TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13108539
Played Sep 10Finished
Mikolaj Lukaszewski
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611711115711––
Jaroslaw Rolak
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:13 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJaroslaw Rolak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
69 points played in total.
Set by set
611711115711––
H2H Mikolaj Lukaszewski 21–20 Jaroslaw Rolak Jaroslaw Rolak has won 20 of their 41 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:13What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (52%)
Rolak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-20 in 41
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lukaszewski 1266 vs Rolak 1264
Lukaszewski
Wrong
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lukaszewski 60% vs Rolak 40%
Lukaszewski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lukaszewski 50% vs Rolak 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lukaszewski +2 · Rolak -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Rolak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rolak form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLukaszewski 1.91 / Rolak 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Rolak)+1.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13108539
Lukaszewski1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 275 of 669
Down 0–1, comes back15% 54 of 372
Down 0–2, comes back2% 4 of 197
Rolak1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite48% won 148 of 306
Up 2–0, closes it88% 75 of 85
Up 1–0, closes it68% 120 of 176
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLukaszewski5wins
AwayRolak5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLukaszewski66.7%4 of 6
AwayRolak75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lukaszewski6Rolak4n = 10Lukaszewski took 6 of 10
S2Lukaszewski4Rolak6n = 10Rolak took 6 of 10
S3Lukaszewski3Rolak7n = 10Rolak took 7 of 10
S4Lukaszewski4Rolak5n = 9Rolak took 5 of 9
S5Lukaszewski3Rolak1n = 4Lukaszewski took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLukaszewskiRolakL − RBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.142.2−4.1per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLukaszewskiRolakBasisWin rate · lifetime913 / 2008 vs 657 / 143945.5%45.7%913 / 2008 vs 657 / 1439Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.339.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RolakLukaszewski 1.91/Rolak 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Rolak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Rolak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 27 · 22:35M. Lukaszewski—111259113J. Rolak—910111182
LAug 25 · 22:15M. Lukaszewski—7880J. Rolak—1111113
WAug 14 · 24:10M. Lukaszewski—11117113J. Rolak—891181
WAug 11 · 21:05M. Lukaszewski—711115113J. Rolak—11981182
WAug 6 · 19:20M. Lukaszewski—11811123J. Rolak—8117101
WJul 22 · 24:35M. Lukaszewski—118811113J. Rolak—51111982
LJul 21 · 22:10M. Lukaszewski—611871J. Rolak—11811113
LJul 17 · 24:35M. Lukaszewski—125671J. Rolak—101111113
LJul 16 · 22:10M. Lukaszewski—11861172J. Rolak—911119113
LJul 16 · 16:55M. Lukaszewski—581151J. Rolak—11119113
M. Lukaszewski10
WSep 10 · 21:05K. Klocek1.41521181M. Lukaszewski2.5511113113WSep 10 · 18:55M. Lukaszewski1.95119811113B. Wisniewski1.7491111792WSep 10 · 17:45M. Lukaszewski1.84111111113K. Golaszewski1.80971391LSep 10 · 16:15M. Lukaszewski2.00971161A. Eliasz1.7111118113WSep 10 · 15:00M. Lukaszewski2.5591111113K. Klocek1.41114981LSep 9 · 08:10M. Lukaszewski2.006890A. Szoltysek1.701111113WSep 9 · 06:30B. Wisniewski1.7398100M. Lukaszewski1.911111123LSep 9 · 05:40M. Zwolinski1.9091116113M. Lukaszewski1.801191451WSep 9 · 04:55M. Lukaszewski2.4311118113K. Sulkowski1.45671171LSep 9 · 03:50M. Lukaszewski3.30461131A. Lilien1.2711119113
J. Rolak10
LSep 10 · 21:30J. Rolak1.751011111062K. Golaszewski1.89128512113LSep 10 · 19:20J. Rolak2.5011813982K. Klocek1.433111111113WSep 10 · 18:10B. Wisniewski1.86811951J. Rolak1.8011611113LSep 10 · 16:55K. Golaszewski1.9512911113J. Rolak1.701011961WSep 10 · 15:25A. Eliasz1.86513111082J. Rolak1.831111912113LSep 9 · 24:10J. Rolak2.467570K. Klocek1.441111113WSep 8 · 23:20J. Rolak1.8011117113K. Golaszewski1.86871131WSep 8 · 21:55J. Rolak1.541111113P. Ostachowski2.256350WSep 8 · 21:30J. Rolak1.911211113B. Mrugala1.7410870LSep 8 · 20:30K. Golaszewski1.87914511113J. Rolak1.83111211972
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