TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13108304
Played Sep 10Finished
Mikolaj Lukaszewski
Home
1.95
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119911811117119
Bartlomiej Wisniewski
Away
1.74
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeBartlomiej Wisniewski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
97 points played in total.
Set by set
119911811117119
H2H Mikolaj Lukaszewski 55–51 Bartlomiej Wisniewski Bartlomiej Wisniewski has won 51 of their 106 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:03What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.74 (53%)
Wisniewski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
55-51 in 106
Lukaszewski
Correct
gap of 4 in 106, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lukaszewski 1254 vs Wisniewski 1267
Wisniewski
Wrong
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lukaszewski 60% vs Wisniewski 20%
Lukaszewski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lukaszewski 40% vs Wisniewski 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lukaszewski +1 · Wisniewski -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Wisniewski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wisniewski form (20%) is below what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLukaszewski 1.95 / Wisniewski 1.74
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Wisniewski)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13108304
Lukaszewski1.95
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 275 of 669
Down 0–1, comes back15% 54 of 372
Down 0–2, comes back2% 4 of 197
Wisniewski1.74
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 187 of 334
Up 2–0, closes it96% 95 of 99
Up 1–0, closes it78% 152 of 196
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLukaszewski5wins
AwayWisniewski5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLukaszewski100%5 of 5
AwayWisniewski100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lukaszewski5Wisniewski5n = 10split evenly
S2Lukaszewski5Wisniewski5n = 10split evenly
S3Lukaszewski5Wisniewski5n = 10split evenly
S4Lukaszewski1Wisniewski3n = 4Wisniewski took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricLukaszewskiWisniewskiL − WBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.135.9+0.2per matchSweeps3303–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLukaszewskiWisniewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime912 / 2007 vs 897 / 187645.4%47.8%912 / 2007 vs 897 / 1876Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.338.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WisniewskiLukaszewski 1.95/Wisniewski 1.74
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Wisniewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Lukaszewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 06:30M. Lukaszewski—1111123B. Wisniewski—98100
LAug 30 · 03:25M. Lukaszewski—11890B. Wisniewski—1311113
WAug 18 · 07:20M. Lukaszewski—11912113B. Wisniewski—8111071
LAug 16 · 07:20M. Lukaszewski—6811251B. Wisniewski—11119273
LAug 9 · 10:10M. Lukaszewski—9690B. Wisniewski—1111113
WAug 9 · 06:55M. Lukaszewski—1113113B. Wisniewski—81180
LAug 2 · 13:30M. Lukaszewski—7980B. Wisniewski—1111113
WAug 2 · 06:30M. Lukaszewski—111397113B. Wisniewski—311111182
WJul 22 · 19:20M. Lukaszewski—1111113B. Wisniewski—7790
LJul 19 · 13:30M. Lukaszewski—7111291B. Wisniewski—11714113
M. Lukaszewski10
WSep 11 · 21:05M. Lukaszewski2.151111113K. Sulkowski1.617880WSep 11 · 20:05D. Szlubowski1.607121491M. Lukaszewski2.20111016113WSep 11 · 19:20K. Marchlewski2.007119111M. Lukaszewski1.7011711133WSep 11 · 17:20W. Gluszek1.75611491M. Lukaszewski1.9511911113WSep 11 · 16:35P. Strus1.84119101192M. Lukaszewski1.79911129113LSep 11 · 15:00K. Sulkowski1.6511126113M. Lukaszewski2.108101171WSep 10 · 23:20J. Rolak1.80711991M. Lukaszewski1.8511511113WSep 10 · 22:35M. Trela1.757970M. Lukaszewski1.951111113WSep 10 · 22:15M. Lukaszewski1.841111113K. Golaszewski1.808660WSep 10 · 21:05K. Klocek1.41521181M. Lukaszewski2.5511113113
B. Wisniewski10
LSep 11 · 08:10M. Zagajewski1.528111011113B. Wisniewski2.3711812992WSep 11 · 07:20R. Stapor1.358911111B. Wisniewski2.8011113133LSep 11 · 05:15M. Trela1.60561111123B. Wisniewski2.20111196102LSep 11 · 04:30J. Glanowski1.351111113B. Wisniewski2.953890LSep 11 · 03:00M. Misiak1.46111114113B. Wisniewski2.55881691WSep 10 · 19:40A. Eliasz1.8612750B. Wisniewski1.831411113LSep 10 · 18:10B. Wisniewski1.86811951J. Rolak1.8011611113LSep 10 · 16:35B. Wisniewski2.389870K. Klocek1.471111113WSep 10 · 15:50K. Golaszewski1.951112971B. Wisniewski1.7581411113LSep 10 · 07:50B. Wisniewski2.75114581M. Misiak1.4071111113
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