TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13108391
Played Sep 11Finished
Dariusz Szlubowski
Home
1.43
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
611114115911116
Piotr Strus
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:04 and never touched — 66.8% is still 66.8%
Graded at full timeDariusz Szlubowski to win
66.8%
66.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
85 points played in total.
Set by set
611114115911116
H2H Dariusz Szlubowski 18–4 Piotr Strus Piotr Strus has won 4 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:04What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.43 (64%)
Szlubowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-4 in 22
Szlubowski
Correct
gap of 14 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szlubowski 1314 vs Strus 1204
Szlubowski
Correct
both rated, 110 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szlubowski 60% vs Strus 40%
Szlubowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szlubowski 40% vs Strus 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Szlubowski +2 · Strus +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Szlubowski) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzlubowski 1.43 / Strus 2.50
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Szlubowski)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13108391
Szlubowski1.43
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite61% won 84 of 137
Up 2–0, closes it90% 34 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it79% 51 of 65
Strus2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog45% won 103 of 229
Down 0–1, comes back27% 32 of 117
Down 0–2, comes back13% 9 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSzlubowski6wins
AwayStrus4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSzlubowski leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzlubowski60%3 of 5
AwayStrus40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szlubowski5Strus5n = 10split evenly
S2Szlubowski4Strus6n = 10Strus took 6 of 10
S3Szlubowski5Strus5n = 10split evenly
S4Szlubowski6Strus2n = 8Szlubowski took 6 of 8
S5Szlubowski3Strus2n = 5Szlubowski took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSzlubowskiStrusSzlubowski − StrusBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.737.8+4.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzlubowskiStrusBasisWin rate · lifetime210 / 350 vs 387 / 84360%45.9%210 / 350 vs 387 / 843Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.538.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzlubowskiSzlubowski 1.43/Strus 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66%
Szlubowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Szlubowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 15:50D. Szlubowski—841171P. Strus—11116113
WAug 5 · 15:50D. Szlubowski—11118113P. Strus—981111
LJul 1 · 15:50D. Szlubowski—914100P. Strus—1116123
WJun 19 · 15:50D. Szlubowski—118911143P. Strus—911119122
LJun 12 · 20:40D. Szlubowski—118312142P. Strus—3111110163
WMay 26 · 17:30D. Szlubowski—71111113P. Strus—110531
WFeb 17 · 21:40D. Szlubowski—1141111113P. Strus—13114632
WNov 14 · 20:30D. Szlubowski—1111123P. Strus—57100
LNov 13 · 21:40D. Szlubowski—1110101362P. Strus—6121211113
WOct 31 · 20:05D. Szlubowski—911118113P. Strus—11671132
D. Szlubowski10
WSep 8 · 19:40P. Ostachowski2.451061141D. Szlubowski1.4712118113WSep 8 · 18:55K. Golaszewski2.6511814662D. Szlubowski1.386111211113LSep 8 · 18:10D. Szlubowski1.441181351J. Rolak2.4681115113LSep 8 · 16:35D. Szlubowski1.80911791K. Klocek1.8611411113WSep 8 · 15:50B. Mrugala2.10115861D. Szlubowski1.6571111113WSep 4 · 20:05D. Szlubowski1.871111129113S. Wnek1.83713101162LSep 4 · 18:30D. Poloszczanski2.05111666113D. Szlubowski1.66814111182LSep 4 · 17:45D. Kotwica2.20121011113D. Szlubowski1.571012651LSep 4 · 16:55D. Szlubowski1.5491111482K. Golaszewski2.35119611113LSep 4 · 15:50D. Szlubowski1.27841171P. Strus3.3011116113
P. Strus10
WSep 9 · 19:40K. Golaszewski1.85117111172P. Strus1.85131198113LSep 9 · 18:55M. Trela1.561111113P. Strus2.176750LSep 9 · 18:10P. Strus2.507850A. Myszewski1.461111113WSep 9 · 16:35P. Strus1.8091111113P. Ostachowski1.86113571LSep 9 · 15:50K. Klocek1.501111113P. Strus2.327680LSep 7 · 19:40B. Mrugala1.831111113P. Strus1.838870LSep 7 · 18:55W. Iwasyszyn1.631111113P. Strus2.064890LSep 7 · 18:10P. Strus2.203111181M. Trela1.6011613113WSep 7 · 16:35P. Strus1.9512911113J. Nosiadek1.761011871WSep 4 · 15:50D. Szlubowski1.27841171P. Strus3.3011116113
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