TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13119122
Played Sep 12Finished
Gracjan Kesik
Home
1.41
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1151198111012116
Wojciech Gluszek
Away
2.60
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:25 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeGracjan Kesik to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
94 points played in total.
Set by set
1151198111012116
H2H Gracjan Kesik 13–6 Wojciech Gluszek Wojciech Gluszek has won 6 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:25What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.41 (65%)
Kesik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-6 in 19
Kesik
Correct
gap of 7 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kesik 1497 vs Gluszek 1229
Kesik
Correct
both rated, 268 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kesik 40% vs Gluszek 0%
Kesik
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kesik 50% vs Gluszek 30%
Kesik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kesik -2 · Gluszek -5
Gluszek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Kesik) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gluszek form (0%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKesik 1.41 / Gluszek 2.60
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Kesik)+4.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13119122
Kesik1.41
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 79 of 131
Up 2–0, closes it95% 36 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it76% 59 of 78
Gluszek2.60
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 118 of 329
Down 0–1, comes back19% 35 of 188
Down 0–2, comes back4% 5 of 115
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKesik8wins
AwayGluszek2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKesik leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKesik88.9%8 of 9
AwayGluszekn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kesik9Gluszek1n = 10Kesik took 9 of 10
S2Kesik8Gluszek2n = 10Kesik took 8 of 10
S3Kesik7Gluszek3n = 10Kesik took 7 of 10
S4Kesik2Gluszek3n = 5Gluszek took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKesikGluszekK − GBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match38.733.8+4.9per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKesikGluszekBasisWin rate · lifetime316 / 586 vs 850 / 178653.9%47.6%316 / 586 vs 850 / 1786Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.536.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KesikKesik 1.41/Gluszek 2.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.6%
Kesik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kesik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 4 · 09:50G. Kesik351311113W. Gluszek2211650
WJun 11 · 13:00G. Kesik4311129113W. Gluszek367101181
WJun 7 · 11:05G. Kesik4312119113W. Gluszek391091191
LMay 2 · 18:15G. Kesik4012411672W. Gluszek521011911113
WApr 17 · 17:05G. Kesik50111477113W. Gluszek51812111192
WApr 17 · 11:45G. Kesik331111113W. Gluszek225980
LApr 11 · 15:55G. Kesik404812161W. Gluszek50111110183
WApr 11 · 14:35G. Kesik361211133W. Gluszek30109110
WFeb 17 · 19:10G. Kesik331111113W. Gluszek199550
WFeb 17 · 14:00G. Kesik341111123W. Gluszek1743100
G. Kesik10
LSep 12 · 15:50R. Stapor1.9613115113G. Kesik1.701161191LSep 12 · 14:15G. Kesik2.5513580M. Kolek1.451511113WSep 12 · 12:35K. Rudomina1.851011961G. Kesik1.8512911113WSep 12 · 11:45D. Solilo1.589101471G. Kesik2.13111212113LSep 12 · 10:55G. Kesik1.7511116262G. Poliniewicz1.90641111113WSep 12 · 09:45G. Kesik1.90111011113R. Malinowski1.80612761LSep 1 · 14:40G. Kesik1.861590B. Czerwinski1.811111113WSep 1 · 13:05G. Kesik2.2291111113S. Brud1.57118981WSep 1 · 11:50G. Kesik2.10611135113A. Sobel1.65112111162LSep 1 · 10:10G. Kesik1.991011911102P. Blocho1.70129115123
W. Gluszek10
LSep 12 · 15:00K. Marchlewski2.2511111013113W. Gluszek1.5775121582LSep 12 · 24:35D. Poloszczanski1.951112109113W. Gluszek1.75710121162LSep 11 · 22:55M. Lukaszewski1.8511814113W. Gluszek1.856111271LSep 11 · 22:15K. Sulkowski1.851111123W. Gluszek1.8567100LSep 11 · 21:30K. Marchlewski2.20915118143W. Gluszek1.571113311122WSep 11 · 19:40W. Gluszek1.901111113P. Strus1.757820WSep 11 · 18:30W. Gluszek2.25116116123D. Szlubowski1.54811911102LSep 11 · 17:20W. Gluszek1.75611491M. Lukaszewski1.9511911113LSep 11 · 16:15K. Sulkowski1.681111610113W. Gluszek1.9496111272WSep 11 · 15:25W. Gluszek1.751111113K. Marchlewski1.959750
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