TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13108082
Played Sep 10Finished
Mikolaj Lukaszewski
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911711118611––
Adrian Eliasz
Away
1.71
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:06 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdrian Eliasz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
74 points played in total.
Set by set
911711118611––
H2H Mikolaj Lukaszewski 7–8 Adrian Eliasz Mikolaj Lukaszewski has won 7 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:06What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.71 (54%)
Eliasz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-8 in 15
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lukaszewski 1259 vs Eliasz 1173
Lukaszewski
Wrong
both rated, 86 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lukaszewski 60% vs Eliasz 20%
Lukaszewski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lukaszewski 50% vs Eliasz 20%
Lukaszewski
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lukaszewski +1 · Eliasz -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Eliasz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Eliasz form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLukaszewski 2.00 / Eliasz 1.71
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Eliasz)+0.1pp
TT Elite Series · #13108082
Lukaszewski2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 275 of 669
Down 0–1, comes back15% 54 of 372
Down 0–2, comes back2% 4 of 197
Eliasz1.71
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite51% won 66 of 130
Up 2–0, closes it93% 27 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it67% 46 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLukaszewski6wins
AwayEliasz4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLukaszewski leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLukaszewski80%4 of 5
AwayEliasz60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lukaszewski5Eliasz5n = 10split evenly
S2Lukaszewski6Eliasz4n = 10Lukaszewski took 6 of 10
S3Lukaszewski3Eliasz7n = 10Eliasz took 7 of 10
S4Lukaszewski8Eliasz2n = 10Lukaszewski took 8 of 10
S5Lukaszewski2Eliasz2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLukaszewskiEliaszL − EBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.540.8+1.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLukaszewskiEliaszBasisWin rate · lifetime911 / 2005 vs 333 / 89745.4%37.1%911 / 2005 vs 333 / 897Avg sets wonper match1.81.7per matchAvg pointsper match36.336.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
EliaszLukaszewski 2.00/Eliasz 1.71
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Eliasz · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Eliasz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 30 · 04:10M. Lukaszewski—57111182A. Eliasz—111147113
LAug 28 · 21:30M. Lukaszewski—11115121A. Eliasz—13511143
WAug 28 · 16:55M. Lukaszewski—91111133A. Eliasz—1187111
WJul 19 · 14:40M. Lukaszewski—119611113A. Eliasz—81111582
WJul 2 · 15:50M. Lukaszewski—8121011113A. Eliasz—111012792
WJun 28 · 09:25M. Lukaszewski—11118113A. Eliasz—961181
LJun 28 · 06:05M. Lukaszewski—77111172A. Eliasz—111166113
LJun 28 · 03:50M. Lukaszewski—116891A. Eliasz—91111113
WFeb 17 · 15:15M. Lukaszewski—11117113A. Eliasz—871191
WJan 18 · 18:20M. Lukaszewski—12118113A. Eliasz—1061191
M. Lukaszewski10
WSep 10 · 17:45M. Lukaszewski1.84111111113K. Golaszewski1.80971391WSep 10 · 15:00M. Lukaszewski2.5591111113K. Klocek1.41114981LSep 9 · 08:10M. Lukaszewski2.006890A. Szoltysek1.701111113WSep 9 · 06:30B. Wisniewski1.7398100M. Lukaszewski1.911111123LSep 9 · 05:40M. Zwolinski1.9091116113M. Lukaszewski1.801191451WSep 9 · 04:55M. Lukaszewski2.4311118113K. Sulkowski1.45671171LSep 9 · 03:50M. Lukaszewski3.30461131A. Lilien1.2711119113LSep 4 · 13:55A. Myszewski1.28131111113M. Lukaszewski3.251113761LSep 4 · 13:05M. Misiak1.221111113M. Lukaszewski3.704840WSep 4 · 12:15M. Lukaszewski3.7581512113A. Lilien1.2211131081
A. Eliasz10
WSep 10 · 17:20A. Eliasz2.37111110113K. Klocek1.48791291LSep 10 · 15:25A. Eliasz1.86513111082J. Rolak1.831111912113WAug 30 · 13:55A. Eliasz2.20117911113M. Sinicki1.5791111982LAug 30 · 12:40A. Eliasz1.9181311882B. Wisniewski1.781111811113LAug 30 · 11:25A. Eliasz1.7811691272K. Marchlewski1.937111110113LAug 30 · 10:10M. Piecowski1.55117119113A. Eliasz2.2571191192LAug 30 · 09:25A. Eliasz1.4781111582M. Piecowski2.45115911113LAug 30 · 08:35A. Eliasz1.86791291B. Wisniewski1.83111110113LAug 30 · 06:55A. Eliasz1.491141161M. Piecowski2.4513119113LAug 30 · 05:40A. Eliasz2.10117991M. Piecowski1.6581111113
Upcoming Matches
M. Lukaszewski1 of 7 neutral
Sep 10 · 18:55M. Lukaszewski1.95B. Wisniewski1.74—Sep 10 · 20:30M. Lukaszewski1.91J. Rolak1.73—Sep 10 · 21:05M. Lukaszewski2.55K. Klocek1.41—Sep 10 · 22:15M. Lukaszewski1.84K. Golaszewski1.80—Sep 10 · 22:35M. Lukaszewski2.31M. Trela1.50—Sep 10 · 23:20M. Lukaszewski1.86J. Rolak1.80—Sep 11 · 15:00M. Lukaszewski—K. Sulkowski——
A. Eliasz
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