TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13045816
Played Aug 30Finished
Adrian Eliasz
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118711911911––
Milosz Piecowski
Away
1.65
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:15 and never touched — 65.3% is still 65.3%
Graded at full timeMilosz Piecowski to win
65.3%
65.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
77 points played in total.
Set by set
118711911911––
H2H Adrian Eliasz 15–38 Milosz Piecowski Adrian Eliasz has won 15 of their 53 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 03:15What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.65 (56%)
Piecowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-38 in 53
Piecowski
Correct
gap of 23 in 53, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Eliasz 1254 vs Piecowski 1371
Piecowski
Correct
both rated, 117 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Eliasz 60% vs Piecowski 80%
Piecowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Eliasz 50% vs Piecowski 80%
Piecowski
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Eliasz +2 · Piecowski +4
Piecowski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Piecowski) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Piecowski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (61%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsEliasz 2.10 / Piecowski 1.65
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Piecowski)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13045816
Eliasz2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 85 of 257
Down 0–1, comes back19% 30 of 156
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 84
Piecowski1.65
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 138 of 247
Up 2–0, closes it93% 37 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it74% 83 of 112
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeEliasz3wins
AwayPiecowski7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPiecowski leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeEliasz50%2 of 4
AwayPiecowski83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Eliasz4Piecowski6n = 10Piecowski took 6 of 10
S2Eliasz7Piecowski3n = 10Eliasz took 7 of 10
S3Eliasz1Piecowski9n = 10Piecowski took 9 of 10
S4Eliasz4Piecowski6n = 10Piecowski took 6 of 10
S5Eliasz2Piecowski2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricEliaszPiecowskiE − PBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.443.0−1.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricEliaszPiecowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime366 / 963 vs 860 / 174138%49.4%366 / 963 vs 860 / 1741Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.838.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PiecowskiEliasz 2.10/Piecowski 1.65
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.4%
Piecowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Piecowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 14 · 15:30A. Eliasz—118912113M. Piecowski—711111092
LApr 19 · 16:20A. Eliasz—713991M. Piecowski—111111113
WApr 19 · 01:30A. Eliasz—9111011113M. Piecowski—11712972
LApr 18 · 23:00A. Eliasz—91191162M. Piecowski—116119113
LApr 18 · 18:35A. Eliasz—11118111M. Piecowski—13811133
LMar 15 · 20:00A. Eliasz—711891M. Piecowski—11711113
LMar 15 · 24:50A. Eliasz—115881M. Piecowski—31111113
WMar 14 · 22:30A. Eliasz—11128123M. Piecowski—71011101
LJan 11 · 20:00A. Eliasz—81111782M. Piecowski—114811113
LDec 12 · 18:45A. Eliasz—115961M. Piecowski—71111113
A. Eliasz10
WAug 30 · 13:55A. Eliasz2.20117911113M. Sinicki1.5791111982LAug 30 · 12:40A. Eliasz1.9181311882B. Wisniewski1.781111811113LAug 30 · 11:25A. Eliasz1.7811691272K. Marchlewski1.937111110113LAug 30 · 10:10M. Piecowski1.55117119113A. Eliasz2.2571191192LAug 30 · 09:25A. Eliasz1.4781111582M. Piecowski2.45115911113LAug 30 · 08:35A. Eliasz1.86791291B. Wisniewski1.83111110113LAug 30 · 06:55A. Eliasz1.491141161M. Piecowski2.4513119113WAug 30 · 04:10A. Eliasz1.83111147113M. Lukaszewski1.8357111182WAug 30 · 03:00A. Eliasz1.851111113K. Marchlewski1.855680LAug 29 · 24:35K. Klocek1.601111113A. Eliasz2.102240
M. Piecowski10
WSep 3 · 24:10M. Piecowski1.34111578113M. Piecowski2.90713111192WSep 2 · 23:20M. Piecowski1.831114113M. Kowalczyk1.8691270WSep 2 · 21:55M. Piecowski1.8511911113K. Marchlewski1.80711991LSep 2 · 21:30M. Piecowski1.6071110101W. Gluszek2.1011912123WSep 2 · 20:30M. Piecowski1.86111011113M. Kowalczyk1.83912691WSep 2 · 18:55M. Piecowski1.8571111123P. Strus1.851179101WSep 2 · 17:45M. Piecowski1.55101211123W. Gluszek2.2512108101WSep 2 · 16:15M. Piecowski1.831110118113K. Marchlewski1.8681241172LSep 2 · 15:00M. Piecowski1.471112991M. Piecowski2.45131011113WAug 30 · 10:10M. Piecowski1.55117119113A. Eliasz2.2571191192
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