TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13118254
Played Sep 12Finished
Gracjan Kesik
Home
1.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
116114611211611
Grzegorz Poliniewicz
Away
1.90
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:37 and never touched — 67.3% is still 67.3%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Poliniewicz to win
67.3%
67.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
79 points played in total.
Set by set
116114611211611
H2H Gracjan Kesik 0–6 Grzegorz Poliniewicz Gracjan Kesik has won 0 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:37What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (52%)
Kesik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-6 in 6
Poliniewicz
Correct
gap of 6 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kesik 1498 vs Poliniewicz 1681
Poliniewicz
Correct
both rated, 183 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kesik 60% vs Poliniewicz 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kesik 40% vs Poliniewicz 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kesik +1 · Poliniewicz -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Poliniewicz) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKesik 1.75 / Poliniewicz 1.90
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Poliniewicz)+6.1pp
TT Elite Series · #13118254
Kesik1.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite60% won 79 of 131
Up 2–0, closes it95% 36 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it76% 59 of 78
Poliniewicz1.90
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog36% won 135 of 371
Down 0–1, comes back20% 41 of 209
Down 0–2, comes back6% 8 of 127
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeKesik0wins
AwayPoliniewicz6wins
2 of 6 to a deciderPoliniewicz leads 6–0, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKesik0%0 of 3
AwayPoliniewicz100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kesik3Poliniewicz3n = 6split evenly
S2Kesik1Poliniewicz5n = 6Poliniewicz took 5 of 6
S3Kesik1Poliniewicz5n = 6Poliniewicz took 5 of 6
S4Kesik0Poliniewicz3n = 3Poliniewicz took 3 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away350%
These 6 meetings
MetricKesikPoliniewiczK − PBasisWins06−6in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match32.341.7−9.4per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKesikPoliniewiczBasisWin rate · lifetime314 / 581 vs 1247 / 211254%59%314 / 581 vs 1247 / 2112Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PoliniewiczKesik 1.75/Poliniewicz 1.90
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Poliniewicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Poliniewicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LJun 7 · 03:55G. Kesik—8860G. Poliniewicz—1111113
LApr 19 · 07:30G. Kesik—11811772G. Poliniewicz—811811113
LDec 28 · 15:25G. Kesik—121346132G. Poliniewicz—10111111153
LOct 19 · 12:20G. Kesik—1189121G. Poliniewicz—81111143
LOct 11 · 12:45G. Kesik—9190G. Poliniewicz—1111113
LJul 11 · 04:30G. Kesik—5880G. Poliniewicz—1111113
G. Kesik10
WSep 12 · 09:45G. Kesik1.90111011113R. Malinowski1.80612761LSep 1 · 14:40G. Kesik1.861590B. Czerwinski1.811111113WSep 1 · 13:05G. Kesik2.2291111113S. Brud1.57118981WSep 1 · 11:50G. Kesik2.10611135113A. Sobel1.65112111162LSep 1 · 10:10G. Kesik1.991011911102P. Blocho1.70129115123LSep 1 · 09:00G. Kesik1.83311591K. Rudomina1.8311811113LSep 1 · 07:40D. Kosmal1.371111113G. Kesik2.758780WSep 1 · 06:50S. Brud1.608101181G. Kesik2.2011127113LSep 1 · 06:00G. Kesik1.858770A. Sobel1.851111113LSep 1 · 04:25G. Kesik2.4011118832J. Zochniak1.50491111113
G. Poliniewicz10
LSep 12 · 09:20K. Rudomina4.001110911113G. Poliniewicz1.1891211442LSep 12 · 08:05K. Wisniewski1.8011611123G. Poliniewicz1.905119101WSep 12 · 07:15R. Malinowski4.205990G. Poliniewicz1.161111113WSep 12 · 05:15D. Solilo2.7081611982G. Poliniewicz1.401114811113WSep 12 · 04:25P. Maruszak4.255730G. Poliniewicz1.161111113WSep 12 · 03:00K. Rudomina3.5511441152G. Poliniewicz1.25911118113LSep 11 · 07:45G. Poliniewicz4.501511771M. Jadczyk1.1717911113LSep 11 · 06:30G. Poliniewicz2.7571112121K. Wloczko1.4011814143WSep 11 · 05:15G. Poliniewicz2.25511118113J. Kuzmicz1.5711551152LSep 11 · 04:10M. Miastowski1.441112113G. Poliniewicz2.6361050
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G. Poliniewicz
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