TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13113609
Played Sep 11Finished
Karol Sulkowski
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118117116––––
Piotr Strus
Away
1.90
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:33 and never touched — 58.8% is still 58.8%
Graded at full timeKarol Sulkowski to win
58.8%
58.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
54 points played in total.
Set by set
118117116––––
H2H Karol Sulkowski 4–1 Piotr Strus Piotr Strus has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:33What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Sulkowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Sulkowski
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sulkowski 1303 vs Strus 1196
Sulkowski
Correct
both rated, 107 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sulkowski 60% vs Strus 40%
Sulkowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sulkowski 50% vs Strus 30%
Sulkowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sulkowski +2 · Strus +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sulkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Strus form (40%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSulkowski 1.80 / Strus 1.90
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sulkowski)+2.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13113609
Sulkowski1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 223 of 412
Up 2–0, closes it97% 96 of 99
Up 1–0, closes it80% 169 of 212
Strus1.90
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 103 of 229
Down 0–1, comes back27% 32 of 117
Down 0–2, comes back13% 9 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeSulkowski4wins
AwayStrus1wins
1 of 5 to a deciderSulkowski leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSulkowskin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayStrus33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sulkowski2Strus3n = 5Strus took 3 of 5
S2Sulkowski5Strus0n = 5Sulkowski took 5 of 5
S3Sulkowski2Strus3n = 5Strus took 3 of 5
S4Sulkowski3Strus1n = 4Sulkowski took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricSulkowskiStrusSulkowski − StrusBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match42.235.4+6.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSulkowskiStrusBasisWin rate · lifetime632 / 1278 vs 387 / 84349.5%45.9%632 / 1278 vs 387 / 843Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SulkowskiSulkowski 1.80/Strus 1.90
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sulkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sulkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WAug 21 · 18:10K. Sulkowski—1112113P. Strus—81070
WJun 15 · 15:50K. Sulkowski—91211113P. Strus—1110881
WMay 16 · 04:30K. Sulkowski—1312911113P. Strus—151011442
WMay 9 · 03:50K. Sulkowski—111110113P. Strus—891231
LApr 25 · 07:45K. Sulkowski—911961P. Strus—11611113
K. Sulkowski10
WSep 11 · 17:45K. Sulkowski2.0511118113D. Szlubowski1.68991171WSep 11 · 16:15K. Sulkowski1.681111610113W. Gluszek1.9496111272WSep 11 · 15:00K. Sulkowski1.6511126113M. Lukaszewski2.108101171LSep 10 · 08:35K. Klocek1.901311113K. Sulkowski1.8011690WSep 10 · 07:30K. Sulkowski1.8011114113D. Wrobel1.85791191LSep 10 · 06:30M. Misiak1.77131111113K. Sulkowski1.95156781LSep 10 · 05:30J. Glanowski1.501111113K. Sulkowski2.407980LSep 10 · 03:25B. Wisniewski2.10119911113K. Sulkowski1.6591111872WSep 9 · 08:35M. Zwolinski2.50611671K. Sulkowski1.4711711113LSep 9 · 07:20K. Sulkowski1.801071191A. Szoltysek1.8612116113
P. Strus10
LSep 11 · 19:40W. Gluszek1.901111113P. Strus1.757820WSep 11 · 18:10P. Strus1.801212113K. Marchlewski1.91101060LSep 11 · 16:35P. Strus1.84119101192M. Lukaszewski1.79911129113LSep 11 · 15:50D. Szlubowski1.43611119113P. Strus2.5011451162WSep 9 · 19:40K. Golaszewski1.85117111172P. Strus1.85131198113LSep 9 · 18:55M. Trela1.561111113P. Strus2.176750LSep 9 · 18:10P. Strus2.507850A. Myszewski1.461111113WSep 9 · 16:35P. Strus1.8091111113P. Ostachowski1.86113571LSep 9 · 15:50K. Klocek1.501111113P. Strus2.327680LSep 7 · 19:40B. Mrugala1.831111113P. Strus1.838870
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