TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13046506
Played Aug 30Finished
Milosz Piecowski
Home
1.55
At publish
Won last 9Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 9
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
117711119911119
Adrian Eliasz
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:28 and never touched — 68.2% is still 68.2%
Graded at full timeMilosz Piecowski to win
68.2%
68.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
96 points played in total.
Set by set
117711119911119
H2H Milosz Piecowski 39–15 Adrian Eliasz Adrian Eliasz has won 15 of their 54 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:28What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.55 (59%)
Piecowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
39-15 in 54
Piecowski
Correct
gap of 24 in 54, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Piecowski 1403 vs Eliasz 1210
Piecowski
Correct
both rated, 193 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Piecowski 100% vs Eliasz 20%
Piecowski
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Piecowski 90% vs Eliasz 40%
Piecowski
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Piecowski +5 · Eliasz -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Piecowski) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Eliasz form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPiecowski 1.55 / Eliasz 2.25
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Piecowski)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13046506
Piecowski1.55
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 9
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 138 of 247
Up 2–0, closes it93% 37 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it74% 83 of 112
Eliasz2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 85 of 257
Down 0–1, comes back19% 30 of 156
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 84
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePiecowski7wins
AwayEliasz3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPiecowski leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePiecowski83.3%5 of 6
AwayEliasz50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Piecowski6Eliasz4n = 10Piecowski took 6 of 10
S2Piecowski3Eliasz7n = 10Eliasz took 7 of 10
S3Piecowski9Eliasz1n = 10Piecowski took 9 of 10
S4Piecowski6Eliasz4n = 10Piecowski took 6 of 10
S5Piecowski2Eliasz2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPiecowskiEliaszP − EBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.141.9+1.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPiecowskiEliaszBasisWin rate · lifetime865 / 1746 vs 366 / 96749.5%37.9%865 / 1746 vs 366 / 967Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.136.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PiecowskiPiecowski 1.55/Eliasz 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.6%
Piecowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Piecowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 05:40M. Piecowski—81111113A. Eliasz—117991
LJun 14 · 15:30M. Piecowski—711111092A. Eliasz—118912113
WApr 19 · 16:20M. Piecowski—111111113A. Eliasz—713991
LApr 19 · 01:30M. Piecowski—11712972A. Eliasz—9111011113
WApr 18 · 23:00M. Piecowski—116119113A. Eliasz—91191162
WApr 18 · 18:35M. Piecowski—13811133A. Eliasz—11118111
WMar 15 · 20:00M. Piecowski—11711113A. Eliasz—711891
WMar 15 · 24:50M. Piecowski—31111113A. Eliasz—115881
LMar 14 · 22:30M. Piecowski—71011101A. Eliasz—11128123
WJan 11 · 20:00M. Piecowski—114811113A. Eliasz—81111782
M. Piecowski10
WSep 3 · 24:10M. Piecowski1.34111578113M. Piecowski2.90713111192WSep 2 · 23:20M. Piecowski1.831114113M. Kowalczyk1.8691270WSep 2 · 21:55M. Piecowski1.8511911113K. Marchlewski1.80711991LSep 2 · 21:30M. Piecowski1.6071110101W. Gluszek2.1011912123WSep 2 · 20:30M. Piecowski1.86111011113M. Kowalczyk1.83912691WSep 2 · 18:55M. Piecowski1.8571111123P. Strus1.851179101WSep 2 · 17:45M. Piecowski1.55101211123W. Gluszek2.2512108101WSep 2 · 16:15M. Piecowski1.831110118113K. Marchlewski1.8681241172LSep 2 · 15:00M. Piecowski1.471112991M. Piecowski2.45131011113LSep 1 · 24:35B. Mrugala2.171111113M. Piecowski1.597880
A. Eliasz10
WAug 30 · 13:55A. Eliasz2.20117911113M. Sinicki1.5791111982LAug 30 · 12:40A. Eliasz1.9181311882B. Wisniewski1.781111811113LAug 30 · 11:25A. Eliasz1.7811691272K. Marchlewski1.937111110113LAug 30 · 09:25A. Eliasz1.4781111582M. Piecowski2.45115911113LAug 30 · 08:35A. Eliasz1.86791291B. Wisniewski1.83111110113LAug 30 · 06:55A. Eliasz1.491141161M. Piecowski2.4513119113LAug 30 · 05:40A. Eliasz2.10117991M. Piecowski1.6581111113WAug 30 · 04:10A. Eliasz1.83111147113M. Lukaszewski1.8357111182WAug 30 · 03:00A. Eliasz1.851111113K. Marchlewski1.855680LAug 29 · 24:35K. Klocek1.601111113A. Eliasz2.102240
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