TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13118262
Played Sep 12Finished
Gracjan Kesik
Home
1.90
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1161012117116––
Radoslaw Malinowski
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:43 and never touched — 61.3% is still 61.3%
Graded at full timeRadoslaw Malinowski to win
61.3%
61.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
74 points played in total.
Set by set
1161012117116––
H2H Gracjan Kesik 3–5 Radoslaw Malinowski Gracjan Kesik has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:43What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Malinowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-5 in 8
Malinowski
Wrong
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kesik 1495 vs Malinowski 1409
Kesik
Correct
both rated, 86 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kesik 40% vs Malinowski 20%
Kesik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kesik 40% vs Malinowski 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kesik -1 · Malinowski -4
Malinowski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Malinowski) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Malinowski form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKesik 1.90 / Malinowski 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Malinowski)+2.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13118262
Kesik1.90
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog46% won 55 of 120
Down 0–1, comes back35% 23 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back13% 4 of 30
Malinowski1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 52 of 91
Up 2–0, closes it91% 21 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it87% 41 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeKesik3wins
AwayMalinowski5wins
3 of 8 to a deciderMalinowski leads 5–3, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKesikn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayMalinowski100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kesik2Malinowski5n = 7Malinowski took 5 of 7
S2Kesik3Malinowski4n = 7Malinowski took 4 of 7
S3Kesik3Malinowski4n = 7Malinowski took 4 of 7
S4Kesik2Malinowski3n = 5Malinowski took 3 of 5
S5Kesik1Malinowski2n = 3Malinowski took 2 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away225%
These 8 meetings
MetricKesikMalinowskiK − MBasisWins35−2in 8 meetingsFirst set25−3of 7Avg pointsper match35.640.7−5.1per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKesikMalinowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime313 / 580 vs 245 / 51154%48%313 / 580 vs 245 / 511Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.536.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MalinowskiKesik 1.90/Malinowski 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Malinowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kesik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LMay 30 · 09:20G. Kesik—81115372R. Malinowski—1181311113
WNov 29 · 01:35G. Kesik—111169113R. Malinowski—97111162
WNov 28 · 23:10G. Kesik—111211113R. Malinowski—514491
LNov 28 · 17:55G. Kesik—118111132R. Malinowski—131149113
LNov 22 · 24:20G. Kesik—3890R. Malinowski—1111113
LNov 21 · 17:55G. Kesik—7850R. Malinowski—1111113
LNov 14 · 22:20G. Kesik—811451R. Malinowski—11811113
G. Kesik10
LSep 1 · 14:40G. Kesik1.861590B. Czerwinski1.811111113WSep 1 · 13:05G. Kesik2.2291111113S. Brud1.57118981WSep 1 · 11:50G. Kesik2.10611135113A. Sobel1.65112111162LSep 1 · 10:10G. Kesik1.991011911102P. Blocho1.70129115123LSep 1 · 09:00G. Kesik1.83311591K. Rudomina1.8311811113LSep 1 · 07:40D. Kosmal1.371111113G. Kesik2.758780WSep 1 · 06:50S. Brud1.608101181G. Kesik2.2011127113LSep 1 · 06:00G. Kesik1.858770A. Sobel1.851111113LSep 1 · 04:25G. Kesik2.4011118832J. Zochniak1.50491111113WSep 1 · 03:40M. Minda1.46127311102G. Kesik2.461011115123
R. Malinowski10
LSep 12 · 10:30R. Malinowski2.60117791M. Kolek1.4261111113LSep 12 · 08:30K. Rudomina1.801111113R. Malinowski1.867990LSep 12 · 07:15R. Malinowski4.205990G. Poliniewicz1.161111113LSep 12 · 06:00P. Maruszak1.8611611113R. Malinowski1.80511691LSep 12 · 04:50K. Wisniewski1.27812118113R. Malinowski3.25111051172WSep 12 · 03:20D. Solilo1.54101111882R. Malinowski2.25128511113LAug 9 · 13:50R. Malinowski2.10761191R. Chrzescian1.6011118113WAug 9 · 12:35R. Malinowski1.65511911113T. Piotrowski2.1011711672WAug 9 · 11:20R. Malinowski1.75116114113M. Trela1.9581171192WAug 9 · 10:05B. Kwodawski2.1810690R. Malinowski1.591211113
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Sep 12 · 10:55G. Kesik1.75G. Poliniewicz1.90—Sep 12 · 11:45G. Kesik2.13D. Solilo1.58—Sep 12 · 12:35G. Kesik1.80K. Rudomina1.90—Sep 12 · 14:15G. Kesik2.60M. Kolek1.41—Sep 12 · 15:50G. Kesik1.70R. Stapor1.96—Sep 12 · 16:35G. Kesik1.39W. Gluszek2.65—Sep 12 · 18:10G. Kesik2.41A. Wos1.46—Sep 12 · 18:55G. Kesik1.24K. Marchlewski3.40—Sep 12 · 19:40G. Kesik1.41D. Kotwica2.55—
R. Malinowski
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