TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12386391
Played Aug 9Finished
Radoslaw Malinowski
Home
1.60
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
15131210114––––
Mateusz Trela
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:23 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRadoslaw Malinowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
65 points played in total.
Set by set
15131210114––––
H2H Radoslaw Malinowski 1–0 Mateusz Trela Mateusz Trela has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:23What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (58%)
Malinowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Malinowski 1409 vs Trela 1272
Malinowski
Correct
both rated, 138 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Malinowski 20% vs Trela 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Malinowski 40% vs Trela 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Malinowski -4 · Trela -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Malinowski) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Trela form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMalinowski 1.60 / Trela 2.20
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Malinowski)+7.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12386391
Malinowski1.60
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite53% won 49 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it91% 21 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it85% 40 of 47
Trela2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 193 of 417
Down 0–1, comes back25% 57 of 227
Down 0–2, comes back7% 7 of 105
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMalinowski1wins
AwayTrela0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderMalinowski leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMalinowskiTrelaM − TBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match49.041.0+8.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMalinowskiTrelaBasisWin rate · lifetime266 / 552 vs 752 / 154848.2%48.6%266 / 552 vs 752 / 1548Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.338.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MalinowskiMalinowski 1.60/Trela 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.9%
Malinowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Malinowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WDec 6 · 05:35R. Malinowski—1061111113M. Trela—12112972
R. Malinowski10
WSep 12 · 03:20D. Solilo1.54101111882R. Malinowski2.25128511113LAug 9 · 13:50R. Malinowski2.10761191R. Chrzescian1.6011118113WAug 9 · 12:35R. Malinowski1.65511911113T. Piotrowski2.1011711672WAug 9 · 11:20R. Malinowski1.75116114113M. Trela1.9581171192WAug 9 · 10:05B. Kwodawski2.1810690R. Malinowski1.591211113WAug 9 · 09:20R. Malinowski1.5516117133A. Myszewski2.3014711111LAug 9 · 08:30R. Malinowski2.50751191R. Chrzescian1.4611117113WAug 9 · 06:50R. Malinowski1.501011811113A. Myszewski2.3512811962LAug 9 · 04:00R. Malinowski3.153980G. Poliniewicz1.301111113LAug 9 · 03:00R. Malinowski2.25101151112R. Stapor1.54126119113
M. Trela10
LSep 11 · 07:40M. Trela2.357980J. Glanowski1.521111113LSep 11 · 06:30M. Trela1.857101181M. Zagajewski1.8011128113WSep 11 · 05:15M. Trela1.60561111123B. Wisniewski2.20111196102WSep 11 · 04:10M. Misiak1.56812101192M. Trela2.181110126113LSep 11 · 03:25M. Trela1.9511712922R. Stapor1.759111011113WSep 11 · 24:35M. Trela1.631111123K. Golaszewski2.1568100WSep 10 · 23:45K. Klocek1.805480M. Trela1.851111113LSep 10 · 22:35M. Trela1.757970M. Lukaszewski1.951111113WSep 10 · 21:55J. Rolak1.70910111182M. Trela2.00111267113LAug 9 · 11:20R. Malinowski1.75116114113M. Trela1.9581171192
Upcoming Matches
R. Malinowski
Sep 12 · 04:50R. Malinowski3.45K. Wisniewski1.24—Sep 12 · 06:00R. Malinowski1.80P. Maruszak1.86—Sep 12 · 07:15R. Malinowski4.20G. Poliniewicz1.16—Sep 12 · 08:30R. Malinowski1.86K. Rudomina1.78—Sep 12 · 09:45R. Malinowski1.88G. Kesik1.76—Sep 12 · 10:30R. Malinowski2.70M. Kolek1.37—Sep 12 · 12:10R. Malinowski4.20G. Poliniewicz1.16—
M. Trela
Nothing scheduled
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