TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13114377
Played Sep 11Finished
Wojciech Gluszek
Home
1.90
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117118112––––
Piotr Strus
Away
1.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:30 and never touched — 68.2% is still 68.2%
Graded at full timeWojciech Gluszek to win
68.2%
68.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
50 points played in total.
Set by set
117118112––––
H2H Wojciech Gluszek 11–4 Piotr Strus Piotr Strus has won 4 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:30What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (52%)
Strus
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-4 in 15
Gluszek
Correct
gap of 7 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gluszek 1278 vs Strus 1186
Gluszek
Correct
both rated, 92 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gluszek 60% vs Strus 40%
Gluszek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gluszek 80% vs Strus 30%
Gluszek
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gluszek +1 · Strus -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Strus) · live re-read · sealed at 32% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Strus form (40%) is below what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGluszek 1.90 / Strus 1.75
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Strus)+1.9pp
TT Elite Series · #13114377
Gluszek1.90
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 116 of 324
Down 0–1, comes back19% 35 of 185
Down 0–2, comes back4% 5 of 113
Strus1.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite40% won 42 of 105
Up 2–0, closes it85% 17 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it69% 29 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGluszek7wins
AwayStrus3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderGluszek leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGluszek83.3%5 of 6
AwayStrus50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gluszek6Strus4n = 10Gluszek took 6 of 10
S2Gluszek7Strus3n = 10Gluszek took 7 of 10
S3Gluszek5Strus5n = 10split evenly
S4Gluszek3Strus3n = 6split evenly
S5Gluszek2Strus1n = 3Gluszek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricGluszekStrusG − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.938.90.0per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGluszekStrusBasisWin rate · lifetime852 / 1787 vs 387 / 84347.7%45.9%852 / 1787 vs 387 / 843Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.538.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrusGluszek 1.90/Strus 1.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Strus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Gluszek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 15:50W. Gluszek—111184113P. Strus—99111172
WAug 24 · 15:50W. Gluszek—1111113P. Strus—9990
LAug 21 · 18:55W. Gluszek—9540P. Strus—1111113
LAug 18 · 19:40W. Gluszek—85120P. Strus—1111143
WAug 14 · 16:35W. Gluszek—12117133P. Strus—10911111
WAug 5 · 18:55W. Gluszek—23101213113P. Strus—2112101562
WJul 13 · 18:55W. Gluszek—1111113P. Strus—8890
WJul 10 · 18:55W. Gluszek—41112123P. Strus—11410101
LJun 15 · 16:35W. Gluszek—13118692P. Strus—1171111113
WMar 10 · 21:40W. Gluszek—41111113P. Strus—116761
W. Gluszek10
WSep 11 · 18:30W. Gluszek2.25116116123D. Szlubowski1.54811911102LSep 11 · 17:20W. Gluszek1.75611491M. Lukaszewski1.9511911113LSep 11 · 16:15K. Sulkowski1.681111610113W. Gluszek1.9496111272WSep 11 · 15:25W. Gluszek1.751111113K. Marchlewski1.959750WSep 4 · 24:10M. Trela1.859870W. Gluszek1.851111113WSep 3 · 23:45W. Gluszek1.861611113113K. Golaszewski1.8018881172WSep 3 · 22:55W. Gluszek2.15118114123K. Sulkowski1.63911911102WSep 3 · 21:05W. Gluszek1.8011117113J. Rolak1.90961191WSep 3 · 20:05K. Sulkowski1.55127661W. Gluszek2.25101111113WSep 3 · 19:20J. Rolak1.5210630W. Gluszek2.351211113
P. Strus10
LSep 11 · 18:55K. Sulkowski1.801111113P. Strus1.908760WSep 11 · 18:10P. Strus1.801212113K. Marchlewski1.91101060LSep 11 · 16:35P. Strus1.84119101192M. Lukaszewski1.79911129113LSep 11 · 15:50D. Szlubowski1.43611119113P. Strus2.5011451162WSep 9 · 19:40K. Golaszewski1.85117111172P. Strus1.85131198113LSep 9 · 18:55M. Trela1.561111113P. Strus2.176750LSep 9 · 18:10P. Strus2.507850A. Myszewski1.461111113WSep 9 · 16:35P. Strus1.8091111113P. Ostachowski1.86113571LSep 9 · 15:50K. Klocek1.501111113P. Strus2.327680LSep 7 · 19:40B. Mrugala1.831111113P. Strus1.838870
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