TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13119114
Played Sep 12Finished
Dawid Kotwica
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118118117––––
Wojciech Gluszek
Away
1.90
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:26 and never touched — 59.2% is still 59.2%
Graded at full timeDawid Kotwica to win
59.2%
59.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
56 points played in total.
Set by set
118118117––––
H2H Dawid Kotwica 42–24 Wojciech Gluszek Wojciech Gluszek has won 24 of their 66 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:26What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kotwica
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
42-24 in 66
Kotwica
Correct
gap of 18 in 66, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kotwica 1270 vs Gluszek 1225
Kotwica
Correct
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kotwica 40% vs Gluszek 0%
Kotwica
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kotwica 30% vs Gluszek 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kotwica -2 · Gluszek -5
Gluszek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kotwica) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gluszek form (0%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKotwica 1.80 / Gluszek 1.90
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kotwica)+2.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13119114
Kotwica1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 70 of 132
Up 2–0, closes it85% 28 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it76% 51 of 67
Gluszek1.90
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog36% won 118 of 329
Down 0–1, comes back19% 35 of 188
Down 0–2, comes back4% 5 of 115
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKotwica9wins
AwayGluszek1wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKotwica leads 9–1, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKotwica100%6 of 6
AwayGluszek25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kotwica6Gluszek4n = 10Kotwica took 6 of 10
S2Kotwica6Gluszek4n = 10Kotwica took 6 of 10
S3Kotwica8Gluszek2n = 10Kotwica took 8 of 10
S4Kotwica4Gluszek4n = 8split evenly
S5Kotwica4Gluszek0n = 4Kotwica took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKotwicaGluszekK − GBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.835.9+6.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKotwicaGluszekBasisWin rate · lifetime633 / 1539 vs 850 / 178641.1%47.6%633 / 1539 vs 850 / 1786Avg sets wonper match1.71.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.536.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KotwicaKotwica 1.80/Gluszek 1.90
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kotwica · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kotwica won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 4 · 22:55D. Kotwica4815148113W. Gluszek4213121161
WAug 4 · 20:05D. Kotwica44111111113W. Gluszek28132761
WJul 5 · 19:40D. Kotwica49117119113W. Gluszek4491161172
WJul 4 · 19:20D. Kotwica331111113W. Gluszek157620
LJun 10 · 18:10D. Kotwica35811791W. Gluszek4011711113
WMay 14 · 18:30D. Kotwica341111123W. Gluszek2798100
WMay 13 · 15:25D. Kotwica50791211113W. Gluszek49111110892
WMay 5 · 15:50D. Kotwica48613117113W. Gluszek43111131172
WMay 3 · 14:00D. Kotwica47115119113W. Gluszek4341191182
WApr 22 · 18:10D. Kotwica4011711113W. Gluszek28911351
D. Kotwica10
LSep 12 · 16:15K. Marchlewski2.35681111113D. Kotwica1.4811119772LSep 12 · 15:25D. Kotwica3.50613951A. Wos1.25111111113WSep 4 · 23:20K. Golaszewski2.15711781D. Kotwica1.6011811113LSep 4 · 22:35K. Sulkowski1.85811611133D. Kotwica1.85113119112WSep 4 · 22:15D. Kotwica1.5711118113D. Poloszczanski2.20771191LSep 4 · 21:05S. Wnek2.1511711113D. Kotwica1.62511731LSep 4 · 20:30D. Kotwica1.904880K. Golaszewski1.801111113LSep 4 · 18:55D. Kotwica1.47119741P. Strus2.5081111113WSep 4 · 17:45D. Kotwica2.20121011113D. Szlubowski1.571012651LSep 4 · 16:15D. Kotwica1.7591191192D. Poloszczanski1.95118118113
W. Gluszek10
LSep 12 · 16:35G. Kesik1.411111810113W. Gluszek2.6059111262LSep 12 · 15:00K. Marchlewski2.2511111013113W. Gluszek1.5775121582LSep 12 · 24:35D. Poloszczanski1.951112109113W. Gluszek1.75710121162LSep 11 · 22:55M. Lukaszewski1.8511814113W. Gluszek1.856111271LSep 11 · 22:15K. Sulkowski1.851111123W. Gluszek1.8567100LSep 11 · 21:30K. Marchlewski2.20915118143W. Gluszek1.571113311122WSep 11 · 19:40W. Gluszek1.901111113P. Strus1.757820WSep 11 · 18:30W. Gluszek2.25116116123D. Szlubowski1.54811911102LSep 11 · 17:20W. Gluszek1.75611491M. Lukaszewski1.9511911113LSep 11 · 16:15K. Sulkowski1.681111610113W. Gluszek1.9496111272
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