TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13114364
Played Sep 11Finished
Mikolaj Lukaszewski
Home
2.15
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117118118––––
Karol Sulkowski
Away
1.61
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:27 and never touched — 56.8% is still 56.8%
Graded at full timeMikolaj Lukaszewski to win
56.8%
56.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
56 points played in total.
Set by set
117118118––––
H2H Mikolaj Lukaszewski 14–20 Karol Sulkowski Mikolaj Lukaszewski has won 14 of their 34 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Sulkowski beat Lukaszewski 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:27What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (57%)
Sulkowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-20 in 34
Sulkowski
Wrong
gap of 6 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lukaszewski 1346 vs Sulkowski 1333
Lukaszewski
Correct
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lukaszewski 80% vs Sulkowski 100%
Sulkowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lukaszewski 80% vs Sulkowski 60%
Lukaszewski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lukaszewski +4 · Sulkowski +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Sulkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 43% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sulkowski form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLukaszewski 2.15 / Sulkowski 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Sulkowski)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13114364
Lukaszewski2.15
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog42% won 282 of 678
Down 0–1, comes back15% 55 of 375
Down 0–2, comes back2% 4 of 199
Sulkowski1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 223 of 412
Up 2–0, closes it97% 96 of 99
Up 1–0, closes it80% 169 of 212
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLukaszewski5wins
AwaySulkowski5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLukaszewski83.3%5 of 6
AwaySulkowski100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lukaszewski6Sulkowski4n = 10Lukaszewski took 6 of 10
S2Lukaszewski5Sulkowski5n = 10split evenly
S3Lukaszewski4Sulkowski6n = 10Sulkowski took 6 of 10
S4Lukaszewski4Sulkowski4n = 8split evenly
S5Lukaszewski2Sulkowski2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLukaszewskiSulkowskiL − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.939.7−0.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLukaszewskiSulkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime920 / 2007 vs 635 / 128145.8%49.6%920 / 2007 vs 635 / 1281Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.437.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SulkowskiLukaszewski 2.15/Sulkowski 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.6%
Sulkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Lukaszewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 04:55M. Lukaszewski—11118113K. Sulkowski—671171
LAug 27 · 21:55M. Lukaszewski—811751K. Sulkowski—11611113
WAug 27 · 24:10M. Lukaszewski—11114113K. Sulkowski—681181
WAug 26 · 15:00M. Lukaszewski—1112116113K. Sulkowski—71461182
LAug 25 · 22:55M. Lukaszewski—8990K. Sulkowski—1111113
WAug 21 · 06:30M. Lukaszewski—1111113K. Sulkowski—9880
LAug 20 · 07:20M. Lukaszewski—71311862K. Sulkowski—1111911113
LAug 19 · 06:30M. Lukaszewski—14581182K. Sulkowski—1211119113
LAug 9 · 09:00M. Lukaszewski—871171K. Sulkowski—11119113
WAug 9 · 07:40M. Lukaszewski—115811113K. Sulkowski—81111652
M. Lukaszewski10
WSep 11 · 20:05D. Szlubowski1.607121491M. Lukaszewski2.20111016113WSep 11 · 19:20K. Marchlewski2.007119111M. Lukaszewski1.7011711133WSep 11 · 17:20W. Gluszek1.75611491M. Lukaszewski1.9511911113WSep 11 · 16:35P. Strus1.84119101192M. Lukaszewski1.79911129113LSep 11 · 15:00K. Sulkowski1.6511126113M. Lukaszewski2.108101171WSep 10 · 23:20J. Rolak1.80711991M. Lukaszewski1.8511511113WSep 10 · 22:35M. Trela1.757970M. Lukaszewski1.951111113WSep 10 · 22:15M. Lukaszewski1.841111113K. Golaszewski1.808660WSep 10 · 21:05K. Klocek1.41521181M. Lukaszewski2.5511113113LSep 10 · 20:30M. Lukaszewski1.91671171J. Rolak1.7311115113
K. Sulkowski10
WSep 11 · 20:30K. Sulkowski1.52101112163K. Marchlewski2.3012810141WSep 11 · 18:55K. Sulkowski1.801111113P. Strus1.908760WSep 11 · 17:45K. Sulkowski2.0511118113D. Szlubowski1.68991171WSep 11 · 16:15K. Sulkowski1.681111610113W. Gluszek1.9496111272WSep 11 · 15:00K. Sulkowski1.6511126113M. Lukaszewski2.108101171LSep 10 · 08:35K. Klocek1.901311113K. Sulkowski1.8011690WSep 10 · 07:30K. Sulkowski1.8011114113D. Wrobel1.85791191LSep 10 · 06:30M. Misiak1.77131111113K. Sulkowski1.95156781LSep 10 · 05:30J. Glanowski1.501111113K. Sulkowski2.407980LSep 10 · 03:25B. Wisniewski2.10119911113K. Sulkowski1.6591111872
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