TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13106082
Played Sep 10Finished
Karol Sulkowski
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117119411119––
Dariusz Wrobel
Away
1.85
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKarol Sulkowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
73 points played in total.
Set by set
117119411119––
H2H Karol Sulkowski 6–3 Dariusz Wrobel Dariusz Wrobel has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:03What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Sulkowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-3 in 9
Sulkowski
Correct
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sulkowski 1290 vs Wrobel 1291
Wrobel
Wrong
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sulkowski 40% vs Wrobel 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sulkowski 30% vs Wrobel 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sulkowski -2 · Wrobel +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sulkowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wrobel form (40%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSulkowski 1.80 / Wrobel 1.85
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sulkowski)+3.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13106082
Sulkowski1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite54% won 223 of 411
Up 2–0, closes it97% 95 of 98
Up 1–0, closes it80% 169 of 212
Wrobel1.85
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 78 of 165
Down 0–1, comes back28% 24 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeSulkowski6wins
AwayWrobel3wins
2 of 9 to a deciderSulkowski leads 6–3, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSulkowski100%4 of 4
AwayWrobel60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sulkowski4Wrobel5n = 9Wrobel took 5 of 9
S2Sulkowski4Wrobel5n = 9Wrobel took 5 of 9
S3Sulkowski5Wrobel4n = 9Sulkowski took 5 of 9
S4Sulkowski5Wrobel3n = 8Sulkowski took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home444%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricSulkowskiWrobelS − WBasisWins63+3in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match38.137.2+0.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSulkowskiWrobelBasisWin rate · lifetime630 / 1275 vs 546 / 114049.4%47.9%630 / 1275 vs 546 / 1140Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SulkowskiSulkowski 1.80/Wrobel 1.85
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sulkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sulkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 10 · 07:30K. Sulkowski—11114113D. Wrobel—791191
LSep 8 · 07:40K. Sulkowski—611871D. Wrobel—11611113
LAug 20 · 04:55K. Sulkowski—961141D. Wrobel—11116113
WAug 8 · 08:10K. Sulkowski—11611113D. Wrobel—411851
WMay 30 · 24:45K. Sulkowski—119113113D. Wrobel—81191192
WMay 29 · 22:20K. Sulkowski—811911113D. Wrobel—11911772
LMar 21 · 07:40K. Sulkowski—6780D. Wrobel—1111113
WJan 28 · 24:45K. Sulkowski—11711113D. Wrobel—511571
WJan 27 · 22:20K. Sulkowski—161111113D. Wrobel—184891
K. Sulkowski10
LSep 10 · 08:35K. Klocek1.901311113K. Sulkowski1.8011690LSep 10 · 06:30M. Misiak1.77131111113K. Sulkowski1.95156781LSep 10 · 05:30J. Glanowski1.501111113K. Sulkowski2.407980LSep 10 · 03:25B. Wisniewski2.10119911113K. Sulkowski1.6591111872WSep 9 · 08:35M. Zwolinski2.50611671K. Sulkowski1.4711711113LSep 9 · 07:20K. Sulkowski1.801071191A. Szoltysek1.8612116113WSep 9 · 06:05A. Lilien1.501111891K. Sulkowski2.4013111113LSep 9 · 04:55M. Lukaszewski2.4311118113K. Sulkowski1.45671171LSep 9 · 03:25B. Wisniewski2.101211113K. Sulkowski1.6510990LSep 8 · 07:40K. Sulkowski1.85611871D. Wrobel1.8511611113
D. Wrobel10
LSep 10 · 08:10J. Glanowski1.49111012113D. Wrobel2.455121091WSep 10 · 05:50B. Wisniewski1.9571141182D. Wrobel1.75117117113LSep 10 · 04:30M. Misiak1.511212113D. Wrobel2.29101020LSep 10 · 03:00K. Klocek1.6912117113D. Wrobel1.971081181WSep 8 · 07:40K. Sulkowski1.85611871D. Wrobel1.8511611113LSep 8 · 06:55J. Glanowski1.471991111113D. Wrobel2.40171113972WSep 8 · 06:05D. Wrobel2.35911113113A. Linek1.5011681182LSep 8 · 04:30D. Wrobel2.0691190A. Myszewski1.621113113WSep 8 · 03:50R. Stapor1.49611891D. Wrobel2.3411511113LSep 5 · 08:05M. Minda1.451111143D. Wrobel2.4569120
Upcoming Matches
K. Sulkowski1 of 1 neutral
D. Wrobel
Nothing scheduled
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