TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13106884
Played Sep 10Finished
Jaroslaw Rolak
Home
1.70
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9111012116117811
Mateusz Trela
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:13 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMateusz Trela to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
96 points played in total.
Set by set
9111012116117811
H2H Jaroslaw Rolak 24–27 Mateusz Trela Jaroslaw Rolak has won 24 of their 51 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:13What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.70 (54%)
Rolak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-27 in 51
Trela
Correct
gap of 3 in 51, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rolak 1262 vs Trela 1392
Trela
Correct
both rated, 130 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rolak 40% vs Trela 80%
Trela
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rolak 60% vs Trela 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rolak -1 · Trela +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Rolak) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Trela form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRolak 1.70 / Trela 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Rolak)-0.1pp
TT Elite Series · #13106884
Rolak1.70
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite48% won 148 of 306
Up 2–0, closes it88% 75 of 85
Up 1–0, closes it68% 120 of 176
Trela2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 173 of 393
Down 0–1, comes back26% 58 of 220
Down 0–2, comes back10% 11 of 111
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRolak4wins
AwayTrela6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderTrela leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRolak80%4 of 5
AwayTrela100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rolak5Trela5n = 10split evenly
S2Rolak5Trela5n = 10split evenly
S3Rolak4Trela6n = 10Trela took 6 of 10
S4Rolak4Trela5n = 9Trela took 5 of 9
S5Rolak2Trela3n = 5Trela took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRolakTrelaR − TBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match44.945.8−0.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRolakTrelaBasisWin rate · lifetime658 / 1441 vs 818 / 166645.7%49.1%658 / 1441 vs 818 / 1666Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RolakRolak 1.70/Trela 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Rolak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Trela won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 20:30J. Rolak—89100M. Trela—1111123
WAug 8 · 07:40J. Rolak—1412118113M. Trela—121451192
LAug 4 · 22:35J. Rolak—811911102M. Trela—115119123
LJul 30 · 23:20J. Rolak—1114871M. Trela—131211113
WJul 30 · 20:30J. Rolak—11911123M. Trela—7118101
WJul 9 · 15:25J. Rolak—111110153M. Trela—9912131
LJul 4 · 09:25J. Rolak—1189141M. Trela—91111163
LJul 4 · 07:20J. Rolak—71111592M. Trela—119611113
WJul 4 · 04:55J. Rolak—1271113113M. Trela—101191592
LApr 7 · 16:25J. Rolak—1011101162M. Trela—128127113
J. Rolak10
LSep 10 · 21:30J. Rolak1.751011111062K. Golaszewski1.89128512113WSep 10 · 20:30M. Lukaszewski1.91671171J. Rolak1.7311115113LSep 10 · 19:20J. Rolak2.5011813982K. Klocek1.433111111113WSep 10 · 18:10B. Wisniewski1.86811951J. Rolak1.8011611113LSep 10 · 16:55K. Golaszewski1.9512911113J. Rolak1.701011961WSep 10 · 15:25A. Eliasz1.86513111082J. Rolak1.831111912113LSep 9 · 24:10J. Rolak2.467570K. Klocek1.441111113WSep 8 · 23:20J. Rolak1.8011117113K. Golaszewski1.86871131WSep 8 · 21:55J. Rolak1.541111113P. Ostachowski2.256350WSep 8 · 21:30J. Rolak1.911211113B. Mrugala1.7410870
M. Trela10
WSep 9 · 23:20A. Myszewski1.8511115992M. Trela1.75981111113WSep 9 · 22:35K. Golaszewski2.15911861M. Trela1.6011911113LSep 9 · 22:15M. Trela1.9686111192K. Klocek1.70111188113WSep 9 · 21:05P. Ostachowski3.408740M. Trela1.281111113WSep 9 · 20:30M. Trela1.8511113113A. Myszewski1.80851161WSep 9 · 18:55M. Trela1.561111113P. Strus2.176750WSep 9 · 17:45M. Trela1.961110118113K. Klocek1.7091271152LSep 9 · 16:15M. Trela1.49991361K. Golaszewski2.33111111113WSep 9 · 15:00M. Trela1.441111113P. Ostachowski2.504160LSep 8 · 24:10M. Trela1.66681111102B. Mrugala2.05111179123
Upcoming Matches
J. Rolak
M. Trela
Sep 10 · 22:35M. Trela1.50M. Lukaszewski2.31—Sep 10 · 23:45M. Trela1.97K. Klocek1.69—Sep 11 · 24:35M. Trela1.51K. Golaszewski2.28—Sep 11 · 03:25M. Trela2.30R. Stapor1.50—Sep 11 · 04:10M. Trela2.18M. Misiak1.56—Sep 11 · 05:15M. Trela1.56B. Wisniewski2.19—Sep 11 · 06:30M. Trela2.16M. Zagajewski1.57—Sep 11 · 07:40M. Trela2.50J. Glanowski1.43—
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