TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13120854
Played Sep 13Finished
Dawid Poloszczanski
Home
2.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
6111191614511711
Rafal Stapor
Away
1.34
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:53 and never touched — 56.3% is still 56.3%
Graded at full timeRafal Stapor to win
56.3%
56.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
101 points played in total.
Set by set
6111191614511711
H2H Dawid Poloszczanski 2–13 Rafal Stapor Dawid Poloszczanski has won 2 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:53What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.34 (68%)
Stapor
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-13 in 15
Stapor
Correct
gap of 11 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Poloszczanski 1295 vs Stapor 1437
Stapor
Correct
both rated, 142 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Poloszczanski 40% vs Stapor 80%
Stapor
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Poloszczanski 70% vs Stapor 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Poloszczanski -1 · Stapor +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Stapor) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPoloszczanski 2.80 / Stapor 1.34
Signal prob.26% / 74%
Edge (Stapor)+6.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13120854
Poloszczanski2.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 120 of 314
Down 0–1, comes back22% 40 of 183
Down 0–2, comes back5% 5 of 104
Stapor1.34
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 391 of 620
Up 2–0, closes it96% 195 of 204
Up 1–0, closes it81% 298 of 367
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePoloszczanski1wins
AwayStapor9wins
1 of 10 to a deciderStapor leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePoloszczanski25%1 of 4
AwayStapor100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Poloszczanski4Stapor6n = 10Stapor took 6 of 10
S2Poloszczanski1Stapor9n = 10Stapor took 9 of 10
S3Poloszczanski1Stapor9n = 10Stapor took 9 of 10
S4Poloszczanski2Stapor3n = 5Stapor took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricPoloszczanskiStaporP − SBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match28.638.2−9.6per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPoloszczanskiStaporBasisWin rate · lifetime331 / 838 vs 652 / 115339.5%56.6%331 / 838 vs 652 / 1153Avg sets wonper match1.82.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaporPoloszczanski 2.80/Stapor 1.34
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.9%
Stapor · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Stapor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 22 · 16:35D. Poloszczanski4111136113R. Stapor398111191
LJul 25 · 23:45D. Poloszczanski194870R. Stapor331111113
LJul 25 · 21:20D. Poloszczanski32144681R. Stapor45121111113
LJul 25 · 20:30D. Poloszczanski4166111172R. Stapor48111187113
LJun 20 · 10:05D. Poloszczanski228590R. Stapor331111113
LMay 31 · 14:40D. Poloszczanski196850R. Stapor331111113
LMay 24 · 04:30D. Poloszczanski401191281R. Stapor4481114113
LMay 16 · 02:20D. Poloszczanski25117521R. Stapor4181111113
LMay 15 · 23:55D. Poloszczanski229850R. Stapor331111113
LApr 19 · 11:50D. Poloszczanski257990R. Stapor331111113
D. Poloszczanski10
LSep 12 · 23:45D. Kotwica1.71391111113D. Poloszczanski2.0011119892WSep 12 · 22:35D. Poloszczanski1.80101411113W. Gluszek1.851212991LSep 12 · 21:55A. Wos1.271111113D. Poloszczanski3.356540WSep 12 · 07:40D. Poloszczanski2.8511117123J. Glanowski1.386811101LSep 12 · 06:30D. Poloszczanski2.65101191282I. Dabrowski1.401291110113WSep 12 · 05:15D. Poloszczanski1.801111113B. Wisniewski1.859680WSep 12 · 04:10J. Przewlocki1.661511891D. Poloszczanski2.0117711113WSep 12 · 03:25D. Poloszczanski1.86581111123J. Rolak1.83111178102WSep 12 · 24:35D. Poloszczanski1.951112109113W. Gluszek1.75710121162WSep 11 · 23:45M. Lukaszewski1.90111191092D. Poloszczanski1.80461112113
R. Stapor10
WSep 12 · 22:55D. Kotwica2.359620R. Stapor1.481111113WSep 12 · 22:15W. Gluszek2.50411561R. Stapor1.4211911113LSep 12 · 21:30A. Wos1.501111106113R. Stapor2.5066121152WSep 12 · 20:05R. Stapor1.558111112113W. Gluszek2.2511971482WSep 12 · 18:30D. Kotwica2.15571131R. Stapor1.6211119113LSep 12 · 17:45K. Marchlewski2.85111124113R. Stapor1.3535111132WSep 12 · 16:55R. Stapor2.60711611113A. Wos1.4111511682WSep 12 · 15:50R. Stapor1.9613115113G. Kesik1.701161191LSep 11 · 13:55R. Stapor1.878860B. Mleczko1.831111113WSep 11 · 12:40R. Stapor1.831111173M. Misiak1.8396150
Upcoming Matches
D. Poloszczanski
R. Stapor1 of 1 neutral
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