TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13109480
Played Sep 10Finished
Kamil Klocek
Home
1.41
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511211113811––
Mikolaj Lukaszewski
Away
2.55
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:35 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeKamil Klocek to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
62 points played in total.
Set by set
511211113811––
H2H Kamil Klocek 25–18 Mikolaj Lukaszewski Mikolaj Lukaszewski has won 18 of their 43 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Lukaszewski beat Klocek 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:35What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.41 (64%)
Klocek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-18 in 43
Klocek
Wrong
gap of 7 in 43, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Klocek 1397 vs Lukaszewski 1253
Klocek
Wrong
both rated, 144 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Klocek 40% vs Lukaszewski 60%
Lukaszewski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Klocek 60% vs Lukaszewski 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Klocek -1 · Lukaszewski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Klocek) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lukaszewski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (39%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKlocek 1.41 / Lukaszewski 2.55
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Klocek)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13109480
Klocek1.41
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 251 of 403
Up 2–0, closes it96% 133 of 138
Up 1–0, closes it82% 192 of 235
Lukaszewski2.55
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 275 of 669
Down 0–1, comes back15% 54 of 372
Down 0–2, comes back2% 4 of 197
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKlocek5wins
AwayLukaszewski5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKlocek71.4%5 of 7
AwayLukaszewski100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Klocek7Lukaszewski3n = 10Klocek took 7 of 10
S2Klocek5Lukaszewski5n = 10split evenly
S3Klocek4Lukaszewski6n = 10Lukaszewski took 6 of 10
S4Klocek2Lukaszewski3n = 5Lukaszewski took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKlocekLukaszewskiK − LBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match35.132.3+2.8per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKlocekLukaszewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime452 / 858 vs 913 / 200952.7%45.5%452 / 858 vs 913 / 2009Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.736.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KlocekKlocek 1.41/Lukaszewski 2.55
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.6%
Klocek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Lukaszewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 15:00K. Klocek—114981M. Lukaszewski—91111113
WSep 4 · 03:25K. Klocek—1311113M. Lukaszewski—11810
LSep 3 · 06:30K. Klocek—10860M. Lukaszewski—1211113
WSep 2 · 05:40K. Klocek—119511113M. Lukaszewski—51111432
WSep 1 · 05:15K. Klocek—1111113M. Lukaszewski—7530
LAug 28 · 21:55K. Klocek—411961M. Lukaszewski—11711113
LAug 28 · 15:25K. Klocek—11670M. Lukaszewski—1311113
WAug 28 · 24:35K. Klocek—11711133M. Lukaszewski—9114111
WAug 27 · 07:20K. Klocek—1111113M. Lukaszewski—4460
LAug 4 · 05:40K. Klocek—121197122M. Lukaszewski—1081111143
K. Klocek10
LSep 10 · 20:05K. Golaszewski2.65712119133K. Klocek1.391110711112WSep 10 · 19:20J. Rolak2.5011813982K. Klocek1.433111111113LSep 10 · 17:20A. Eliasz2.37111110113K. Klocek1.48791291WSep 10 · 16:35B. Wisniewski2.389870K. Klocek1.471111113LSep 10 · 15:00M. Lukaszewski2.5591111113K. Klocek1.41114981WSep 10 · 08:35K. Klocek1.901311113K. Sulkowski1.8011690WSep 10 · 07:10K. Klocek2.101611123M. Misiak1.60146100WSep 10 · 06:10K. Klocek2.321131111113J. Glanowski1.5013118852LSep 10 · 04:05K. Klocek1.755560B. Wisniewski1.901111113WSep 10 · 03:00K. Klocek1.6912117113D. Wrobel1.971081181
M. Lukaszewski10
LSep 10 · 20:30M. Lukaszewski1.91671171J. Rolak1.7311115113WSep 10 · 18:55M. Lukaszewski1.95119811113B. Wisniewski1.7491111792WSep 10 · 17:45M. Lukaszewski1.84111111113K. Golaszewski1.80971391LSep 10 · 16:15M. Lukaszewski2.00971161A. Eliasz1.7111118113WSep 10 · 15:00M. Lukaszewski2.5591111113K. Klocek1.41114981LSep 9 · 08:10M. Lukaszewski2.006890A. Szoltysek1.701111113WSep 9 · 06:30B. Wisniewski1.7398100M. Lukaszewski1.911111123LSep 9 · 05:40M. Zwolinski1.9091116113M. Lukaszewski1.801191451WSep 9 · 04:55M. Lukaszewski2.4311118113K. Sulkowski1.45671171LSep 9 · 03:50M. Lukaszewski3.30461131A. Lilien1.2711119113
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