TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13109470
Played Sep 10Finished
Mateusz Trela
Home
1.75
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711911711––––
Mikolaj Lukaszewski
Away
1.95
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:38 and never touched — 58.2% is still 58.2%
Graded at full timeMateusz Trela to win
58.2%
58.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
56 points played in total.
Set by set
711911711––––
H2H Mateusz Trela 60–51 Mikolaj Lukaszewski Mikolaj Lukaszewski has won 51 of their 111 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:38What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (53%)
Trela
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
60-51 in 111
Trela
Wrong
gap of 9 in 111, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Trela 1400 vs Lukaszewski 1283
Trela
Wrong
both rated, 117 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Trela 80% vs Lukaszewski 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Trela 80% vs Lukaszewski 60%
Trela
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Trela +3 · Lukaszewski +2
Trela
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Trela) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lukaszewski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTrela 1.75 / Lukaszewski 1.95
Signal prob.56% / 45%
Edge (Trela)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13109470
Trela1.75
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite56% won 151 of 272
Up 2–0, closes it92% 57 of 62
Up 1–0, closes it72% 103 of 144
Lukaszewski1.95
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 275 of 669
Down 0–1, comes back15% 54 of 372
Down 0–2, comes back2% 4 of 197
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTrela7wins
AwayLukaszewski3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderTrela leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTrela100%5 of 5
AwayLukaszewski60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Trela5Lukaszewski5n = 10split evenly
S2Trela5Lukaszewski5n = 10split evenly
S3Trela7Lukaszewski3n = 10Trela took 7 of 10
S4Trela3Lukaszewski3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricTrelaLukaszewskiT − LBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.936.8+3.1per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTrelaLukaszewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime819 / 1667 vs 915 / 201149.1%45.5%819 / 1667 vs 915 / 2011Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.336.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TrelaTrela 1.75/Lukaszewski 1.95
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.5%
Trela · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Lukaszewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 06:30M. Trela—691171M. Lukaszewski—11117113
WAug 28 · 23:20M. Trela—1111910113M. Lukaszewski—87111262
WAug 28 · 20:30M. Trela—1112113M. Lukaszewski—61050
WAug 19 · 23:45M. Trela—1111143M. Lukaszewski—99120
WAug 18 · 05:15M. Trela—81111123M. Lukaszewski—1136101
LAug 13 · 24:10M. Trela—111280M. Lukaszewski—1314113
WAug 12 · 15:00M. Trela—111112113M. Lukaszewski—8131091
WAug 7 · 23:45M. Trela—15711123M. Lukaszewski—13117101
LJul 16 · 24:10M. Trela—91190M. Lukaszewski—1113113
WJul 15 · 21:45M. Trela—911129113M. Lukaszewski—119101182
M. Trela10
WSep 10 · 23:45K. Klocek1.805480M. Trela1.851111113WSep 10 · 21:55J. Rolak1.70910111182M. Trela2.00111267113WSep 9 · 23:20A. Myszewski1.8511115992M. Trela1.75981111113WSep 9 · 22:35K. Golaszewski2.15911861M. Trela1.6011911113LSep 9 · 22:15M. Trela1.9686111192K. Klocek1.70111188113WSep 9 · 21:05P. Ostachowski3.408740M. Trela1.281111113WSep 9 · 20:30M. Trela1.8511113113A. Myszewski1.80851161WSep 9 · 18:55M. Trela1.561111113P. Strus2.176750WSep 9 · 17:45M. Trela1.961110118113K. Klocek1.7091271152LSep 9 · 16:15M. Trela1.49991361K. Golaszewski2.33111111113
M. Lukaszewski10
WSep 10 · 23:20J. Rolak1.80711991M. Lukaszewski1.8511511113WSep 10 · 22:15M. Lukaszewski1.841111113K. Golaszewski1.808660WSep 10 · 21:05K. Klocek1.41521181M. Lukaszewski2.5511113113LSep 10 · 20:30M. Lukaszewski1.91671171J. Rolak1.7311115113WSep 10 · 18:55M. Lukaszewski1.95119811113B. Wisniewski1.7491111792WSep 10 · 17:45M. Lukaszewski1.84111111113K. Golaszewski1.80971391LSep 10 · 16:15M. Lukaszewski2.00971161A. Eliasz1.7111118113WSep 10 · 15:00M. Lukaszewski2.5591111113K. Klocek1.41114981LSep 9 · 08:10M. Lukaszewski2.006890A. Szoltysek1.701111113WSep 9 · 06:30B. Wisniewski1.7398100M. Lukaszewski1.911111123
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