TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13045434
Played Aug 30Finished
Adrian Eliasz
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
115117411711118
Mikolaj Lukaszewski
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:17 and never touched — 54.2% is still 54.2%
Graded at full timeAdrian Eliasz to win
54.2%
54.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
86 points played in total.
Set by set
115117411711118
H2H Adrian Eliasz 7–7 Mikolaj Lukaszewski Dead even across their 14 meetings.
Last 10 · 4–6Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 02:17What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Lukaszewski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-7 in 14
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Eliasz 1245 vs Lukaszewski 1193
Eliasz
Correct
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Eliasz 60% vs Lukaszewski 20%
Eliasz
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Eliasz 50% vs Lukaszewski 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Eliasz +1 · Lukaszewski -3
Lukaszewski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Eliasz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lukaszewski form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsEliasz 1.83 / Lukaszewski 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Eliasz)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13045434
Eliasz1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Lukaszewski1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeEliasz4wins
AwayLukaszewski6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLukaszewski leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeEliasz60%3 of 5
AwayLukaszewski80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Eliasz5Lukaszewski5n = 10split evenly
S2Eliasz4Lukaszewski6n = 10Lukaszewski took 6 of 10
S3Eliasz7Lukaszewski3n = 10Eliasz took 7 of 10
S4Eliasz3Lukaszewski7n = 10Lukaszewski took 7 of 10
S5Eliasz1Lukaszewski2n = 3Lukaszewski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricEliaszLukaszewskiE − LBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.341.4−1.1per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricEliaszLukaszewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime365 / 962 vs 923 / 203437.9%45.4%365 / 962 vs 923 / 2034Avg sets wonper match1.71.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.836.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
EliaszEliasz 1.83/Lukaszewski 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Eliasz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Eliasz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 28 · 21:30A. Eliasz—13511143M. Lukaszewski—11115121
LAug 28 · 16:55A. Eliasz—1187111M. Lukaszewski—91111133
LJul 19 · 14:40A. Eliasz—81111582M. Lukaszewski—119611113
LJul 2 · 15:50A. Eliasz—111012792M. Lukaszewski—8121011113
LJun 28 · 09:25A. Eliasz—961181M. Lukaszewski—11118113
WJun 28 · 06:05A. Eliasz—111166113M. Lukaszewski—77111172
WJun 28 · 03:50A. Eliasz—91111113M. Lukaszewski—116891
LFeb 17 · 15:15A. Eliasz—871191M. Lukaszewski—11117113
LJan 18 · 18:20A. Eliasz—1061191M. Lukaszewski—12118113
WDec 29 · 24:25A. Eliasz—11116113M. Lukaszewski—781151
A. Eliasz10
WAug 30 · 13:55A. Eliasz2.20117911113M. Sinicki1.5791111982LAug 30 · 12:40A. Eliasz1.9181311882B. Wisniewski1.781111811113LAug 30 · 11:25A. Eliasz1.7811691272K. Marchlewski1.937111110113LAug 30 · 10:10M. Piecowski1.55117119113A. Eliasz2.2571191192LAug 30 · 09:25A. Eliasz1.4781111582M. Piecowski2.45115911113LAug 30 · 08:35A. Eliasz1.86791291B. Wisniewski1.83111110113LAug 30 · 06:55A. Eliasz1.491141161M. Piecowski2.4513119113LAug 30 · 05:40A. Eliasz2.10117991M. Piecowski1.6581111113WAug 30 · 03:00A. Eliasz1.851111113K. Marchlewski1.855680LAug 29 · 24:35K. Klocek1.601111113A. Eliasz2.102240
M. Lukaszewski10
LSep 4 · 13:55A. Myszewski1.28131111113M. Lukaszewski3.251113761LSep 4 · 13:05M. Misiak1.221111113M. Lukaszewski3.704840WSep 4 · 12:15M. Lukaszewski3.7581512113A. Lilien1.2211131081WSep 4 · 10:35M. Lukaszewski2.55811911113W. Gronowski1.4311911772LSep 4 · 09:50M. Minda1.23111111123M. Lukaszewski3.558134101WSep 4 · 08:35A. Myszewski1.411111111192M. Lukaszewski2.60213713113LSep 4 · 07:20M. Lukaszewski3.355770B. Sulkowski1.271111113LSep 4 · 06:05M. Misiak1.2511119113M. Lukaszewski3.45771121LSep 4 · 04:55W. Gronowski1.3611117113M. Lukaszewski2.80281171LSep 4 · 03:25K. Klocek1.651311113M. Lukaszewski2.0511810
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