TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13116489
Played Sep 12Finished
Piotr Maruszak
Home
4.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511711311––––
Grzegorz Poliniewicz
Away
1.16
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:30 and never touched — 83.0% is still 83.0%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Poliniewicz to win
83.0%
83.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
48 points played in total.
Set by set
511711311––––
H2H Piotr Maruszak 5–17 Grzegorz Poliniewicz Piotr Maruszak has won 5 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:30What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.16 (79%)
Poliniewicz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-17 in 22
Poliniewicz
Correct
gap of 12 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maruszak 1375 vs Poliniewicz 1688
Poliniewicz
Correct
both rated, 313 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maruszak 40% vs Poliniewicz 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maruszak 40% vs Poliniewicz 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Maruszak -3 · Poliniewicz +1
Maruszak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 80% — Strong (leans Poliniewicz) · live re-read · sealed at 83% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Poliniewicz form (40%) is below what odds imply (86%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaruszak 4.25 / Poliniewicz 1.16
Signal prob.20% / 80%
Edge (Poliniewicz)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13116489
Maruszak4.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 20 of 54
Down 0–1, comes back12% 3 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Poliniewicz1.16
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite71% won 331 of 465
Up 2–0, closes it95% 145 of 153
Up 1–0, closes it85% 241 of 285
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaruszak2wins
AwayPoliniewicz8wins
1 of 10 to a deciderPoliniewicz leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaruszak50%2 of 4
AwayPoliniewicz100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maruszak4Poliniewicz6n = 10Poliniewicz took 6 of 10
S2Maruszak4Poliniewicz6n = 10Poliniewicz took 6 of 10
S3Maruszak2Poliniewicz8n = 10Poliniewicz took 8 of 10
S4Maruszak3Poliniewicz5n = 8Poliniewicz took 5 of 8
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaruszakPoliniewiczM − PBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match32.039.4−7.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaruszakPoliniewiczBasisWin rate · lifetime234 / 495 vs 1248 / 211147.3%59.1%234 / 495 vs 1248 / 2111Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PoliniewiczMaruszak 4.25/Poliniewicz 1.16
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
80.2%
Poliniewicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Poliniewicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMay 17 · 10:30P. Maruszak—5770G. Poliniewicz—1111113
LMay 17 · 06:40P. Maruszak—1363131G. Poliniewicz—111111153
LMay 17 · 04:10P. Maruszak—96111332G. Poliniewicz—1111411113
WApr 10 · 14:25P. Maruszak—116111111G. Poliniewicz—811688
LJan 1 · 15:25P. Maruszak—6860G. Poliniewicz—1111103
LDec 20 · 06:45P. Maruszak—911861G. Poliniewicz—11711113
LDec 7 · 07:40P. Maruszak—711561G. Poliniewicz—11811113
LDec 7 · 05:10P. Maruszak—611861G. Poliniewicz—11711113
WDec 6 · 05:15P. Maruszak—111110113G. Poliniewicz—991271
LNov 9 · 20:30P. Maruszak—1131041G. Poliniewicz—81112113
P. Maruszak10
LSep 12 · 03:40K. Wisniewski1.301111123P. Maruszak3.2585100LAug 2 · 13:50P. Maruszak1.86116791M. Woskowicz1.8371111113LAug 2 · 12:35P. Maruszak1.85711661P. Staniszewski1.8011511113WAug 2 · 11:20P. Maruszak1.5011511113A. Mugowski2.45611861WAug 2 · 10:05M. Zagajewski1.85211791P. Maruszak1.8011911113LAug 2 · 09:20P. Maruszak1.5551070T. Piotrowski2.251112113WAug 2 · 08:30P. Maruszak1.80111185113M. Woskowicz1.9065111182LAug 2 · 06:50P. Maruszak1.4676121192A. Mugowski2.551111108113LAug 2 · 05:35P. Maruszak1.9761181332M. Zagajewski1.721191111113WAug 2 · 04:00P. Maruszak1.821112113T. Piotrowski1.8851060
G. Poliniewicz10
WSep 12 · 03:00K. Rudomina3.5511441152G. Poliniewicz1.25911118113LSep 11 · 07:45G. Poliniewicz4.501511771M. Jadczyk1.1717911113LSep 11 · 06:30G. Poliniewicz2.7571112121K. Wloczko1.4011814143WSep 11 · 05:15G. Poliniewicz2.25511118113J. Kuzmicz1.5711551152LSep 11 · 04:10M. Miastowski1.441112113G. Poliniewicz2.6361050LSep 11 · 03:25G. Poliniewicz4.3311611762M. Olejnik1.20411911113WSep 10 · 14:15G. Poliniewicz1.70911811113K. Wisniewski1.9511511952LSep 10 · 12:35D. Kosmal2.17912116113G. Poliniewicz1.56111081172WSep 10 · 11:45F. Krcil2.44101250G. Poliniewicz1.451214113WSep 10 · 10:55G. Poliniewicz2.1814911113J. Kuzmicz1.561211891
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