TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13102972
Played Sep 10Finished
Adrian Eliasz
Home
1.86
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
51113111191012811
Jaroslaw Rolak
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:27 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJaroslaw Rolak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
101 points played in total.
Set by set
51113111191012811
H2H Adrian Eliasz 13–6 Jaroslaw Rolak Jaroslaw Rolak has won 6 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:27What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Rolak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-6 in 19
Eliasz
Wrong
gap of 7 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Eliasz 1182 vs Rolak 1265
Rolak
Correct
both rated, 83 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Eliasz 20% vs Rolak 60%
Rolak
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Eliasz 30% vs Rolak 60%
Rolak
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Eliasz +1 · Rolak -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Rolak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Eliasz form (20%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsEliasz 1.86 / Rolak 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Rolak)+3.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13102972
Eliasz1.86
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 83 of 249
Down 0–1, comes back20% 30 of 151
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 79
Rolak1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite48% won 148 of 306
Up 2–0, closes it88% 75 of 85
Up 1–0, closes it68% 120 of 176
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeEliasz6wins
AwayRolak4wins
7 of 10 to a deciderEliasz leads 6–4, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeEliasz50%2 of 4
AwayRolak33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Eliasz4Rolak6n = 10Rolak took 6 of 10
S2Eliasz5Rolak5n = 10split evenly
S3Eliasz7Rolak3n = 10Eliasz took 7 of 10
S4Eliasz7Rolak3n = 10Eliasz took 7 of 10
S5Eliasz3Rolak4n = 7Rolak took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricEliaszRolakE − RBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match44.444.7−0.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricEliaszRolakBasisWin rate · lifetime333 / 897 vs 656 / 143637.1%45.7%333 / 897 vs 656 / 1436Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.939.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RolakEliasz 1.86/Rolak 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Rolak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Rolak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 15:25A. Eliasz—513111082J. Rolak—1111912113
WAug 18 · 21:30A. Eliasz—661111113J. Rolak—11118752
WAug 18 · 17:45A. Eliasz—11116113J. Rolak—861181
LJul 30 · 21:55A. Eliasz—13311952J. Rolak—1111911113
WJul 11 · 09:25A. Eliasz—513911113J. Rolak—111111772
LJul 11 · 05:40A. Eliasz—97111182J. Rolak—111166113
LJul 11 · 03:25A. Eliasz—11571192J. Rolak—811114113
WJul 3 · 24:35A. Eliasz—101311143J. Rolak—12119121
WJul 2 · 22:10A. Eliasz—41112143J. Rolak—11410121
WJul 2 · 16:55A. Eliasz—118114113J. Rolak—91191172
A. Eliasz10
WSep 10 · 17:20A. Eliasz2.37111110113K. Klocek1.48791291WSep 10 · 16:15M. Lukaszewski2.00971161A. Eliasz1.7111118113WAug 30 · 13:55A. Eliasz2.20117911113M. Sinicki1.5791111982LAug 30 · 12:40A. Eliasz1.9181311882B. Wisniewski1.781111811113LAug 30 · 11:25A. Eliasz1.7811691272K. Marchlewski1.937111110113LAug 30 · 10:10M. Piecowski1.55117119113A. Eliasz2.2571191192LAug 30 · 09:25A. Eliasz1.4781111582M. Piecowski2.45115911113LAug 30 · 08:35A. Eliasz1.86791291B. Wisniewski1.83111110113LAug 30 · 06:55A. Eliasz1.491141161M. Piecowski2.4513119113LAug 30 · 05:40A. Eliasz2.10117991M. Piecowski1.6581111113
J. Rolak10
LSep 10 · 16:55K. Golaszewski1.9512911113J. Rolak1.701011961LSep 9 · 24:10J. Rolak2.467570K. Klocek1.441111113WSep 8 · 23:20J. Rolak1.8011117113K. Golaszewski1.86871131WSep 8 · 21:55J. Rolak1.541111113P. Ostachowski2.256350WSep 8 · 21:30J. Rolak1.911211113B. Mrugala1.7410870LSep 8 · 20:30K. Golaszewski1.87914511113J. Rolak1.83111211972LSep 8 · 19:20J. Rolak2.46711614102K. Klocek1.441171112123WSep 8 · 18:10D. Szlubowski1.441181351J. Rolak2.4681115113LSep 8 · 16:55B. Mrugala1.80119211133J. Rolak1.86811119112WSep 8 · 15:25P. Ostachowski5.106680J. Rolak1.121111113
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