TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13109473
Played Sep 10Finished
Mikolaj Lukaszewski
Home
1.84
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118116116––––
Kuba Golaszewski
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:36 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMikolaj Lukaszewski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
53 points played in total.
Set by set
118116116––––
H2H Mikolaj Lukaszewski 24–20 Kuba Golaszewski Kuba Golaszewski has won 20 of their 44 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Lukaszewski beat Golaszewski 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:36What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Golaszewski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-20 in 44
Lukaszewski
Correct
gap of 4 in 44, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lukaszewski 1271 vs Golaszewski 1201
Lukaszewski
Correct
both rated, 70 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lukaszewski 60% vs Golaszewski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lukaszewski 60% vs Golaszewski 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lukaszewski +1 · Golaszewski +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lukaszewski)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLukaszewski 1.84 / Golaszewski 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Lukaszewski)+4.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13109473
Lukaszewski1.84
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 275 of 669
Down 0–1, comes back15% 54 of 372
Down 0–2, comes back2% 4 of 197
Golaszewski1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 98 of 172
Up 2–0, closes it98% 46 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it81% 73 of 90
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLukaszewski6wins
AwayGolaszewski4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLukaszewski leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLukaszewski83.3%5 of 6
AwayGolaszewski100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lukaszewski6Golaszewski3n = 9Lukaszewski took 6 of 9
S2Lukaszewski6Golaszewski3n = 9Lukaszewski took 6 of 9
S3Lukaszewski3Golaszewski6n = 9Golaszewski took 6 of 9
S4Lukaszewski3Golaszewski3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLukaszewskiGolaszewskiL − GBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set63+3of 9Avg pointsper match37.937.4+0.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLukaszewskiGolaszewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime914 / 2010 vs 404 / 95945.5%42.1%914 / 2010 vs 404 / 959Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.337.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LukaszewskiLukaszewski 1.84/Golaszewski 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Lukaszewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Lukaszewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 10 · 17:45M. Lukaszewski—111111113K. Golaszewski—971391
WAug 20 · 24:35M. Lukaszewski—111111113K. Golaszewski—791371
LAug 14 · 20:30M. Lukaszewski—113871K. Golaszewski—41111113
LAug 13 · 23:45M. Lukaszewski—12860K. Golaszewski—1411113
WAug 12 · 21:30M. Lukaszewski—111197113K. Golaszewski—88111182
LAug 12 · 17:45M. Lukaszewski—68111172K. Golaszewski—111156113
WAug 11 · 23:45M. Lukaszewski—1212113K. Golaszewski—101090
WAug 11 · 24:35M. Lukaszewski—1113143K. Golaszewski—611120
LAug 9 · 14:40M. Lukaszewski—711871K. Golaszewski—11911113
M. Lukaszewski10
WSep 10 · 21:05K. Klocek1.41521181M. Lukaszewski2.5511113113LSep 10 · 20:30M. Lukaszewski1.91671171J. Rolak1.7311115113WSep 10 · 18:55M. Lukaszewski1.95119811113B. Wisniewski1.7491111792WSep 10 · 17:45M. Lukaszewski1.84111111113K. Golaszewski1.80971391LSep 10 · 16:15M. Lukaszewski2.00971161A. Eliasz1.7111118113WSep 10 · 15:00M. Lukaszewski2.5591111113K. Klocek1.41114981LSep 9 · 08:10M. Lukaszewski2.006890A. Szoltysek1.701111113WSep 9 · 06:30B. Wisniewski1.7398100M. Lukaszewski1.911111123LSep 9 · 05:40M. Zwolinski1.9091116113M. Lukaszewski1.801191451WSep 9 · 04:55M. Lukaszewski2.4311118113K. Sulkowski1.45671171
K. Golaszewski10
WSep 10 · 21:30J. Rolak1.751011111062K. Golaszewski1.89128512113WSep 10 · 20:05K. Golaszewski2.65712119133K. Klocek1.391110711112LSep 10 · 18:30A. Eliasz1.7215116113K. Golaszewski1.931381191LSep 10 · 17:45M. Lukaszewski1.84111111113K. Golaszewski1.80971391WSep 10 · 16:55K. Golaszewski1.9512911113J. Rolak1.701011961LSep 10 · 15:50K. Golaszewski1.951112971B. Wisniewski1.7581411113LSep 10 · 24:35K. Golaszewski2.6010950K. Klocek1.411211113WSep 9 · 23:45P. Ostachowski2.1271111972K. Golaszewski1.62115911113LSep 9 · 22:35K. Golaszewski2.15911861M. Trela1.6011911113WSep 9 · 21:55A. Myszewski1.52116491K. Golaszewski2.3061111113
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