TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13108188
Played Sep 10Finished
Bartlomiej Wisniewski
Home
1.86
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811116911511––
Jaroslaw Rolak
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:02 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJaroslaw Rolak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
72 points played in total.
Set by set
811116911511––
H2H Bartlomiej Wisniewski 106–98 Jaroslaw Rolak Jaroslaw Rolak has won 98 of their 204 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:02What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Rolak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
106-98 in 204
Wisniewski
Wrong
gap of 8 in 204, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wisniewski 1280 vs Rolak 1258
Wisniewski
Wrong
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wisniewski 20% vs Rolak 60%
Rolak
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wisniewski 40% vs Rolak 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wisniewski -1 · Rolak -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Rolak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wisniewski form (20%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWisniewski 1.86 / Rolak 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Rolak)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13108188
Wisniewski1.86
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 184 of 466
Down 0–1, comes back16% 41 of 263
Down 0–2, comes back1% 2 of 141
Rolak1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite48% won 148 of 306
Up 2–0, closes it88% 75 of 85
Up 1–0, closes it68% 120 of 176
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWisniewski6wins
AwayRolak4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderWisniewski leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWisniewski100%5 of 5
AwayRolak80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wisniewski5Rolak5n = 10split evenly
S2Wisniewski3Rolak7n = 10Rolak took 7 of 10
S3Wisniewski6Rolak4n = 10Wisniewski took 6 of 10
S4Wisniewski2Rolak5n = 7Rolak took 5 of 7
S5Wisniewski4Rolak0n = 4Wisniewski took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricWisniewskiRolakW − RBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.342.3−3.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWisniewskiRolakBasisWin rate · lifetime897 / 1875 vs 656 / 143747.8%45.7%897 / 1875 vs 656 / 1437Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.839.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RolakWisniewski 1.86/Rolak 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Rolak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Rolak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 15:25B. Wisniewski—1211117113J. Rolak—101391182
LAug 31 · 23:20B. Wisniewski—8101271J. Rolak—111210113
LAug 31 · 20:30B. Wisniewski—861171J. Rolak—11117113
WAug 29 · 07:20B. Wisniewski—115611143J. Rolak—711117122
LAug 27 · 19:20B. Wisniewski—101090J. Rolak—1212113
WAug 25 · 19:20B. Wisniewski—81111133J. Rolak—1186111
WAug 22 · 13:55B. Wisniewski—148134113J. Rolak—1211111172
LAug 22 · 08:35B. Wisniewski—5760J. Rolak—1111113
WAug 15 · 10:10B. Wisniewski—141256113J. Rolak—1210111192
WAug 15 · 04:55B. Wisniewski—1511113J. Rolak—13990
B. Wisniewski10
LSep 10 · 16:35B. Wisniewski2.389870K. Klocek1.471111113WSep 10 · 15:50K. Golaszewski1.951112971B. Wisniewski1.7581411113LSep 10 · 07:50B. Wisniewski2.75114581M. Misiak1.4071111113LSep 10 · 06:50B. Wisniewski2.85117381J. Glanowski1.3581111113LSep 10 · 05:50B. Wisniewski1.9571141182D. Wrobel1.75117117113WSep 10 · 04:05K. Klocek1.755560B. Wisniewski1.901111113WSep 10 · 03:25B. Wisniewski2.10119911113K. Sulkowski1.6591111872LSep 9 · 07:40B. Wisniewski3.156790A. Lilien1.301111113LSep 9 · 06:30B. Wisniewski1.7398100M. Lukaszewski1.911111123WSep 9 · 05:15B. Wisniewski2.1661111143A. Szoltysek1.571168121
J. Rolak10
LSep 10 · 16:55K. Golaszewski1.9512911113J. Rolak1.701011961WSep 10 · 15:25A. Eliasz1.86513111082J. Rolak1.831111912113LSep 9 · 24:10J. Rolak2.467570K. Klocek1.441111113WSep 8 · 23:20J. Rolak1.8011117113K. Golaszewski1.86871131WSep 8 · 21:55J. Rolak1.541111113P. Ostachowski2.256350WSep 8 · 21:30J. Rolak1.911211113B. Mrugala1.7410870LSep 8 · 20:30K. Golaszewski1.87914511113J. Rolak1.83111211972LSep 8 · 19:20J. Rolak2.46711614102K. Klocek1.441171112123WSep 8 · 18:10D. Szlubowski1.441181351J. Rolak2.4681115113LSep 8 · 16:55B. Mrugala1.80119211133J. Rolak1.86811119112
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