TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12388499
Played Aug 9Finished
Radoslaw Malinowski
Home
1.75
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118611117411119
Mateusz Trela
Away
1.95
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:52 and never touched — 63.6% is still 63.6%
Graded at full timeRadoslaw Malinowski to win
63.6%
63.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
89 points played in total.
Set by set
118611117411119
H2H Radoslaw Malinowski 2–0 Mateusz Trela Mateusz Trela has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:52What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (53%)
Malinowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Malinowski 1439 vs Trela 1288
Malinowski
Correct
both rated, 151 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Malinowski 80% vs Trela 40%
Malinowski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Malinowski 50% vs Trela 30%
Malinowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Malinowski +2 · Trela -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Malinowski) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Trela form (40%) is below what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMalinowski 1.75 / Trela 1.95
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Malinowski)+7.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12388499
Malinowski1.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite53% won 49 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it91% 21 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it85% 40 of 47
Trela1.95
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog46% won 193 of 417
Down 0–1, comes back25% 57 of 227
Down 0–2, comes back7% 7 of 105
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeMalinowski2wins
AwayTrela0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderMalinowski leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricMalinowskiTrelaM − TBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match43.534.0+9.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMalinowskiTrelaBasisWin rate · lifetime270 / 557 vs 754 / 155348.5%48.6%270 / 557 vs 754 / 1553Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.338.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MalinowskiMalinowski 1.75/Trela 1.95
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.7%
Malinowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Malinowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 9 · 05:35R. Malinowski—1512113M. Trela—131040
WDec 6 · 05:35R. Malinowski—1061111113M. Trela—12112972
R. Malinowski10
WSep 12 · 03:20D. Solilo1.54101111882R. Malinowski2.25128511113LAug 9 · 13:50R. Malinowski2.10761191R. Chrzescian1.6011118113WAug 9 · 12:35R. Malinowski1.65511911113T. Piotrowski2.1011711672WAug 9 · 10:05B. Kwodawski2.1810690R. Malinowski1.591211113WAug 9 · 09:20R. Malinowski1.5516117133A. Myszewski2.3014711111LAug 9 · 08:30R. Malinowski2.50751191R. Chrzescian1.4611117113WAug 9 · 06:50R. Malinowski1.501011811113A. Myszewski2.3512811962WAug 9 · 05:35R. Malinowski1.601512113M. Trela2.20131040LAug 9 · 04:00R. Malinowski3.153980G. Poliniewicz1.301111113LAug 9 · 03:00R. Malinowski2.25101151112R. Stapor1.54126119113
M. Trela10
LSep 11 · 07:40M. Trela2.357980J. Glanowski1.521111113LSep 11 · 06:30M. Trela1.857101181M. Zagajewski1.8011128113WSep 11 · 05:15M. Trela1.60561111123B. Wisniewski2.20111196102WSep 11 · 04:10M. Misiak1.56812101192M. Trela2.181110126113LSep 11 · 03:25M. Trela1.9511712922R. Stapor1.759111011113WSep 11 · 24:35M. Trela1.631111123K. Golaszewski2.1568100WSep 10 · 23:45K. Klocek1.805480M. Trela1.851111113LSep 10 · 22:35M. Trela1.757970M. Lukaszewski1.951111113WSep 10 · 21:55J. Rolak1.70910111182M. Trela2.00111267113LAug 9 · 05:35R. Malinowski1.601512113M. Trela2.20131040
Upcoming Matches
R. Malinowski
Sep 12 · 04:50R. Malinowski3.45K. Wisniewski1.24—Sep 12 · 06:00R. Malinowski1.80P. Maruszak1.86—Sep 12 · 07:15R. Malinowski4.20G. Poliniewicz1.16—Sep 12 · 08:30R. Malinowski1.86K. Rudomina1.78—Sep 12 · 09:45R. Malinowski1.88G. Kesik1.76—Sep 12 · 10:30R. Malinowski2.70M. Kolek1.37—Sep 12 · 12:10R. Malinowski4.20G. Poliniewicz1.16—
M. Trela
Nothing scheduled
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