TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13114351
Played Sep 11Finished
Karol Sulkowski
Home
1.85
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161171210––––
Wojciech Gluszek
Away
1.85
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:23 and never touched — 63.9% is still 63.9%
Graded at full timeWojciech Gluszek to win
63.9%
63.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
57 points played in total.
Set by set
1161171210––––
H2H Karol Sulkowski 14–16 Wojciech Gluszek Karol Sulkowski has won 14 of their 30 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Sulkowski beat Gluszek 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:23What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.85 (50%)
Gluszek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-16 in 30
Gluszek
Wrong
gap of 2 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sulkowski 1319 vs Gluszek 1275
Sulkowski
Correct
both rated, 45 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sulkowski 80% vs Gluszek 40%
Sulkowski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sulkowski 60% vs Gluszek 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sulkowski -1 · Gluszek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sulkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 36% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gluszek form (40%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSulkowski 1.85 / Gluszek 1.85
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sulkowski)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13114351
Sulkowski1.85
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Gluszek1.85
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSulkowski5wins
AwayGluszek5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSulkowski75%3 of 4
AwayGluszek66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sulkowski4Gluszek6n = 10Gluszek took 6 of 10
S2Sulkowski6Gluszek4n = 10Sulkowski took 6 of 10
S3Sulkowski4Gluszek6n = 10Gluszek took 6 of 10
S4Sulkowski6Gluszek4n = 10Sulkowski took 6 of 10
S5Sulkowski2Gluszek2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSulkowskiGluszekS − GBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.839.4+1.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSulkowskiGluszekBasisWin rate · lifetime635 / 1282 vs 852 / 178849.5%47.7%635 / 1282 vs 852 / 1788Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SulkowskiSulkowski 1.85/Gluszek 1.85
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sulkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sulkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 16:15K. Sulkowski491111610113W. Gluszek4596111272
LSep 3 · 22:55K. Sulkowski50911911102W. Gluszek46118114123
LSep 3 · 20:05K. Sulkowski31127661W. Gluszek43101111113
LAug 25 · 23:45K. Sulkowski31961151W. Gluszek3811115113
WAug 25 · 24:35K. Sulkowski474111011113W. Gluszek4511812592
LAug 21 · 20:30K. Sulkowski386121191W. Gluszek4111145113
WJun 30 · 13:05K. Sulkowski3811511113W. Gluszek36711991
LJun 16 · 15:50K. Sulkowski4071171142W. Gluszek46114119113
WJun 15 · 20:05K. Sulkowski44111111113W. Gluszek30931351
WJun 15 · 11:50K. Sulkowski4071111113W. Gluszek24114541
K. Sulkowski10
LSep 11 · 23:20K. Marchlewski2.3011611113K. Sulkowski1.55711271LSep 11 · 22:35D. Poloszczanski1.85511611113K. Sulkowski1.8011311752LSep 11 · 21:05M. Lukaszewski2.151111113K. Sulkowski1.617880WSep 11 · 20:30K. Sulkowski1.52101112163K. Marchlewski2.3012810141WSep 11 · 18:55K. Sulkowski1.801111113P. Strus1.908760WSep 11 · 17:45K. Sulkowski2.0511118113D. Szlubowski1.68991171WSep 11 · 16:15K. Sulkowski1.681111610113W. Gluszek1.9496111272WSep 11 · 15:00K. Sulkowski1.6511126113M. Lukaszewski2.108101171LSep 10 · 08:35K. Klocek1.901311113K. Sulkowski1.8011690WSep 10 · 07:30K. Sulkowski1.8011114113D. Wrobel1.85791191
W. Gluszek10
LSep 12 · 23:20A. Wos1.211113113W. Gluszek3.6061170LSep 12 · 22:35D. Poloszczanski1.80101411113W. Gluszek1.851212991LSep 12 · 22:15W. Gluszek2.50411561R. Stapor1.4211911113WSep 12 · 21:05D. Kotwica1.76771291W. Gluszek1.90111110113LSep 12 · 20:05R. Stapor1.558111112113W. Gluszek2.2511971482LSep 12 · 19:20A. Wos1.2191111113W. Gluszek3.60117681LSep 12 · 17:20D. Kotwica1.801111113W. Gluszek1.908870LSep 12 · 16:35G. Kesik1.411111810113W. Gluszek2.6059111262LSep 12 · 15:00K. Marchlewski2.2511111013113W. Gluszek1.5775121582LSep 11 · 16:15K. Sulkowski1.681111610113W. Gluszek1.9496111272
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