TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13126281
Played Sep 14Finished
Frantisek Krcil
Home
2.41
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
5111181113711––
Rafal Stapor
Away
1.46
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:00 and never touched — 77.3% is still 77.3%
Graded at full timeRafal Stapor to win
77.3%
77.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
77 points played in total.
Set by set
5111181113711––
H2H Frantisek Krcil 0–1 Rafal Stapor Frantisek Krcil has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:00What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.46 (62%)
Stapor
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Krcil 1476 vs Stapor 1442
Krcil
Wrong
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krcil 0% vs Stapor 80%
Stapor
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krcil 0% vs Stapor 60%
Stapor
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krcil -5 · Stapor +1
Krcil
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Stapor) · live re-read · sealed at 77% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stapor form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (68%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrcil 2.41 / Stapor 1.46
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Stapor)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13126281
Krcil2.41
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Stapor1.46
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite63% won 391 of 620
Up 2–0, closes it96% 195 of 204
Up 1–0, closes it81% 298 of 367
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKrcil0wins
AwayStapor1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderStapor leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKrcilStaporK − SBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match50.045.0+5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrcilStaporBasisWin rate · lifetime181 / 400 vs 658 / 116345.3%56.6%181 / 400 vs 658 / 1163Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.938.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaporKrcil 2.41/Stapor 1.46
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.3%
Stapor · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Stapor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 10 · 08:05F. Krcil50811121092R. Stapor451111012113
F. Krcil10
LSep 10 · 14:35F. Krcil2.125440J. Kuzmicz1.591111113LSep 10 · 13:00F. Krcil2.323760M. Miastowski1.491111113LSep 10 · 11:45F. Krcil2.44101250G. Poliniewicz1.451214113LSep 10 · 10:05F. Krcil2.28114111052D. Kosmal1.51311812113LSep 10 · 09:00F. Krcil2.00109141262K. Wisniewski1.7012111210113LSep 10 · 08:05F. Krcil1.90811121092R. Stapor1.801111012113LSep 10 · 06:35B. Sulkowski2.0013135113F. Krcil1.7111111161LSep 10 · 05:55D. Kosmal1.551211113F. Krcil2.2010870LSep 10 · 04:40F. Krcil1.851151111P. Blocho1.8013115113LSep 10 · 03:40F. Krcil1.80111171152A. Linek1.86813115113
R. Stapor10
LSep 14 · 04:30R. Stapor2.201041191B. Czerwinski1.5712118113WSep 14 · 24:10D. Kotwica2.30146771R. Stapor1.52121111113LSep 13 · 23:45R. Stapor1.9048111162A. Linek1.75111159113WSep 13 · 22:55R. Stapor1.9711311113K. Rudomina1.69611761WSep 13 · 21:05R. Stapor1.311111113K. Marchlewski2.954880WSep 13 · 20:05K. Rudomina1.74741171R. Stapor1.9011116113LSep 13 · 19:20D. Kotwica2.4591111113R. Stapor1.47117481LSep 13 · 17:20J. Glanowski1.7511129113R. Stapor1.909101121LSep 13 · 16:35A. Wos1.45891111113R. Stapor2.5511119582WSep 10 · 08:05F. Krcil1.90811121092R. Stapor1.801111012113
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R. Stapor
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