TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13127324
Played Sep 14Finished
Jakub Witkowski
Home
1.17
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118611118119––
Frantisek Krcil
Away
4.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:05 and never touched — 72.2% is still 72.2%
Graded at full timeJakub Witkowski to win
72.2%
72.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
75 points played in total.
Set by set
118611118119––
H2H Jakub Witkowski 3–2 Frantisek Krcil Frantisek Krcil has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:05What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (78%)
Witkowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Witkowski 1523 vs Krcil 1458
Witkowski
Correct
both rated, 65 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Witkowski 60% vs Krcil 80%
Krcil
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Witkowski 50% vs Krcil 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Witkowski +1 · Krcil -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Witkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krcil form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (24%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWitkowski 1.17 / Krcil 4.10
Signal prob.78% / 22%
Edge (Witkowski)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13127324
Witkowski1.17
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite66% won 68 of 103
Up 2–0, closes it97% 29 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it87% 47 of 54
Krcil4.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeWitkowski3wins
AwayKrcil2wins
2 of 5 to a deciderWitkowski leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWitkowski60%3 of 5
AwayKrciln = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Witkowski5Krcil0n = 5Witkowski took 5 of 5
S2Witkowski0Krcil5n = 5Krcil took 5 of 5
S3Witkowski4Krcil1n = 5Witkowski took 4 of 5
S4Witkowski2Krcil3n = 5Krcil took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricWitkowskiKrcilW − KBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set50+5of 5Avg pointsper match41.241.4−0.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWitkowskiKrcilBasisWin rate · lifetime397 / 850 vs 179 / 39946.7%44.9%397 / 850 vs 179 / 399Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.435.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WitkowskiWitkowski 1.17/Krcil 4.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
78.2%
Witkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Witkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 14 · 10:35J. Witkowski3911611113F. Krcil36811891
LNov 14 · 11:40J. Witkowski361181161F. Krcil4491113113
WOct 16 · 12:20J. Witkowski46116117113F. Krcil4691181172
WOct 2 · 13:10J. Witkowski4111811113F. Krcil316114101
LJun 23 · 14:25J. Witkowski441110111112F. Krcil50912511133
J. Witkowski10
LSep 14 · 12:15J. Witkowski1.6111571182J. Glanowski2.15911115113WSep 14 · 09:50J. Przewlocki4.10861191J. Witkowski1.1811114113LSep 3 · 20:05J. Witkowski5.00411581M. Benes1.1411911113WSep 3 · 18:30J. Braun1.2011814111J. Witkowski4.33131112133LSep 3 · 17:40P. Klos1.131111113J. Witkowski5.504670WSep 3 · 16:55J. Witkowski1.80911611113J. Chmielowski1.9111811472LSep 3 · 15:45J. Witkowski2.639813121A. Daniel1.44111111143LSep 3 · 14:40M. Kolek1.91111799113J. Witkowski1.80815111182LSep 3 · 13:30J. Witkowski1.8079120B. Czerwinski1.901111143WSep 3 · 12:15R. Stapor2.156118101J. Witkowski1.6011711123
F. Krcil10
LSep 14 · 11:25W. Iwasyszyn1.901113511113F. Krcil1.8051511862LSep 14 · 09:00A. Sobel1.301111113F. Krcil3.055960WSep 14 · 08:10F. Krcil3.101111113B. Czerwinski1.305690WSep 14 · 06:30B. Wisniewski1.9581160F. Krcil1.751113113WSep 14 · 05:40W. Iwasyszyn1.836250F. Krcil1.771111113WSep 14 · 04:55F. Krcil1.881191113113J. Przewlocki1.8271151592LSep 14 · 03:50F. Krcil2.415111171R. Stapor1.4611813113LSep 10 · 14:35F. Krcil2.125440J. Kuzmicz1.591111113LSep 10 · 13:00F. Krcil2.323760M. Miastowski1.491111113LSep 10 · 11:45F. Krcil2.44101250G. Poliniewicz1.451214113
Upcoming Matches
J. Witkowski
Sep 14 · 13:05J. Witkowski1.66A. Sobel2.10—Sep 14 · 13:55J. Witkowski1.15W. Iwasyszyn4.35—Sep 14 · 15:00J. Witkowski1.61K. Kostyk2.20—Sep 14 · 16:05J. Witkowski1.73M. Kolek2.00—Sep 14 · 17:40J. Witkowski1.53A. Linek2.38—Sep 14 · 18:50J. Witkowski1.44K. Rudomina2.63—Sep 14 · 20:30J. Witkowski1.91K. Staszczyk1.80—
F. Krcil
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