TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13113301
Played Sep 11Finished
Piotr Strus
Home
1.84
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1199111012119911
Mikolaj Lukaszewski
Away
1.79
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:43 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMikolaj Lukaszewski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
102 points played in total.
Set by set
1199111012119911
H2H Piotr Strus 15–11 Mikolaj Lukaszewski Mikolaj Lukaszewski has won 11 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:43What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.79 (51%)
Lukaszewski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-11 in 26
Strus
Wrong
gap of 4 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Strus 1188 vs Lukaszewski 1308
Lukaszewski
Correct
both rated, 119 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strus 40% vs Lukaszewski 80%
Lukaszewski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strus 30% vs Lukaszewski 70%
Lukaszewski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Strus -1 · Lukaszewski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lukaszewski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lukaszewski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrus 1.84 / Lukaszewski 1.79
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Lukaszewski)+3.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13113301
Strus1.84
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 103 of 229
Down 0–1, comes back27% 32 of 117
Down 0–2, comes back13% 9 of 67
Lukaszewski1.79
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 105 of 199
Up 2–0, closes it98% 44 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it80% 85 of 106
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStrus6wins
AwayLukaszewski4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderStrus leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrus60%3 of 5
AwayLukaszewski40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strus5Lukaszewski5n = 10split evenly
S2Strus5Lukaszewski5n = 10split evenly
S3Strus5Lukaszewski5n = 10split evenly
S4Strus3Lukaszewski6n = 9Lukaszewski took 6 of 9
S5Strus5Lukaszewski1n = 6Strus took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricStrusLukaszewskiS − LBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match44.443.0+1.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrusLukaszewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime386 / 842 vs 916 / 200345.8%45.7%386 / 842 vs 916 / 2003Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LukaszewskiStrus 1.84/Lukaszewski 1.79
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Lukaszewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Lukaszewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 16:35P. Strus—119101192M. Lukaszewski—911129113
WAug 28 · 18:10P. Strus—147119113M. Lukaszewski—121141182
LAug 26 · 16:35P. Strus—116591M. Lukaszewski—61111113
WAug 14 · 18:55P. Strus—881111113M. Lukaszewski—11117892
WAug 12 · 18:55P. Strus—1111163M. Lukaszewski—96140
WJul 8 · 19:40P. Strus—141118113M. Lukaszewski—124111162
LJul 3 · 18:10P. Strus—714781M. Lukaszewski—111211113
WJul 1 · 16:35P. Strus—811911133M. Lukaszewski—113112112
WJun 26 · 16:35P. Strus—811119113M. Lukaszewski—11691192
LJun 24 · 18:55P. Strus—1091391M. Lukaszewski—121111113
P. Strus10
LSep 11 · 15:50D. Szlubowski1.43611119113P. Strus2.5011451162WSep 9 · 19:40K. Golaszewski1.85117111172P. Strus1.85131198113LSep 9 · 18:55M. Trela1.561111113P. Strus2.176750LSep 9 · 18:10P. Strus2.507850A. Myszewski1.461111113WSep 9 · 16:35P. Strus1.8091111113P. Ostachowski1.86113571LSep 9 · 15:50K. Klocek1.501111113P. Strus2.327680LSep 7 · 19:40B. Mrugala1.831111113P. Strus1.838870LSep 7 · 18:55W. Iwasyszyn1.631111113P. Strus2.064890LSep 7 · 18:10P. Strus2.203111181M. Trela1.6011613113WSep 7 · 16:35P. Strus1.9512911113J. Nosiadek1.761011871
M. Lukaszewski10
WSep 11 · 17:20W. Gluszek1.75611491M. Lukaszewski1.9511911113LSep 11 · 15:00K. Sulkowski1.6511126113M. Lukaszewski2.108101171WSep 10 · 23:20J. Rolak1.80711991M. Lukaszewski1.8511511113WSep 10 · 22:35M. Trela1.757970M. Lukaszewski1.951111113WSep 10 · 22:15M. Lukaszewski1.841111113K. Golaszewski1.808660WSep 10 · 21:05K. Klocek1.41521181M. Lukaszewski2.5511113113LSep 10 · 20:30M. Lukaszewski1.91671171J. Rolak1.7311115113WSep 10 · 18:55M. Lukaszewski1.95119811113B. Wisniewski1.7491111792WSep 10 · 17:45M. Lukaszewski1.84111111113K. Golaszewski1.80971391LSep 10 · 16:15M. Lukaszewski2.00971161A. Eliasz1.7111118113
Upcoming Matches
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M. Lukaszewski
Sep 11 · 19:20M. Lukaszewski1.66K. Marchlewski2.05—Sep 11 · 20:05M. Lukaszewski2.40D. Szlubowski1.50—Sep 11 · 21:05M. Lukaszewski2.20K. Sulkowski1.55—Sep 11 · 22:55M. Lukaszewski1.99W. Gluszek1.67—Sep 11 · 23:45M. Lukaszewski1.87D. Poloszczanski1.77—Sep 12 · 24:10M. Lukaszewski1.64K. Marchlewski2.04—
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