TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13115042
Played Sep 12Finished
Dawid Poloszczanski
Home
1.95
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11712101012911116
Wojciech Gluszek
Away
1.75
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:58 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeWojciech Gluszek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
99 points played in total.
Set by set
11712101012911116
H2H Dawid Poloszczanski 5–6 Wojciech Gluszek Dawid Poloszczanski has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:58What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (53%)
Gluszek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-6 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Poloszczanski 1249 vs Gluszek 1253
Gluszek
Wrong
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Poloszczanski 40% vs Gluszek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Poloszczanski 30% vs Gluszek 50%
Gluszek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Poloszczanski +2 · Gluszek -3
Gluszek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Gluszek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gluszek form (40%) is below what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPoloszczanski 1.95 / Gluszek 1.75
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Gluszek)+1.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13115042
Poloszczanski1.95
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog38% won 129 of 336
Down 0–1, comes back22% 43 of 194
Down 0–2, comes back5% 6 of 111
Gluszek1.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 168 of 300
Up 2–0, closes it94% 82 of 87
Up 1–0, closes it76% 128 of 168
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePoloszczanski4wins
AwayGluszek6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderGluszek leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePoloszczanski50%2 of 4
AwayGluszek66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Poloszczanski4Gluszek6n = 10Gluszek took 6 of 10
S2Poloszczanski6Gluszek4n = 10Poloszczanski took 6 of 10
S3Poloszczanski6Gluszek4n = 10Poloszczanski took 6 of 10
S4Poloszczanski2Gluszek5n = 7Gluszek took 5 of 7
S5Poloszczanski1Gluszek2n = 3Gluszek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPoloszczanskiGluszekP − GBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.037.8−1.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPoloszczanskiGluszekBasisWin rate · lifetime325 / 829 vs 852 / 179039.2%47.6%325 / 829 vs 852 / 1790Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.236.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GluszekPoloszczanski 1.95/Gluszek 1.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Gluszek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Poloszczanski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 12 · 09:50D. Poloszczanski—81111113W. Gluszek—116561
LMay 2 · 14:40D. Poloszczanski—1151561W. Gluszek—91117113
LApr 12 · 12:15D. Poloszczanski—115291W. Gluszek—81111113
WJan 3 · 14:55D. Poloszczanski—511129113W. Gluszek—118101172
WJan 3 · 09:35D. Poloszczanski—1111113W. Gluszek—6880
LDec 19 · 11:05D. Poloszczanski—41111972W. Gluszek—114811113
WDec 18 · 12:45D. Poloszczanski—1111143W. Gluszek—96120
LDec 12 · 17:35D. Poloszczanski—81161152W. Gluszek—116117113
LJun 28 · 11:00D. Poloszczanski—671191W. Gluszek—11118113
LJun 28 · 03:25D. Poloszczanski—6970W. Gluszek—1111113
D. Poloszczanski10
WSep 11 · 23:45M. Lukaszewski1.90111191092D. Poloszczanski1.80461112113WSep 11 · 22:35D. Poloszczanski1.85511611113K. Sulkowski1.8011311752LSep 11 · 21:55K. Marchlewski1.9511711113D. Poloszczanski1.75711791LSep 6 · 24:35D. Poloszczanski2.60101380J. Michalczyk1.411215113LSep 5 · 23:45K. Kufel1.601111113D. Poloszczanski2.103260LSep 5 · 22:35D. Poloszczanski2.9541013111B. Sulkowski1.35111211133LSep 5 · 21:55A. Lilien1.221112113D. Poloszczanski3.7041030WSep 5 · 19:40D. Poloszczanski2.40128612113B. Kwodawski1.501011111082LSep 5 · 18:30D. Poloszczanski2.47911110J. Michalczyk1.461113133LSep 5 · 17:20D. Poloszczanski—111251192K. Kufel—1310118113
W. Gluszek10
LSep 11 · 22:55M. Lukaszewski1.8511814113W. Gluszek1.856111271LSep 11 · 22:15K. Sulkowski1.851111123W. Gluszek1.8567100LSep 11 · 21:30K. Marchlewski2.20915118143W. Gluszek1.571113311122WSep 11 · 19:40W. Gluszek1.901111113P. Strus1.757820WSep 11 · 18:30W. Gluszek2.25116116123D. Szlubowski1.54811911102LSep 11 · 17:20W. Gluszek1.75611491M. Lukaszewski1.9511911113LSep 11 · 16:15K. Sulkowski1.681111610113W. Gluszek1.9496111272WSep 11 · 15:25W. Gluszek1.751111113K. Marchlewski1.959750WSep 4 · 24:10M. Trela1.859870W. Gluszek1.851111113WSep 3 · 23:45W. Gluszek1.861611113113K. Golaszewski1.8018881172
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