TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13108732
Played Sep 11Finished
Karol Sulkowski
Home
1.65
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1181210611117––
Mikolaj Lukaszewski
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:04 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMikolaj Lukaszewski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
76 points played in total.
Set by set
1181210611117––
H2H Karol Sulkowski 20–14 Mikolaj Lukaszewski Mikolaj Lukaszewski has won 14 of their 34 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:04What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.65 (56%)
Sulkowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-14 in 34
Sulkowski
Correct
gap of 6 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sulkowski 1280 vs Lukaszewski 1313
Lukaszewski
Wrong
both rated, 33 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sulkowski 20% vs Lukaszewski 80%
Lukaszewski
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sulkowski 30% vs Lukaszewski 70%
Lukaszewski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sulkowski -1 · Lukaszewski +4
Lukaszewski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sulkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lukaszewski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSulkowski 1.65 / Lukaszewski 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sulkowski)-1.8pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13108732
Sulkowski1.65
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite54% won 223 of 412
Up 2–0, closes it97% 96 of 99
Up 1–0, closes it80% 169 of 212
Lukaszewski2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 282 of 678
Down 0–1, comes back15% 55 of 375
Down 0–2, comes back2% 4 of 199
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSulkowski5wins
AwayLukaszewski5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSulkowski100%4 of 4
AwayLukaszewski83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sulkowski4Lukaszewski6n = 10Lukaszewski took 6 of 10
S2Sulkowski5Lukaszewski5n = 10split evenly
S3Sulkowski6Lukaszewski4n = 10Sulkowski took 6 of 10
S4Sulkowski4Lukaszewski4n = 8split evenly
S5Sulkowski2Lukaszewski2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSulkowskiLukaszewskiS − LBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.738.9+0.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSulkowskiLukaszewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime630 / 1276 vs 917 / 200949.4%45.6%630 / 1276 vs 917 / 2009Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SulkowskiSulkowski 1.65/Lukaszewski 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.2%
Sulkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sulkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 04:55K. Sulkowski—671171M. Lukaszewski—11118113
WAug 27 · 21:55K. Sulkowski—11611113M. Lukaszewski—811751
LAug 27 · 24:10K. Sulkowski—681181M. Lukaszewski—11114113
LAug 26 · 15:00K. Sulkowski—71461182M. Lukaszewski—1112116113
WAug 25 · 22:55K. Sulkowski—1111113M. Lukaszewski—8990
LAug 21 · 06:30K. Sulkowski—9880M. Lukaszewski—1111113
WAug 20 · 07:20K. Sulkowski—1111911113M. Lukaszewski—71311862
WAug 19 · 06:30K. Sulkowski—1211119113M. Lukaszewski—14581182
WAug 9 · 09:00K. Sulkowski—11119113M. Lukaszewski—871171
LAug 9 · 07:40K. Sulkowski—81111652M. Lukaszewski—115811113
K. Sulkowski10
WSep 11 · 16:15K. Sulkowski1.681111610113W. Gluszek1.9496111272LSep 10 · 08:35K. Klocek1.901311113K. Sulkowski1.8011690WSep 10 · 07:30K. Sulkowski1.8011114113D. Wrobel1.85791191LSep 10 · 06:30M. Misiak1.77131111113K. Sulkowski1.95156781LSep 10 · 05:30J. Glanowski1.501111113K. Sulkowski2.407980LSep 10 · 03:25B. Wisniewski2.10119911113K. Sulkowski1.6591111872WSep 9 · 08:35M. Zwolinski2.50611671K. Sulkowski1.4711711113LSep 9 · 07:20K. Sulkowski1.801071191A. Szoltysek1.8612116113WSep 9 · 06:05A. Lilien1.501111891K. Sulkowski2.4013111113LSep 9 · 04:55M. Lukaszewski2.4311118113K. Sulkowski1.45671171
M. Lukaszewski10
WSep 10 · 23:20J. Rolak1.80711991M. Lukaszewski1.8511511113WSep 10 · 22:35M. Trela1.757970M. Lukaszewski1.951111113WSep 10 · 22:15M. Lukaszewski1.841111113K. Golaszewski1.808660WSep 10 · 21:05K. Klocek1.41521181M. Lukaszewski2.5511113113LSep 10 · 20:30M. Lukaszewski1.91671171J. Rolak1.7311115113WSep 10 · 18:55M. Lukaszewski1.95119811113B. Wisniewski1.7491111792WSep 10 · 17:45M. Lukaszewski1.84111111113K. Golaszewski1.80971391LSep 10 · 16:15M. Lukaszewski2.00971161A. Eliasz1.7111118113WSep 10 · 15:00M. Lukaszewski2.5591111113K. Klocek1.41114981WSep 9 · 04:55M. Lukaszewski2.4311118113K. Sulkowski1.45671171
Upcoming Matches
K. Sulkowski
Sep 11 · 17:45K. Sulkowski2.05D. Szlubowski1.66—Sep 11 · 18:55K. Sulkowski1.54P. Strus2.25—Sep 11 · 20:30K. Sulkowski1.50K. Marchlewski2.40—Sep 11 · 21:05K. Sulkowski1.55M. Lukaszewski2.20—Sep 11 · 22:15K. Sulkowski1.70W. Gluszek1.96—Sep 11 · 22:35K. Sulkowski1.57D. Poloszczanski2.16—Sep 11 · 23:20K. Sulkowski1.44K. Marchlewski2.46—
M. Lukaszewski
Sep 11 · 16:35M. Lukaszewski1.79P. Strus1.84—Sep 11 · 17:20M. Lukaszewski1.95W. Gluszek1.74—Sep 11 · 19:20M. Lukaszewski1.66K. Marchlewski2.05—Sep 11 · 20:05M. Lukaszewski2.40D. Szlubowski1.50—Sep 11 · 21:05M. Lukaszewski2.20K. Sulkowski1.55—Sep 11 · 22:55M. Lukaszewski1.99W. Gluszek1.67—Sep 11 · 23:45M. Lukaszewski1.87D. Poloszczanski1.77—Sep 12 · 24:10M. Lukaszewski1.64K. Marchlewski2.04—
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