TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13113297
Played Sep 11Finished
Dariusz Szlubowski
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119117811117––
Kacper Marchlewski
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:43 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKacper Marchlewski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
75 points played in total.
Set by set
119117811117––
H2H Dariusz Szlubowski 5–6 Kacper Marchlewski Dariusz Szlubowski has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:43What took a side0 for · 4 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Szlubowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-6 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szlubowski 1322 vs Marchlewski 1218
Szlubowski
Correct
both rated, 104 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szlubowski 60% vs Marchlewski 40%
Szlubowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szlubowski 50% vs Marchlewski 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Szlubowski +3 · Marchlewski -1
Szlubowski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Szlubowski) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzlubowski 1.57 / Marchlewski 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Szlubowski)-0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13113297
Szlubowski1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite61% won 84 of 137
Up 2–0, closes it90% 34 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it79% 51 of 65
Marchlewski2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 44 of 121
Down 0–1, comes back12% 7 of 60
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSzlubowski5wins
AwayMarchlewski5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzlubowskin = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayMarchlewski55.6%5 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szlubowski1Marchlewski9n = 10Marchlewski took 9 of 10
S2Szlubowski5Marchlewski5n = 10split evenly
S3Szlubowski6Marchlewski4n = 10Szlubowski took 6 of 10
S4Szlubowski4Marchlewski3n = 7Szlubowski took 4 of 7
S5Szlubowski4Marchlewski2n = 6Szlubowski took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSzlubowskiMarchlewskiS − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match38.639.8−1.2per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzlubowskiMarchlewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime209 / 346 vs 145 / 32860.4%44.2%209 / 346 vs 145 / 328Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.636.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzlubowskiSzlubowski 1.57/Marchlewski 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Szlubowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Szlubowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 16:35D. Szlubowski—811119113K. Marchlewski—11581142
WAug 5 · 16:55D. Szlubowski—791111113K. Marchlewski—11113392
WJul 28 · 20:05D. Szlubowski—691111113K. Marchlewski—11118892
WJun 12 · 19:30D. Szlubowski—1111113K. Marchlewski—7580
LMay 1 · 19:30D. Szlubowski—61111692K. Marchlewski—119511113
LMar 20 · 21:40D. Szlubowski—29100K. Marchlewski—1111123
LSep 26 · 19:30D. Szlubowski—581151K. Marchlewski—11119113
LAug 29 · 19:30D. Szlubowski—9870K. Marchlewski—1111113
WApr 25 · 19:30D. Szlubowski—311611153K. Marchlewski—117114132
LMar 28 · 21:40D. Szlubowski—61161552K. Marchlewski—1171113113
D. Szlubowski10
WSep 11 · 15:50D. Szlubowski1.43611119113P. Strus2.5011451162WSep 8 · 19:40P. Ostachowski2.451061141D. Szlubowski1.4712118113WSep 8 · 18:55K. Golaszewski2.6511814662D. Szlubowski1.386111211113LSep 8 · 18:10D. Szlubowski1.441181351J. Rolak2.4681115113LSep 8 · 16:35D. Szlubowski1.80911791K. Klocek1.8611411113WSep 8 · 15:50B. Mrugala2.10115861D. Szlubowski1.6571111113WSep 4 · 20:05D. Szlubowski1.871111129113S. Wnek1.83713101162LSep 4 · 18:30D. Poloszczanski2.05111666113D. Szlubowski1.66814111182LSep 4 · 17:45D. Kotwica2.20121011113D. Szlubowski1.571012651LSep 4 · 16:55D. Szlubowski1.5491111482K. Golaszewski2.35119611113
K. Marchlewski10
LSep 11 · 15:25W. Gluszek1.751111113K. Marchlewski1.959750WSep 3 · 24:35K. Marchlewski2.001111113W. Gluszek1.718980WSep 2 · 23:45M. Piecowski1.83611591K. Marchlewski1.8611411113LSep 2 · 22:35K. Marchlewski1.8512940M. Kowalczyk1.801411113LSep 2 · 21:55M. Piecowski1.8511911113K. Marchlewski1.80711991WSep 2 · 19:40K. Marchlewski2.001111113P. Strus1.735670LSep 2 · 18:30K. Marchlewski2.24811881W. Gluszek1.5511911113WSep 2 · 17:20K. Marchlewski1.71117118113M. Piecowski1.9841191182LSep 2 · 16:15M. Piecowski1.831110118113K. Marchlewski1.8681241172LSep 2 · 15:25K. Marchlewski1.802950M. Kowalczyk1.901111113
Upcoming Matches
D. Szlubowski
K. Marchlewski
Sep 11 · 18:10K. Marchlewski1.88P. Strus1.76—Sep 11 · 19:20K. Marchlewski2.05M. Lukaszewski1.66—Sep 11 · 20:30K. Marchlewski2.40K. Sulkowski1.50—Sep 11 · 21:30K. Marchlewski2.22W. Gluszek1.54—Sep 11 · 21:55K. Marchlewski2.08D. Poloszczanski1.62—Sep 11 · 23:20K. Marchlewski2.46K. Sulkowski1.44—Sep 12 · 24:10K. Marchlewski2.04M. Lukaszewski1.64—
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