TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13109477
Played Sep 10Finished
Jaroslaw Rolak
Home
1.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
10121181151012611
Kuba Golaszewski
Away
1.89
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:35 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJaroslaw Rolak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
96 points played in total.
Set by set
10121181151012611
H2H Jaroslaw Rolak 41–56 Kuba Golaszewski Jaroslaw Rolak has won 41 of their 97 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Golaszewski beat Rolak 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:35What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (52%)
Rolak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
41-56 in 97
Golaszewski
Correct
gap of 15 in 97, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rolak 1276 vs Golaszewski 1187
Rolak
Wrong
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rolak 60% vs Golaszewski 40%
Rolak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rolak 60% vs Golaszewski 40%
Rolak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rolak +1 · Golaszewski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Rolak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Golaszewski form (40%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRolak 1.75 / Golaszewski 1.89
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Rolak)+2.1pp
TT Elite Series · #13109477
Rolak1.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite48% won 148 of 306
Up 2–0, closes it88% 75 of 85
Up 1–0, closes it68% 120 of 176
Golaszewski1.89
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 194 of 477
Down 0–1, comes back18% 46 of 256
Down 0–2, comes back4% 6 of 135
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRolak5wins
AwayGolaszewski5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRolak66.7%4 of 6
AwayGolaszewski75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rolak6Golaszewski4n = 10Rolak took 6 of 10
S2Rolak6Golaszewski4n = 10Rolak took 6 of 10
S3Rolak2Golaszewski8n = 10Golaszewski took 8 of 10
S4Rolak4Golaszewski4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricRolakGolaszewskiR − GBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.436.9−0.5per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRolakGolaszewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime658 / 1440 vs 403 / 95845.7%42.1%658 / 1440 vs 403 / 958Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.137.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RolakRolak 1.75/Golaszewski 1.89
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Rolak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Golaszewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 16:55J. Rolak—1011961K. Golaszewski—12911113
WSep 8 · 23:20J. Rolak—11117113K. Golaszewski—871131
LSep 8 · 20:30J. Rolak—111211972K. Golaszewski—914511113
LSep 3 · 22:35J. Rolak—2940K. Golaszewski—1111113
WSep 3 · 18:10J. Rolak—121110113K. Golaszewski—1071281
WAug 20 · 21:05J. Rolak—41111113K. Golaszewski—114861
WAug 20 · 19:20J. Rolak—1111610113K. Golaszewski—67111282
LAug 13 · 21:55J. Rolak—115591K. Golaszewski—51111113
WAug 11 · 22:35J. Rolak—11113113K. Golaszewski—941191
LAug 7 · 19:40J. Rolak—9990K. Golaszewski—1111113
J. Rolak10
LSep 10 · 21:55J. Rolak1.70910111182M. Trela2.00111267113WSep 10 · 20:30M. Lukaszewski1.91671171J. Rolak1.7311115113LSep 10 · 19:20J. Rolak2.5011813982K. Klocek1.433111111113WSep 10 · 18:10B. Wisniewski1.86811951J. Rolak1.8011611113LSep 10 · 16:55K. Golaszewski1.9512911113J. Rolak1.701011961WSep 10 · 15:25A. Eliasz1.86513111082J. Rolak1.831111912113LSep 9 · 24:10J. Rolak2.467570K. Klocek1.441111113WSep 8 · 23:20J. Rolak1.8011117113K. Golaszewski1.86871131WSep 8 · 21:55J. Rolak1.541111113P. Ostachowski2.256350WSep 8 · 21:30J. Rolak1.911211113B. Mrugala1.7410870
K. Golaszewski10
WSep 10 · 20:05K. Golaszewski2.65712119133K. Klocek1.391110711112LSep 10 · 18:30A. Eliasz1.7215116113K. Golaszewski1.931381191LSep 10 · 17:45M. Lukaszewski1.84111111113K. Golaszewski1.80971391WSep 10 · 16:55K. Golaszewski1.9512911113J. Rolak1.701011961LSep 10 · 15:50K. Golaszewski1.951112971B. Wisniewski1.7581411113LSep 10 · 24:35K. Golaszewski2.6010950K. Klocek1.411211113WSep 9 · 23:45P. Ostachowski2.1271111972K. Golaszewski1.62115911113LSep 9 · 22:35K. Golaszewski2.15911861M. Trela1.6011911113WSep 9 · 21:55A. Myszewski1.52116491K. Golaszewski2.3061111113LSep 8 · 23:20J. Rolak1.8011117113K. Golaszewski1.86871131
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