TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13110777
Played Sep 11Finished
Mateusz Misiak
Home
1.56
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
81112101012116911
Mateusz Trela
Away
2.18
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:46 and never touched — 62.7% is still 62.7%
Graded at full timeMateusz Trela to win
62.7%
62.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
100 points played in total.
Set by set
81112101012116911
H2H Mateusz Misiak 3–4 Mateusz Trela Mateusz Misiak has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:46What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.56 (58%)
Misiak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-4 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Misiak 1354 vs Trela 1399
Trela
Correct
both rated, 45 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Misiak 20% vs Trela 60%
Trela
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Misiak 50% vs Trela 70%
Trela
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Misiak +1 · Trela -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Misiak) · live re-read · sealed at 37% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Trela form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (46%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMisiak 1.56 / Trela 2.18
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Misiak)-0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13110777
Misiak1.56
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite60% won 220 of 366
Up 2–0, closes it96% 133 of 138
Up 1–0, closes it81% 178 of 219
Trela2.18
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog45% won 173 of 389
Down 0–1, comes back27% 58 of 217
Down 0–2, comes back10% 11 of 110
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeMisiak3wins
AwayTrela4wins
1 of 7 to a deciderTrela leads 4–3, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMisiak75%3 of 4
AwayTrela100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Misiak4Trela3n = 7Misiak took 4 of 7
S2Misiak3Trela4n = 7Trela took 4 of 7
S3Misiak5Trela2n = 7Misiak took 5 of 7
S4Misiak1Trela3n = 4Trela took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricMisiakTrelaM − TBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match37.434.1+3.3per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMisiakTrelaBasisWin rate · lifetime1049 / 1977 vs 822 / 167253.1%49.2%1049 / 1977 vs 822 / 1672Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MisiakMisiak 1.56/Trela 2.18
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.9%
Misiak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Trela won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LMar 21 · 11:30M. Misiak—111281162M. Trela—5101113113
LFeb 12 · 10:45M. Misiak—791171M. Trela—11116113
LDec 15 · 08:05M. Misiak—9121191M. Trela—11144113
WDec 15 · 05:35M. Misiak—1112123M. Trela—310100
WNov 26 · 10:45M. Misiak—11911113M. Trela—811951
WNov 8 · 18:25M. Misiak—1111113M. Trela—5470
LAug 13 · 15:25M. Misiak—111260M. Trela—1314113
M. Misiak10
WSep 11 · 05:40M. Misiak1.80121211113M. Zagajewski1.861014771WSep 11 · 03:00M. Misiak1.46111114113B. Wisniewski2.55881691LSep 10 · 14:40M. Misiak2.40511741B. Czerwinski1.5011811113LSep 10 · 13:05M. Misiak2.13571111P. Blocho1.5811117113LSep 10 · 11:50M. Misiak1.808960B. Sulkowski1.901111113LSep 10 · 10:10M. Misiak1.9011860A. Linek1.741311113WSep 10 · 09:00M. Misiak2.4151111113D. Solilo1.46114681WSep 10 · 07:50B. Wisniewski2.75114581M. Misiak1.4071111113LSep 10 · 07:10K. Klocek2.101611123M. Misiak1.60146100WSep 10 · 06:30M. Misiak1.77131111113K. Sulkowski1.95156781
M. Trela10
WSep 11 · 05:15M. Trela1.60561111123B. Wisniewski2.20111196102LSep 11 · 03:25M. Trela1.9511712922R. Stapor1.759111011113WSep 11 · 24:35M. Trela1.631111123K. Golaszewski2.1568100WSep 10 · 23:45K. Klocek1.805480M. Trela1.851111113LSep 10 · 22:35M. Trela1.757970M. Lukaszewski1.951111113WSep 10 · 21:55J. Rolak1.70910111182M. Trela2.00111267113WSep 9 · 23:20A. Myszewski1.8511115992M. Trela1.75981111113WSep 9 · 22:35K. Golaszewski2.15911861M. Trela1.6011911113LSep 9 · 22:15M. Trela1.9686111192K. Klocek1.70111188113WSep 9 · 21:05P. Ostachowski3.408740M. Trela1.281111113
Upcoming Matches
M. Misiak
Sep 11 · 06:55M. Misiak2.02J. Glanowski1.65—Sep 11 · 08:35M. Misiak1.90R. Stapor1.80—Sep 11 · 09:50M. Misiak1.95B. Mleczko1.74—Sep 11 · 11:00M. Misiak1.80M. Zagajewski1.86—Sep 11 · 11:50M. Misiak1.73B. Sulkowski1.92—Sep 11 · 12:40M. Misiak1.82R. Stapor1.82—Sep 11 · 14:20M. Misiak2.39B. Czerwinski1.47—
M. Trela
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