TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13114370
Played Sep 11Finished
Karol Sulkowski
Home
1.52
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
101211812101614––
Kacper Marchlewski
Away
2.30
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:28 and never touched — 63.1% is still 63.1%
Graded at full timeKacper Marchlewski to win
63.1%
63.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
93 points played in total.
Set by set
101211812101614––
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:28What took a side0 for · 4 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.52 (60%)
Sulkowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Sulkowski 1325 vs Marchlewski 1187
Sulkowski
Correct
both rated, 138 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sulkowski 80% vs Marchlewski 20%
Sulkowski
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sulkowski 60% vs Marchlewski 30%
Sulkowski
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sulkowski +4 · Marchlewski -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Sulkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 37% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Marchlewski form (20%) is below what odds imply (43%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSulkowski 1.52 / Marchlewski 2.30
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Sulkowski)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13114370
Sulkowski1.52
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 223 of 412
Up 2–0, closes it97% 96 of 99
Up 1–0, closes it80% 169 of 212
Marchlewski2.30
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog36% won 44 of 121
Down 0–1, comes back12% 7 of 60
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricSulkowskiMarchlewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime634 / 1280 vs 145 / 33149.5%43.8%634 / 1280 vs 145 / 331Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
SulkowskiSulkowski 1.52/Marchlewski 2.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63%
Sulkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sulkowski won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
K. Sulkowski10
WSep 11 · 18:55K. Sulkowski1.801111113P. Strus1.908760WSep 11 · 17:45K. Sulkowski2.0511118113D. Szlubowski1.68991171WSep 11 · 16:15K. Sulkowski1.681111610113W. Gluszek1.9496111272WSep 11 · 15:00K. Sulkowski1.6511126113M. Lukaszewski2.108101171LSep 10 · 08:35K. Klocek1.901311113K. Sulkowski1.8011690WSep 10 · 07:30K. Sulkowski1.8011114113D. Wrobel1.85791191LSep 10 · 06:30M. Misiak1.77131111113K. Sulkowski1.95156781LSep 10 · 05:30J. Glanowski1.501111113K. Sulkowski2.407980LSep 10 · 03:25B. Wisniewski2.10119911113K. Sulkowski1.6591111872WSep 9 · 08:35M. Zwolinski2.50611671K. Sulkowski1.4711711113
K. Marchlewski10
LSep 11 · 19:20K. Marchlewski2.007119111M. Lukaszewski1.7011711133LSep 11 · 18:10P. Strus1.801212113K. Marchlewski1.91101060LSep 11 · 16:55D. Szlubowski1.5711118113K. Marchlewski2.25971171LSep 11 · 15:25W. Gluszek1.751111113K. Marchlewski1.959750WSep 3 · 24:35K. Marchlewski2.001111113W. Gluszek1.718980WSep 2 · 23:45M. Piecowski1.83611591K. Marchlewski1.8611411113LSep 2 · 22:35K. Marchlewski1.8512940M. Kowalczyk1.801411113LSep 2 · 21:55M. Piecowski1.8511911113K. Marchlewski1.80711991WSep 2 · 19:40K. Marchlewski2.001111113P. Strus1.735670LSep 2 · 18:30K. Marchlewski2.24811881W. Gluszek1.5511911113
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