up 2–0, closes it90% 28 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it77% 46 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeMaruszak1wins
AwayStaniszewski2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderStaniszewski leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maruszak1Staniszewski2n = 3Staniszewski took 2 of 3
S2Maruszak3Staniszewski0n = 3Maruszak took 3 of 3
S3Maruszak0Staniszewski3n = 3Staniszewski took 3 of 3
S4Maruszak0Staniszewski3n = 3Staniszewski took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away267%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricMaruszakStaniszewskiM − SBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match37.040.0−3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaruszakStaniszewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime251 / 524 vs 397 / 87347.9%45.5%251 / 524 vs 397 / 873Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaruszakMaruszak 1.85/Staniszewski 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.3%
Maruszak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Staniszewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 2 · 12:35P. Maruszak—711661P. Staniszewski—11511113
LFeb 8 · 04:00P. Maruszak—711881P. Staniszewski—11711113
WDec 5 · 17:35P. Maruszak—111159113P. Staniszewski—77111162
P. Maruszak10
LSep 12 · 04:25P. Maruszak4.255730G. Poliniewicz1.161111113LSep 12 · 03:40K. Wisniewski1.301111123P. Maruszak3.2585100LAug 2 · 13:50P. Maruszak1.86116791M. Woskowicz1.8371111113WAug 2 · 11:20P. Maruszak1.5011511113A. Mugowski2.45611861WAug 2 · 10:05M. Zagajewski1.85211791P. Maruszak1.8011911113LAug 2 · 09:20P. Maruszak1.5551070T. Piotrowski2.251112113WAug 2 · 08:30P. Maruszak1.80111185113M. Woskowicz1.9065111182LAug 2 · 06:50P. Maruszak1.4676121192A. Mugowski2.551111108113LAug 2 · 05:35P. Maruszak1.9761181332M. Zagajewski1.721191111113WAug 2 · 04:00P. Maruszak1.821112113T. Piotrowski1.8851060
P. Staniszewski10
LSep 6 · 14:15P. Staniszewski2.377650D. Wasilewski1.521111113LSep 6 · 12:35I. Dabrowski1.7411118113P. Staniszewski1.94971151LSep 6 · 11:45J. Michalczyk1.77111120113P. Staniszewski1.90972281WSep 6 · 10:55P. Staniszewski1.66111262123T. Pisarczyk2.056101111102WSep 6 · 09:45P. Staniszewski1.8611811133M. Zagajewski1.836117111LSep 6 · 07:40P. Staniszewski1.85119661T. Pisarczyk1.8281111113WSep 6 · 06:25P. Staniszewski2.2551512113D. Wasilewski1.5711131071LSep 6 · 05:15P. Staniszewski5.405970G. Adamiak1.111111113LSep 6 · 04:00I. Dabrowski1.6614711113P. Staniszewski2.101211771WSep 6 · 03:20P. Staniszewski1.90119119143M. Zagajewski1.80611411122
Upcoming Matches
P. Maruszak
P. Staniszewski
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.