TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13085904
Played Sep 6Finished
Tadeusz Piotrowski
Home
2.15
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
91113111210311115
Karol Sulkowski
Away
1.60
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:29 and never touched — 57.3% is still 57.3%
Graded at full timeKarol Sulkowski to win
57.3%
57.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
96 points played in total.
Set by set
91113111210311115
H2H Tadeusz Piotrowski 5–12 Karol Sulkowski Tadeusz Piotrowski has won 5 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 03:29What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Sulkowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-12 in 17
Sulkowski
Wrong
gap of 7 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Piotrowski 1366 vs Sulkowski 1268
Piotrowski
Correct
both rated, 97 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Piotrowski 80% vs Sulkowski 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Piotrowski 70% vs Sulkowski 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Piotrowski +4 · Sulkowski -1
Piotrowski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Sulkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sulkowski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPiotrowski 2.15 / Sulkowski 1.60
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Sulkowski)-1.2pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13085904
Piotrowski2.15
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog27% won 21 of 78
Down 0–1, comes back15% 7 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 31
Sulkowski1.60
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 220 of 405
Up 2–0, closes it98% 93 of 95
Up 1–0, closes it80% 166 of 207
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePiotrowski3wins
AwaySulkowski7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSulkowski leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePiotrowski40%2 of 5
AwaySulkowski80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Piotrowski5Sulkowski5n = 10split evenly
S2Piotrowski4Sulkowski6n = 10Sulkowski took 6 of 10
S3Piotrowski3Sulkowski7n = 10Sulkowski took 7 of 10
S4Piotrowski2Sulkowski5n = 7Sulkowski took 5 of 7
S5Piotrowski2Sulkowski2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPiotrowskiSulkowskiP − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.640.9−4.3per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPiotrowskiSulkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime597 / 923 vs 617 / 124864.7%49.4%597 / 923 vs 617 / 1248Avg sets wonper match2.42.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SulkowskiPiotrowski 2.15/Sulkowski 1.60
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.1%
Sulkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Piotrowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 8 · 03:00T. Piotrowski—611411113K. Sulkowski—11811892
LJul 12 · 10:30T. Piotrowski—119721K. Sulkowski—91111113
LJul 11 · 07:15T. Piotrowski—10770K. Sulkowski—1211113
LJul 11 · 04:50T. Piotrowski—14134672K. Sulkowski—12111111113
WJun 28 · 10:05T. Piotrowski—1171211113K. Sulkowski—61114992
LJun 28 · 07:40T. Piotrowski—7650K. Sulkowski—1111113
LJun 28 · 05:15T. Piotrowski—871191K. Sulkowski—11115113
LJun 27 · 14:35T. Piotrowski—10117101K. Sulkowski—12411123
LMay 24 · 07:10T. Piotrowski—117129102K. Sulkowski—8111011123
WMay 17 · 04:10T. Piotrowski—1112113K. Sulkowski—61030
T. Piotrowski10
WSep 6 · 13:55T. Piotrowski1.391111113M. Sinicki2.702560WSep 6 · 12:40T. Piotrowski1.311111113F. Jablonski3.208930LSep 6 · 11:25T. Piotrowski1.47115981B. Wisniewski2.4071111113WSep 6 · 10:10K. Golaszewski2.474101151T. Piotrowski1.4611128113LSep 6 · 09:25T. Piotrowski2.1561090K. Sulkowski1.601112113WSep 6 · 08:35T. Piotrowski1.401111113M. Sinicki2.656640LSep 6 · 06:55T. Piotrowski1.421111931F. Jablonski2.6013511113WSep 6 · 05:40T. Piotrowski1.541111113K. Golaszewski2.254880WSep 6 · 03:00T. Piotrowski1.3081113113B. Wisniewski3.101181181WSep 5 · 14:40T. Piotrowski1.411111133M. Zwolinski2.6067110
K. Sulkowski10
LSep 7 · 05:15B. Czerwinski1.541111113K. Sulkowski2.254950WSep 7 · 04:30B. Wisniewski2.3411791262K. Sulkowski1.519111110113LSep 7 · 03:00A. Szoltysek2.0512117113K. Sulkowski1.681021181WSep 6 · 14:40K. Golaszewski2.35571181K. Sulkowski1.5011118113WSep 6 · 13:30K. Sulkowski1.601111123B. Wisniewski2.2058100WSep 6 · 12:15M. Sinicki1.856880K. Sulkowski1.851111113WSep 6 · 11:00F. Jablonski1.9011761152K. Sulkowski1.75511119113WSep 6 · 09:25T. Piotrowski2.1561090K. Sulkowski1.601112113WSep 6 · 07:40K. Sulkowski1.5311118123F. Jablonski2.359911101LSep 6 · 06:30K. Sulkowski1.51104100K. Golaszewski2.331211123
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