TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13125267
Played Sep 13Finished
Rafal Stapor
Home
1.90
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
411811115119611
Adam Linek
Away
1.75
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:52 and never touched — 63.4% is still 63.4%
Graded at full timeRafal Stapor to win
63.4%
63.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
87 points played in total.
Set by set
411811115119611
H2H Rafal Stapor 8–4 Adam Linek Adam Linek has won 4 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:52What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (52%)
Linek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-4 in 12
Stapor
Wrong
gap of 4 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stapor 1453 vs Linek 1470
Linek
Correct
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stapor 60% vs Linek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stapor 70% vs Linek 40%
Stapor
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stapor +3 · Linek +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Linek) · live re-read · sealed at 37% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStapor 1.90 / Linek 1.75
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Linek)+1.9pp
TT Elite Series · #13125267
Stapor1.90
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog36% won 96 of 266
Down 0–1, comes back18% 30 of 168
Down 0–2, comes back8% 8 of 99
Linek1.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite56% won 101 of 181
Up 2–0, closes it84% 32 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it71% 72 of 101
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStapor8wins
AwayLinek2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderStapor leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStapor80%8 of 10
AwayLinekn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stapor10Linek0n = 10Stapor took 10 of 10
S2Stapor5Linek5n = 10split evenly
S3Stapor6Linek4n = 10Stapor took 6 of 10
S4Stapor3Linek4n = 7Linek took 4 of 7
S5Stapor3Linek1n = 4Stapor took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricStaporLinekS − LBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set100+10of 10Avg pointsper match41.534.1+7.4per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaporLinekBasisWin rate · lifetime658 / 1162 vs 782 / 168156.6%46.5%658 / 1162 vs 782 / 1681Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.937.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LinekStapor 1.90/Linek 1.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Linek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Linek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 04:55R. Stapor481151110113A. Linek4581171272
WAug 23 · 22:35R. Stapor551110176113A. Linek56912151192
LAug 6 · 07:40R. Stapor4711165692A. Linek525141111113
WJul 30 · 03:00R. Stapor4011711113A. Linek32611691
WJul 29 · 11:20R. Stapor341111123A. Linek2248100
WJul 29 · 03:20R. Stapor331111113A. Linek113620
WJul 28 · 06:00R. Stapor331111113A. Linek144730
LJul 19 · 17:45R. Stapor351161081A. Linek3841112113
WJun 18 · 09:50R. Stapor46118511113A. Linek4491111762
WJun 11 · 15:50R. Stapor44111111113A. Linek27451351
R. Stapor10
WSep 14 · 24:10D. Kotwica2.30146771R. Stapor1.52121111113WSep 13 · 22:55R. Stapor1.9711311113K. Rudomina1.69611761WSep 13 · 21:05R. Stapor1.311111113K. Marchlewski2.954880WSep 13 · 20:05K. Rudomina1.74741171R. Stapor1.9011116113LSep 13 · 19:20D. Kotwica2.4591111113R. Stapor1.47117481LSep 13 · 17:20J. Glanowski1.7511129113R. Stapor1.909101121LSep 13 · 16:35A. Wos1.45891111113R. Stapor2.5511119582WSep 13 · 15:00K. Marchlewski3.107850R. Stapor1.291111113WSep 13 · 24:35D. Poloszczanski2.8061116572R. Stapor1.341191411113WSep 12 · 22:55D. Kotwica2.359620R. Stapor1.481111113
A. Linek10
WSep 13 · 22:35A. Linek1.3011118123K. Marchlewski3.108911101WSep 13 · 21:55D. Kotwica2.5591111292A. Linek1.42118911113WSep 11 · 08:05D. Kosmal1.4013580A. Linek2.651511113LSep 11 · 07:15B. Mleczko1.8361111113A. Linek1.86118971LSep 11 · 05:15K. Wisniewski1.4211711113A. Linek2.60911891WSep 11 · 04:25B. Sulkowski1.91811712102A. Linek1.801161110123LSep 11 · 03:00D. Solilo1.6591111113A. Linek2.05119861LSep 10 · 13:55A. Linek2.07127861P. Blocho1.62101111113LSep 10 · 12:40A. Linek1.95711581B. Sulkowski1.7511411113LSep 10 · 11:25A. Linek2.331014113102D. Solilo1.491212511123
Upcoming Matches
R. Stapor
A. Linek2 of 5 neutral
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