TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13114374
Played Sep 11Finished
Dariusz Szlubowski
Home
1.60
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
71112101416911––
Mikolaj Lukaszewski
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:29 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDariusz Szlubowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
90 points played in total.
Set by set
71112101416911––
H2H Dariusz Szlubowski 8–4 Mikolaj Lukaszewski Mikolaj Lukaszewski has won 4 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:29What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (58%)
Szlubowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-4 in 12
Szlubowski
Wrong
gap of 4 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szlubowski 1305 vs Lukaszewski 1334
Lukaszewski
Correct
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szlubowski 60% vs Lukaszewski 80%
Lukaszewski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szlubowski 60% vs Lukaszewski 80%
Lukaszewski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Szlubowski -2 · Lukaszewski +3
Lukaszewski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Szlubowski) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lukaszewski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzlubowski 1.60 / Lukaszewski 2.20
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Szlubowski)-1.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13114374
Szlubowski1.60
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 84 of 137
Up 2–0, closes it90% 34 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it79% 51 of 65
Lukaszewski2.20
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog42% won 282 of 678
Down 0–1, comes back15% 55 of 375
Down 0–2, comes back2% 4 of 199
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSzlubowski6wins
AwayLukaszewski4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSzlubowski leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzlubowski75%3 of 4
AwayLukaszewski50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szlubowski4Lukaszewski6n = 10Lukaszewski took 6 of 10
S2Szlubowski5Lukaszewski5n = 10split evenly
S3Szlubowski6Lukaszewski4n = 10Szlubowski took 6 of 10
S4Szlubowski5Lukaszewski1n = 6Szlubowski took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSzlubowskiLukaszewskiS − LBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.336.4+0.9per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzlubowskiLukaszewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime210 / 349 vs 919 / 200660.2%45.8%210 / 349 vs 919 / 2006Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.636.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzlubowskiSzlubowski 1.60/Lukaszewski 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.9%
Szlubowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Lukaszewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 16 · 15:50D. Szlubowski—1211471M. Lukaszewski—14911113
WJul 14 · 19:40D. Szlubowski—1113113M. Lukaszewski—81170
WJul 1 · 20:05D. Szlubowski—91114113M. Lukaszewski—1191291
WMay 1 · 18:20D. Szlubowski—13712113M. Lukaszewski—11111051
LDec 19 · 20:30D. Szlubowski—4790M. Lukaszewski—1111113
LNov 14 · 19:20D. Szlubowski—9870M. Lukaszewski—1111113
WNov 7 · 18:30D. Szlubowski—1111113M. Lukaszewski—9560
WSep 19 · 20:40D. Szlubowski—81511113M. Lukaszewski—1113511
WAug 22 · 20:40D. Szlubowski—881111113M. Lukaszewski—11117882
LAug 13 · 16:25D. Szlubowski—11371682M. Lukaszewski—7111114113
D. Szlubowski10
LSep 11 · 18:30W. Gluszek2.25116116123D. Szlubowski1.54811911102LSep 11 · 17:45K. Sulkowski2.0511118113D. Szlubowski1.68991171WSep 11 · 16:55D. Szlubowski1.5711118113K. Marchlewski2.25971171WSep 11 · 15:50D. Szlubowski1.43611119113P. Strus2.5011451162WSep 8 · 19:40P. Ostachowski2.451061141D. Szlubowski1.4712118113WSep 8 · 18:55K. Golaszewski2.6511814662D. Szlubowski1.386111211113LSep 8 · 18:10D. Szlubowski1.441181351J. Rolak2.4681115113LSep 8 · 16:35D. Szlubowski1.80911791K. Klocek1.8611411113WSep 8 · 15:50B. Mrugala2.10115861D. Szlubowski1.6571111113WSep 4 · 20:05D. Szlubowski1.871111129113S. Wnek1.83713101162
M. Lukaszewski10
WSep 11 · 19:20K. Marchlewski2.007119111M. Lukaszewski1.7011711133WSep 11 · 17:20W. Gluszek1.75611491M. Lukaszewski1.9511911113WSep 11 · 16:35P. Strus1.84119101192M. Lukaszewski1.79911129113LSep 11 · 15:00K. Sulkowski1.6511126113M. Lukaszewski2.108101171WSep 10 · 23:20J. Rolak1.80711991M. Lukaszewski1.8511511113WSep 10 · 22:35M. Trela1.757970M. Lukaszewski1.951111113WSep 10 · 22:15M. Lukaszewski1.841111113K. Golaszewski1.808660WSep 10 · 21:05K. Klocek1.41521181M. Lukaszewski2.5511113113LSep 10 · 20:30M. Lukaszewski1.91671171J. Rolak1.7311115113WSep 10 · 18:55M. Lukaszewski1.95119811113B. Wisniewski1.7491111792
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.