TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13119131
Played Sep 12Finished
Dawid Kotwica
Home
3.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6111311911511––
Alan Wos
Away
1.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:24 and never touched — 54.6% is still 54.6%
Graded at full timeDawid Kotwica to win
54.6%
54.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
77 points played in total.
Set by set
6111311911511––
H2H Dawid Kotwica 1–1 Alan Wos Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:24What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (74%)
Wos
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kotwica 1289 vs Wos 1515
Wos
Correct
both rated, 226 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kotwica 40% vs Wos 20%
Kotwica
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kotwica 40% vs Wos 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kotwica +1 · Wos -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Wos) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wos form (20%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKotwica 3.50 / Wos 1.25
Signal prob.24% / 77%
Edge (Wos)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13119131
Kotwica3.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 145 of 408
Down 0–1, comes back18% 42 of 238
Down 0–2, comes back3% 4 of 148
Wos1.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 101 of 155
Up 2–0, closes it95% 38 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it86% 67 of 78
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKotwica1wins
AwayWos1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricKotwicaWosK − WBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match26.533.0−6.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKotwicaWosBasisWin rate · lifetime666 / 1604 vs 265 / 68941.5%38.5%666 / 1604 vs 265 / 689Avg sets wonper match1.71.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.436.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WosKotwica 3.50/Wos 1.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.5%
Wos · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Wos won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LJan 11 · 10:55D. Kotwica169340A. Wos331111113
WJan 3 · 20:25D. Kotwica3711411113A. Wos33711781
D. Kotwica10
LSep 12 · 16:15K. Marchlewski2.35681111113D. Kotwica1.4811119772WSep 4 · 23:20K. Golaszewski2.15711781D. Kotwica1.6011811113LSep 4 · 22:35K. Sulkowski1.85811611133D. Kotwica1.85113119112WSep 4 · 22:15D. Kotwica1.5711118113D. Poloszczanski2.20771191LSep 4 · 21:05S. Wnek2.1511711113D. Kotwica1.62511731LSep 4 · 20:30D. Kotwica1.904880K. Golaszewski1.801111113LSep 4 · 18:55D. Kotwica1.47119741P. Strus2.5081111113WSep 4 · 17:45D. Kotwica2.20121011113D. Szlubowski1.571012651LSep 4 · 16:15D. Kotwica1.7591191192D. Poloszczanski1.95118118113WSep 4 · 15:00D. Kotwica1.901311113S. Wnek1.7511650
A. Wos10
LSep 7 · 24:35A. Wos2.201121111102L. Pietraszko1.61811613123LSep 6 · 23:45D. Jadam1.5011113113A. Wos2.50711161WSep 6 · 22:35A. Wos3.25125117113F. Mlynarski1.33101181162LSep 6 · 21:50K. Kapik1.441111113A. Wos2.638640LSep 6 · 20:05A. Wos1.63115111082A. Lilien2.10911712113LSep 6 · 18:30J. Michalczyk2.50411117113A. Wos1.4611681172WSep 6 · 17:45M. Trela2.851110121062A. Wos1.359121012113WSep 6 · 16:55A. Wos1.361111113A. Myszewski2.805640WSep 6 · 15:50A. Wos1.421511113113B. Sulkowski2.6017761162WSep 6 · 24:10A. Wos2.5011116113D. Jadam1.50851191
Upcoming Matches
D. Kotwica1 of 8 neutral
Sep 12 · 17:20D. Kotwica1.74W. Gluszek1.90—Sep 12 · 18:30D. Kotwica2.40R. Stapor1.50—Sep 12 · 19:40D. Kotwica2.55G. Kesik1.41—Sep 12 · 21:05D. Kotwica1.76W. Gluszek1.90—Sep 12 · 22:55D. Kotwica2.35R. Stapor1.48—Sep 12 · 23:45D. Kotwica1.63D. Poloszczanski2.05—Sep 13 · 24:10D. Kotwica3.35A. Wos1.25—Sep 13 · 21:55D. Kotwica—A. Linek——
A. Wos
Sep 12 · 16:55A. Wos1.41R. Stapor2.60—Sep 12 · 18:10A. Wos1.46G. Kesik2.41—Sep 12 · 19:20A. Wos1.21W. Gluszek3.60—Sep 12 · 20:30A. Wos1.13K. Marchlewski4.70—Sep 12 · 21:30A. Wos1.44R. Stapor2.50—Sep 12 · 21:55A. Wos1.18D. Poloszczanski4.00—Sep 12 · 23:20A. Wos1.21W. Gluszek3.60—Sep 13 · 24:10A. Wos1.25D. Kotwica3.35—Sep 13 · 22:35A. Wos—F. Mlynarski——
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