TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12349035
Played Aug 2Finished
Piotr Maruszak
Home
1.82
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1151210116––––
Tadeusz Piotrowski
Away
1.88
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:22 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePiotr Maruszak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
55 points played in total.
Set by set
1151210116––––
H2H Piotr Maruszak 4–0 Tadeusz Piotrowski Tadeusz Piotrowski has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:22What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.82 (51%)
Maruszak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-0 in 4
Maruszak
Correct
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maruszak 1408 vs Piotrowski 1326
Maruszak
Correct
both rated, 82 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maruszak 60% vs Piotrowski 40%
Maruszak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maruszak 40% vs Piotrowski 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Maruszak -2 · Piotrowski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Maruszak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Piotrowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaruszak 1.82 / Piotrowski 1.88
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Maruszak)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #12349035
Maruszak1.82
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 21 of 39
Up 2–0, closes it100% 12 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it74% 17 of 23
Piotrowski1.88
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog28% won 12 of 43
Down 0–1, comes back12% 3 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeMaruszak4wins
AwayPiotrowski0wins
1 of 4 to a deciderMaruszak leads 4–0, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maruszak2Piotrowski2n = 4split evenly
S2Maruszak4Piotrowski0n = 4Maruszak took 4 of 4
S3Maruszak3Piotrowski1n = 4Maruszak took 3 of 4
S4Maruszak2Piotrowski1n = 3Maruszak took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricMaruszakPiotrowskiM − PBasisWins40+4in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match44.237.8+6.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaruszakPiotrowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime247 / 517 vs 627 / 94247.8%66.6%247 / 517 vs 627 / 942Avg sets wonper match1.92.4per matchAvg pointsper match37.039.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaruszakMaruszak 1.82/Piotrowski 1.88
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Maruszak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Maruszak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 1 · 13:25P. Maruszak—141379113T. Piotrowski—1211111152
WAug 1 · 03:40P. Maruszak—1713113T. Piotrowski—151170
WSep 27 · 11:00P. Maruszak—71114113T. Piotrowski—1171271
WSep 7 · 13:55P. Maruszak—61111113T. Piotrowski—119741
P. Maruszak10
LSep 12 · 04:25P. Maruszak4.255730G. Poliniewicz1.161111113LSep 12 · 03:40K. Wisniewski1.301111123P. Maruszak3.2585100LAug 2 · 13:50P. Maruszak1.86116791M. Woskowicz1.8371111113LAug 2 · 12:35P. Maruszak1.85711661P. Staniszewski1.8011511113WAug 2 · 11:20P. Maruszak1.5011511113A. Mugowski2.45611861WAug 2 · 10:05M. Zagajewski1.85211791P. Maruszak1.8011911113LAug 2 · 09:20P. Maruszak1.5551070T. Piotrowski2.251112113WAug 2 · 08:30P. Maruszak1.80111185113M. Woskowicz1.9065111182LAug 2 · 06:50P. Maruszak1.4676121192A. Mugowski2.551111108113LAug 2 · 05:35P. Maruszak1.9761181332M. Zagajewski1.721191111113
T. Piotrowski10
WSep 6 · 13:55T. Piotrowski1.391111113M. Sinicki2.702560WSep 6 · 12:40T. Piotrowski1.311111113F. Jablonski3.208930LSep 6 · 11:25T. Piotrowski1.47115981B. Wisniewski2.4071111113WSep 6 · 10:10K. Golaszewski2.474101151T. Piotrowski1.4611128113LSep 6 · 09:25T. Piotrowski2.1561090K. Sulkowski1.601112113WSep 6 · 08:35T. Piotrowski1.401111113M. Sinicki2.656640LSep 6 · 06:55T. Piotrowski1.421111931F. Jablonski2.6013511113WSep 6 · 05:40T. Piotrowski1.541111113K. Golaszewski2.254880WSep 6 · 04:10T. Piotrowski2.15913123113K. Sulkowski1.601111101152WAug 2 · 09:20P. Maruszak1.5551070T. Piotrowski2.251112113
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